Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (8/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $40.90  
CD-2   Win (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $31.36  
CD-3   Win (4/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $25.88  
CD-4   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.00  
CD-5   Win (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.78 $7.78  
CD-6   Win (2/12/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $6.86 $6.86  
CD-7   Win (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.62 $3.62  
CD-8   Win (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $8.96 $8.96 2.96
CD-9   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.24 $7.24 1.24
CD-10   Win (4/5/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $14.72 $14.72 4.72
CD-11   Win (12/8/5/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $9.24 $9.24  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKERBOOM 6 6 1½     12 1 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 19.45  
BOOK'EM 3 1 7     3 2 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 1.06 P
CITIZEN JUDY 7 8 2½     22 3 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 27% 2.80 5.03 S
ROSATO 4 5 31     54 4 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 109 12.00 34.37  
MEUCCI'S REVENGE 1 2 41     4 5 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 26% 2.80 3.73  
JEWISH MOTHER 5 4 6     7 69 (hobby steve)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 12.00 29.45  
BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA 9 9 5     6 711¼ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 5% 19.00 28.26  
PREYATHOUSANDWORDS 2 3 8     8 817 (veinot trudy)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00 19.06  
MOOCHIE GIRL 8 7 9     921½ 942½ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 27% 2.70 5.33  
 
CD-2   06/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMBRA DORADA 7 1 11 11   1 1¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 14.68  
CLASSY'N CONNECTED 2 4 42 5   3 2¾ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 22% 3.50 6.65 P
MO FOR US 1 5 21 4   2 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 2.00 40% 1.50 0.73 S
ANGELS ABOVE 6 6 5 3   57 4 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5.12  
LADY ABERDEEN 4 2 31 21   4 59 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.27  
WOWSERS 3 3 6 6   68 6 (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 4.00 16% 5.30 5.14  
AMERICAN SPLENDOR 5 7 7 7   711½ 715¼ (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 15.33  
 
CD-3   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERBINI 3 3 4 3   21 1 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 11.94  
STRONG STATE 2 9 85 76   45 2 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 18.40  
DARE TO BREEZE 6 7 11 1½   11 34 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.37 S
ISLAND RIDE 9 4 21 2½   3 4 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 24% 3.20 14.50  
FLAMING GLORY 4 1 3 4   57 511¾ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 3.50 32% 2.10 2.23  
BISA 8 6 74 64   69 614½ (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00 64.83  
10  HUIXTLA 10 10 10 8   810 716¼ (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 47.66  
11  PRINCESS OF OMAHA 11 11 1114¾ 1113¾   1013 817½ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 25.94  
TALKSALOT 1 5 9 10   911½ 918¼ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 10.00 26.68  
TIFFANY 7 8 53 54   710 1018½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 24% 3.20 1.62  
THE FEISTY ONE 5 2 64 9   1113½ 1122 (leitch dani)TORRES A 119 10.00 27.98  
 
CD-4   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:212 :442 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON MY HONOR 5 3 4 3   3 1¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5.00  
ZECA DIABO 6 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00 26% 2.80 5.25 P
WICKED MELODY 2 2 65 6   4 3 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.46 S
DU MONDE 4 5 55 5   5 43 (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 20.98  
BEBEDOURO 1 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 5 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 2.50 1.46  
LORD DIAMOND 3 6 32 4   67 617½ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 38% 1.60 2.15  
SCR  LET'S GO CHAMP               (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
SCR  SHIVA               (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-5   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:212 :441 :56     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR SO SILLEA 7 1 21 1nk   1 1¼ (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 21% 3.80 2.89 W
NOM DE PLUME 5 6 5 44   33 2¼ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.02 P
DAZZLING BLUE 3 5 4 3   2 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 52% 0.90 0.67 S
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT 2 7 6 6   5 49 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 5.00 10.70  
AMERICAN BAND 4 3 7 76   7 510¼ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 10.00 13.76  
CONDENSATION 1 4 32 5   6 611 (foley greg)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 15.74  
QUICK MUNNY 6 2 11 2nk   4 719¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 12.72  
 
