The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.92 $4.92 -1.08
CD-2   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.80 -8.00
CD-3   Win (10/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.38 $4.38 -3.62
CD-4   Win (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -1.20
CD-5   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.02 $4.02 -1.98
CD-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.98 -6.00
CD-7   Win (6/2/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.98 $4.98 -3.02
CD-8   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $16.36 $16.36 10.36
CD-9   Win (7/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.86 $3.86 -4.14
CD-10   Win (6/7/3/13/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $94.80 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/15/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:123 1:372   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DJANGO 1 6 6 3 31 1nk 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 24% 3.20 1.46 W
ELKO COUNTY 5 5 54 6 2½ 2nk 2nk (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 4.03  
SIX KINGS 4 1 3 5 4 45 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 5.19  
TAPIT FOR THE WIN 6 4 1 12 1½ 31 4 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 14.45  
CAT ON TIME 3 3 2 22 52 5 510¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 125 12.00 5% 19.00 12.48  
ASK ARTHUR 2 2 44 4 6 6 622¼ (wismer s)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 22% 3.50 2.25  
 
CD-2   06/15/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 8 1 2nk 1   1 1 (hiles rick)BEALMEAR C 111 3.00 3.90  
LADY ROBO 3 3 1nk 2   2 2 (holden darra)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 18.80  
GOLDYS LOCK 4 4 4 3   36 3 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.29 S
CRAFTY GAL 2 8 8 67   5 4 (ward a)FLORES R 124 3.50 31% 2.20 2.25  
CASINO ANNIE 6 2 7 4   4 510 (parker r)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.31  
LADLE 7 5 6 7   713 619¾ (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 108 15.00 17.75  
MAUI MISTRESS 1 6 31 56   611½ 722½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 5.35  
TAN PAM 5 7 5 8   816½ 829¼ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 18% 4.60 9.43  
 
CD-3   06/15/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLOUDWALKER 10 7 7 8   54 1¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 57% 0.70 1.19 W
MOON SPUN 2 3 21 22   21 2¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 17% 4.70 6.35 P
FOOLISH 1 9 42 4   3 3 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00 33.57  
CABERNEIGH 9 2 11 12   11 4 (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 77.45  
NIKI NINE DOORS 6 5 53 65   6 5 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 3.63  
PELICAN LANE 4 12 12 12   9 63 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 28.44  
TWIRLING GOOD TIME 7 4 6 54   7 7 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
14  ANTIQUE SILVER 12 1 32 32   4 8 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 23.14  
PRINCESA CELINA 3 6 8 119   12 9 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 23.15  
HIDDEN CLASS 5 11 10 98   10 10 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.64  
TIPSY RUNNER 8 8 11 10   11 11 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 33.89  
11  MISS PEABODY 11 10 9 76   87 12 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00 98.01  
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND               (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  KOHARA (IRE)               (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 110 20.00    
SCR  MAKEUP               (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  ZOE'S PRIME               (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00    
 
CD-4   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S IMAGINATION 4 4 4 5 1nk 1 1 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20 2.40 W
GAMETIME GLADIATOR 5 5 65 6 6 2 2 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.42 P
CASHMEUP 6 8 7 7 8 5 3 (miller f)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 11.83  
WRITE OFF JERRY 3 6 5 42 52 44 4 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 19% 4.20 3.90  
WASHINGTON'S UNION 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 3 5 (sims a)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 4.09  
YORK TAVERN 7 1 32 31 4 66 612 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 5.38  
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 8 3 11 1½ 31 7 712 (brownfield clau)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 30.83  
PATROLMAN 1 7 811 85 7 88 814 (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 13% 6.80 6.45  
SCR  MR. FAVERSHAM               (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
SCR  STARSANDSIXSTRINGS               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
 
