Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (8/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (4/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (2/12/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (4/5/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (12/8/5/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEUCCI'S REVENGE May27         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
PREYATHOUSANDWORDS         (veinot trudy)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00    
BOOK'EM         (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
ROSATO         (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 109 12.00    
JEWISH MOTHER         (hobby steve)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 12.00    
SPANKERBOOM         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
CITIZEN JUDY Apr11         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
MOOCHIE GIRL May27         (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA May10 Apr07       (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   06/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO FOR US May25 Apr27 Mar24     (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
CLASSY'N CONNECTED Apr20 Mar28 Feb21 Jan18 Dec13 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
WOWSERS May25 May03 Apr07 Feb25   (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 4.00 16% 5.30    
LADY ABERDEEN May26 Apr20 Mar13 Jan19 Dec14 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN SPLENDOR         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
ANGELS ABOVE         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
SOMBRA DORADA May25         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 
CD-3   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKSALOT         (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 10.00    
STRONG STATE         (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
SHERBINI         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
FLAMING GLORY May10         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
THE FEISTY ONE May27         (leitch dani)TORRES A 119 10.00    
DARE TO BREEZE         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
TIFFANY May10         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
BISA         (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00    
ISLAND RIDE Apr07         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
10  HUIXTLA         (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
11  PRINCESS OF OMAHA         (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEBEDOURO May11 Apr06       (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 2.50    
SCR  LET'S GO CHAMP Apr20 Apr06       (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
WICKED MELODY May21 May04 Mar08 Feb15 Jan12 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHIVA         (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
LORD DIAMOND May27         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
DU MONDE May24 Apr24 Feb23 Jan18   (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
ON MY HONOR Mar16 Feb24       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
ZECA DIABO Apr13 Mar23 Feb17 Feb03 Dec23 (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
CD-5   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDENSATION May27 Apr27 Feb03 Dec30 Nov20 (foley greg)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT Apr26 Jan05 Dec09 Nov08 Apr07 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 5.00    
DAZZLING BLUE May27 Apr27 Oct21 Sep02 Jul08 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 52% 0.90    
AMERICAN BAND May04 Mar30 Mar09 Jan12 Dec15 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 10.00    
NOM DE PLUME Apr26 Mar20 Nov01 Aug05 Feb03 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUICK MUNNY Apr30 Apr18 Mar09 Dec17 Dec01 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
YOUR SO SILLEA May24 Apr18 Nov11 Oct26 Sep30 (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
CD-6   06/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERY SATISFACTORY Mar24 Mar07 Nov30     (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 6% 16.10    
ROCKY JOY May02 Mar30 Feb17 Jan06   (lobo paulo )TORRES A 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
OVER AND OLLIE Sep03 Aug19 Jul09 Jun11   (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 125 12.00    
SUGAR HOOK May18 Mar20 Mar09 Jan21 Dec23 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST BID Apr13 Feb03 Dec31 Nov13   (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00    
ENGLISH CHUNNEL         (catalano w)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
CLOUDY HOLIDAY May18 Apr24 Mar08 Feb09 Jan06 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
FREEDOM MAKER         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 8.80    
COWBOY CACHE Apr19 Mar24       (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
10  PACE YOURSELF         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
11  CABERNAYDO May18 Apr06 Feb15 Jan21 Dec23 (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
12  REBEL RED (GB) Apr24         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  FIREFIGHT         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  BOMB CYCLONE Sep29         (molloy thomas)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  SANDBORN         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICO D'ORO Jun05 May18 Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 (caramori ca)TORRES A 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
SHUFFLE DANCE May18 Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 Feb04 (scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE JEDI May18 Apr07 Mar08 Feb03 Jan12 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
SCR  SUPREMELY Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 Nov22 Nov02 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50    
SCR  JOE THE TAILOR May25 Apr21 Jan12 Nov07 Oct17 (catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
TAGLIATELLE May25 May09 Apr12 Mar20 Mar08 (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY May29 Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov17 (veinot trudy)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 15.00    
MOTORCADE May25 Apr28 Apr07 Feb25 Apr23 (ewing michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
CD-8   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAUNA KEA BOUND May17 Mar31 Mar03 Jan28 Dec16 (ewing an)CASTANON L 125 10.00    
SCR  BRITERDAYZAHEAD May27 Nov26 Sep20 Jul16 Jun23 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
TRIPLE ELVIS Mar22 Feb11 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 (blair jordan)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  ECHO AGAIN May16 Apr05 Mar03 May06 Mar30 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SQUIRE CREEK Apr21 Mar03 Aug05 Jul02 May12 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
TRUST DADDY May24 Apr14 Jan12 Nov18 Oct26 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY May27 Mar09 Jul21 Jun27 Jun01 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
LUGAN KNIGHT May03 Sep09 Aug04 Jun04 May06 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVULNERABLE Jan28 Dec31 Nov23 Feb25 Jan21 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00 6% 16.80    
CHATTALOT May16 Mar29 Oct02 Sep07 Aug04 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
SCR  MARKET STREET May18 Apr27 Apr05 Jan28 Dec31 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 116 12.00    
PRO OXIDANT May16 Mar14 Jan19 Nov23 Oct28 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
INSOLITO Apr21 Mar14 Feb10 Dec15 Oct23 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 121 10.00    
MACRON May27 Apr21 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 8.00    
CANDY MAN ROCKET May04 Mar24 Feb24 Jul01 May13 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 13% 6.60    
FORT WARREN May03 Jun10 May19 Jan29 Oct30 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
 
CD-10   06/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSIEUR CANDY Apr19 Mar10 Nov03 Oct20   (cohn g)LANERIE J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) May20 Apr21 Mar15 Feb16 Feb01 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
ZARTOWNIS Mar28 Feb09 Dec29 Nov18 Oct26 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jul08 May20 Apr22 Nov05 Oct09 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
YELLOW CARD May04 Mar23 Feb16     (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD May17 Apr21 Sep16 Aug17 Jul20 (dutrow richa)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00    
POLSTER May17 Apr12 Mar16     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
LINZER Apr16 Mar06 Jan18 Dec22 Oct29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
MACKVILLE Jun02 Apr21 Mar06 Feb07 Dec24 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
10  COMMITTEE OF ONE May17 Apr07 Mar15 Feb16 Jan27 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 10% 9.30    
 
CD-11   06/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALLELUJAH HARRIS May30 Aug05 Jun30     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
CAJUN CRUISER May26 May04       (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
BECKSTER May23 Apr26       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
KEYPAD Jun05         (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
LOBO SALVAJE May23 May13 May02 Apr16 Jan05 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 15.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  MUNYHUNGRY May26 May11 Nov18     (parker r)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
BLOOD BROTHER May23 May09 Feb22     (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT AMBITION May26 Apr30 Mar13 Feb23 Nov11 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
GUATAPE May26 Apr20 Mar23     (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
10  LUCCHESI May24 May02 Mar13     (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
11  BAULE DEL TESORO         (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 15.00    
12  GUN SHOW Jun01         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.