CD-6   06/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:381   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  REBEL RED (GB) 12 5 63 63 4 2 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 11% 8.00 2.43 W
ROCKY JOY 2 2 11 11 1½ 1 2 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 125 2.50 46% 1.20 1.14 P
ENGLISH CHUNNEL 6 8 11 117 10 87 3 (catalano w)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 37.53  
COWBOY CACHE 9 3 3 3 3½ 33 4 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 12.61  
VERY SATISFACTORY 1 6 42 42 52 5 5 (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 6% 16.10 32.61  
SUGAR HOOK 4 1 21 21 2½ 4 610 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 35.69  
CLOUDY HOLIDAY 7 4 74 7 8 66 711¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 15.45  
FREEDOM MAKER 8 9 9 96 9 9 812½ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 8.80 9.46  
11  CABERNAYDO 11 11 10 10 11 11 913½ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 30.62  
10  PACE YOURSELF 10 10 8 85 7 77 1014½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00 38.96  
FIRST BID 5 7 52 5 6 10 1116 (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 60.94  
OVER AND OLLIE 3 12 12 12 12 1211¾ 1216½ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 125 12.00 13.22  
SCR  BOMB CYCLONE               (molloy thomas)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  FIREFIGHT               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  SANDBORN               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTORCADE 6 4 2½ 11   12 1 (ewing michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 51% 1.00 0.81 W
TRUE JEDI 3 6 52 53   22 2 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 7.39  
SHUFFLE DANCE 2 1 31 4   32 3 (scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.02 S
TAGLIATELLE 4 5 42 31   4 4 (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 3.64  
PICO D'ORO 1 3 6 64   54 55 (caramori ca)TORRES A 123 8.00 16% 5.30 8.69  
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 5 2 1½ 21   67 616¾ (veinot trudy)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 15.00 16.86  
SCR  JOE THE TAILOR               (catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50    
 
CD-8   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:211 :441 :562     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUGAN KNIGHT 5 3 5 42   3 1¼ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00 5% 19.00 3.48 W
TRIPLE ELVIS 1 2 1½ 1½   11 2¼ (blair jordan)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 13.03  
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 4 1 41 3½   21 3 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 21% 3.70 2.39 S
TRUST DADDY 3 4 31 5   53 4 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 4.51  
SQUIRE CREEK 2 5 2½ 2½   42 5 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 1.60 53% 0.90 1.26  
SCR  BRITERDAYZAHEAD               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
SCR  ECHO AGAIN               (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  MAUNA KEA BOUND               (ewing an)CASTANON L 125 10.00    
 
CD-9   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MAN ROCKET 6 4 53 43   2nk 12 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 13% 6.60 2.62 W
FORT WARREN 7 3 31 3   3 22 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 2.27 P
CHATTALOT 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 5.50  
PRO OXIDANT 3 7 7 77   6 4 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 58% 0.70 3.06  
MACRON 5 6 6 54   54 5 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 8.00 11.05  
INVULNERABLE 1 2 4 6   7 6 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00 6% 16.80 9.01  
INSOLITO 4 5 2nk 2nk   42 78 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 121 10.00 19.56  
SCR  MARKET STREET               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 116 12.00    
 
CD-10   06/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:22 :452       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YELLOW CARD 4 8 6 65   42 1 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 22% 3.60 6.36 W
ZARTOWNIS 2 5 3 4   31 2 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 5% 17.30 6.14 P
MONSIEUR CANDY 1 1 1 1½   1½ 3 (cohn g)LANERIE J 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.96 S
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 3 2 2 2½   2½ 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 37% 1.70 7.21  
10  COMMITTEE OF ONE 9 3 7 7   7 5 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 10% 9.30 2.55  
POLSTER 6 4 4 53   6 6 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 14.25  
LINZER 7 6 5 31   5 76 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.27  
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 7 8 87   85 8 (dutrow richa)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 11.19  
MACKVILLE 8 9 9 9   9 912¼ (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 38.98  
SCR  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)               (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
 
CD-11   06/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT AMBITION 7 5 65 43   1 1 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 17% 5.00 3.62 W
HALLELUJAH HARRIS 1 10 1111¾ 11   6 2 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 11.67  
10  LUCCHESI 9 1 1nk 1½   2 3 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 10.62  
CAJUN CRUISER 2 7 87 7   4 45 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11% 8.20 14.80  
11  BAULE DEL TESORO 10 11 10 64   3 5 (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 15.00 12.69  
LOBO SALVAJE 5 2 2nk 2½   5 612 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 15.00 14% 6.30 16.99  
BLOOD BROTHER 6 9 9 108   812 717 (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.64  
KEYPAD 4 8 7 97   913 821 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 54.04  
GUATAPE 8 3 3½ 3   710 926 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 29.77  
BECKSTER 3 6 54 53   1015 1027 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 1.96  
12  GUN SHOW 11 4 41 85   1122 1143¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70 4.80  
SCR  MUNYHUNGRY               (parker r)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.