CD-5   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Monomoy Girl Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR PRETTY WOMAN 1 4 32 3 2½ 1 1¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.40 16% 5.30 1.01 W
INTRICATE 5 5 5 4 32 32 2¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 55% 0.80 2.18 P
BAND OF GOLD 3 2 4 52 5 4 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 7% 13.40 2.55 S
MERASOL SUGAR 4 1 21 2½ 1½ 2 4 (ortiz alexa)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 13.83  
LUCKY SPEECH 2 3 11 1½ 42 5 518¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 17.79  
SCR  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE               (moger jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
CD-6   06/15/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORESEEN 1 1 32 42 42 2 1¼ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 3.49  
LETSTALKABOUTME 2 5 4 3 1½ 1 2¼ (green troy)LANERIE J 118 0.80 33% 2.10 0.65 P
HEART HEADED WOMAN 4 3 21 1½ 2½ 33 3 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 18.07 S
HAPPY HAPPY 5 6 6 53 32 6 412½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00 12.72  
FLAWLESS QUALITY 6 2 11 2½ 5 46 512¾ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 8.19  
QUEEN OF THE RODEO 3 4 54 63 64 5 613¼ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 24% 3.20 5.52  
 
CD-7   06/15/2024 7260ft TURF FIRM Chorleywood Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134 1:383 2:024 2:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEBSLINGER 1 6 69 6 6 42 1½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 28% 2.60 1.49 W
10  SUGOI 6 2½ 21 2 21 1½ 2½ (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 3.90  
BOLD ACT (IRE) 4 7 710 710¾ 7 5 3 (appleby char)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 42% 1.40 2.22 S
11  ANGLOPHILE 7 4 4 4 34 32 4 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.52  
STONE AGE (IRE) 2 1½ 11 1 11 2½ 5 (parente pat)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.93  
RED RUN 3 5 5 59 5 6 611¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.87  
WINNING SPIRIT (GER) 5 3 3 3 4 716½ 732½ (clement christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 9.15  
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 30.00    
SCR  TAWNY PORT               (clement christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
SCR  UTAH BEACH               (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
SCR  WIND TWIST               (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
 
CD-8   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIWANAKU 2 2 2 2 2½ 1 13 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 8.00 9% 10.30 7.18 W
AMERICAN BLAZE 8 1 1 1 1½ 2 23 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 7.78 P
YONO 3 6 64 5 6 55 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 6.82  
OUTLIER 4 3 4 43 32 33 44 (hiles rick)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 2.59  
TEXAS RED HOT 6 7 7 76 7 66 5 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 9.40  
TAPSASIONAL 1 4 32 32 42 43 65 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.84  
FROSTY THE SOLDIER 7 5 54 64 5 7 713¼ (mendieta ale)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00 38.68  
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 5 8 826½ 8100 8100 8100 8100 (reed r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 61% 0.60 1.80  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-9   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:131 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEROUS LOVER 1 5 3 32 4 32 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 12% 7.60 0.93 W
YO PUEDO 3 4 21 2 2nk 1½ 2 (medina robe)TORRES A 124 8.00 7.24  
BIRDIE ROSE 4 1 11 1 1nk 2½ 34 (salas felipe)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.40 S
WITS AND WAGERS 5 7 75 7 5 4 4 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 25.87  
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 7 2 5 5 7 65 5 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 52% 0.90 2.97  
MIDNIGHT TANGO 6 6 42 43 3½ 55 6 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 25.14  
ELLIPTIC (IRE) 8 8 8 8 6 7 710¾ (morey william)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 3.50 7% 12.40 9.97  
BEST SELLER 2 3 6 64 8 8 815¾ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 9.68  
 
CD-10   06/15/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-10:42
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:131 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HEART SPIN 9 8 8 6 6 3 1¼ (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 20.00 46.40  
JUST THE SKY 5 11 1110 11 11 7 2¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 28% 2.50 7.65 P
ADRASTEIA 7 4 108 98 9 65 3¾ (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 67.34  
ON COMMAND 1 7 1½ 1 1½ 1½ 4 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.58  
11  RESTLESS DREAMER 10 5 2½ 2 2½ 2½ 5 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.11  
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 4 1 7 86 7 54 6 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 7.55  
KISS BLUE 8 6 3 32 3 43 7 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 10.00 8.31  
KIMBER SPICE 3 3 97 10 10 8 84 (lovell michelle)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 15% 5.70 11.76  
TIZ SWEET EMOTION 2 2 65 76 8 9 97 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 56.59  
APPELLATE 6 12 1211½ 1211¼ 1210¼ 12 10 (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 15% 5.60 2.94  
13  LUZ DIVINA 12 10 42 43 4 107 1110½ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 14% 6.00 3.54  
12  BIG DIG 11 9 5 54 54 11 1210¾ (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 27.62  
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE)               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
SCR  STRIKE WHEN READY               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  TOFFEE APPLE               (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  WITHOUT CAUSE               (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.