The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (10/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (6/2/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (7/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (6/7/3/13/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/15/2024 5940ft DIRT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DJANGO May10 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Nov12 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 24% 3.20    
ASK ARTHUR May19 Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 Dec22 (wismer s)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
CAT ON TIME May27 Apr30       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SIX KINGS May04 Mar30       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
ELKO COUNTY Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
TAPIT FOR THE WIN May02 Mar30       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
CD-2   06/15/2024 3960ft DIRT Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUI MISTRESS Nov01 Sep13 Aug04     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
CRAFTY GAL         (ward a)FLORES R 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
LADY ROBO May28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb15 Dec22 (holden darra)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00    
GOLDYS LOCK Apr27 Apr10 Mar06 Feb10 May14 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
TAN PAM         (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
CASINO ANNIE Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17 (parker r)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADLE May30 May02 Jan24 Dec30 Nov23 (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 108 15.00    
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY May26 May10 Apr19 Mar09 Feb08 (hiles rick)BEALMEAR C 111 3.00    
 
CD-3   06/15/2024 3630ft TURF Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH May16 Apr06 Jul16 Jun24 Apr30 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
MOON SPUN May16 Mar29 Mar08     (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 17% 4.70    
PRINCESA CELINA May03 Feb21 Aug06 May04   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
PELICAN LANE May19 Aug01 Jun25 May20 Jan07 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
HIDDEN CLASS May25 Dec22 Oct29 Sep13 Aug31 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
NIKI NINE DOORS May11 Apr18 Mar13 Jan31   (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
TWIRLING GOOD TIME May03 Apr07 Sep27     (bauer a)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
TIPSY RUNNER May11 Mar20 Feb23 Jan21 Dec29 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
CABERNEIGH Apr20 Mar07 Feb21 Jan17 Nov18 (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
10  CLOUDWALKER May11 Apr20 Oct19     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 57% 0.70    
11  MISS PEABODY Sep13 Aug05 Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00    
SCR  ZOE'S PRIME Apr12 Mar13 Feb18     (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00    
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND May20 Jun16 May11     (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
14  ANTIQUE SILVER Apr12 Mar15       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  KOHARA (IRE) May31 Sep13       (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 110 20.00    
SCR  MAKEUP Oct19 Aug26       (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATROLMAN May23 Mar14 Dec16 Nov26 Jun23 (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  STARSANDSIXSTRINGS May23 Apr24       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
WASHINGTON'S UNION May23 Apr12 Nov04 Oct19 Sep28 (sims a)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
WRITE OFF JERRY May17 Apr11 Mar21 Feb14 Feb02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
J T'S IMAGINATION May23 Apr14 Mar01 Feb09 Dec29 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
GAMETIME GLADIATOR May01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CASHMEUP May25 Apr27 Feb17 Nov09 Oct06 (miller f)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
YORK TAVERN May23 Apr25 Mar13 Feb02 May28 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO May26 Apr27 Feb18 Feb09 Dec30 (brownfield clau)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  MR. FAVERSHAM Apr14 Mar20 Mar02 Feb15 Jan06 (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT Monomoy Girl Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE May03 Mar29 Feb03 Nov26 Oct12 (moger jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
OUR PRETTY WOMAN May03 Mar23 Feb17 Jan18   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.40 16% 5.30    
LUCKY SPEECH May17 Apr05 Feb29 Jan27 Jan01 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
BAND OF GOLD May03 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Dec23 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 7% 13.40    
MERASOL SUGAR Jun01 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 Feb11 (ortiz alexa)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
INTRICATE Mar23 Feb17 Nov25 Oct13 Sep16 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
CD-6   06/15/2024 5940ft DIRT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORESEEN Apr27 Apr17 Feb18 Nov29 Oct29 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
LETSTALKABOUTME May18 Apr07 Feb29     (green troy)LANERIE J 118 0.80 33% 2.10    
QUEEN OF THE RODEO Apr27 Apr13       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
HEART HEADED WOMAN Apr27 Mar07 Jan25 Dec21 Oct03 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY HAPPY Jun01 May03 Mar22 Feb11 Dec29 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00    
FLAWLESS QUALITY May03         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/15/2024 7260ft TURF Chorleywood Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIND TWIST May30 Apr14 Mar07 Dec16 Nov10 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
WEBSLINGER May04 Mar23 Jan27 Dec02 Nov04 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  TAWNY PORT May11 Mar30 Mar02 Oct13 Sep16 (clement christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
STONE AGE (IRE) May17 Jan27 Dec30 Oct07 Aug26 (parente pat)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
RED RUN May01 Mar29 Jan27 Dec30 Nov11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
BOLD ACT (IRE) May18 Apr20 Oct13     (appleby char)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  KING CURLIN May18 Apr20 Jan01 Nov05 Oct12 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 30.00    
SCR  UTAH BEACH May18 Apr14 Feb28 Jan25 Nov29 (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
WINNING SPIRIT (GER)         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
10  SUGOI May18 Apr25 Feb17 Feb02 Dec23 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
11  ANGLOPHILE May04 Mar02 Jan27 Dec23 Oct07 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPSASIONAL Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Dec29 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIWANAKU May30 Apr25 Dec10 Nov11 Jul23 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 8.00 9% 10.30    
YONO May12 Apr11 Feb03 Dec20 Nov19 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
OUTLIER May30 May12 Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 (hiles rick)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SYSTEMIC CHANGE Apr20 Mar01 Dec10 Oct26 Jun25 (reed r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  BACKGROUND May18 May03 Jul15 Jun04 May05 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
TEXAS RED HOT May18 Mar16 Mar01 Dec02 Nov11 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
FROSTY THE SOLDIER May17 Apr10 Mar22 Mar06 Feb21 (mendieta ale)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
AMERICAN BLAZE May18 Oct21 Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
 
CD-9   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEROUS LOVER May02 Mar21 Feb29 Jan26 May02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 12% 7.60    
BEST SELLER May09 Apr10 Jun16 Apr21 Mar19 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00    
YO PUEDO May11 Aug05 Jun16 Apr27 Mar12 (medina robe)TORRES A 124 8.00    
BIRDIE ROSE May22 Mar23 Feb28 Jan03 Dec02 (salas felipe)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
WITS AND WAGERS Nov12 Oct18 Sep03 Aug19 Jul15 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
MIDNIGHT TANGO May18 Feb24 Dec20 Nov12 Sep13 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00    
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC May30 Apr17       (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
ELLIPTIC (IRE) May16 Apr21 Mar28 Mar06   (morey william)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 3.50 7% 12.40    
 
CD-10   06/15/2024 5610ft TURF Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-10:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON COMMAND May11 Apr12 Mar03 Dec17   (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ SWEET EMOTION May16 May03 Mar23 Jan10 Nov18 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
KIMBER SPICE May17 Apr18 Mar03     (lovell michelle)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  WITHOUT CAUSE May17 Mar23 Feb09 Dec14 Oct29 (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER May09 Apr05 Feb21 Oct27 Oct06 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
JUST THE SKY May04 Mar21 Mar12 Jan22   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
APPELLATE Oct06 Sep03 Jul23     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
ADRASTEIA Mar28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct27 Sep28 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
KISS BLUE         (mott riley)TORRES A 118 10.00    
10  HEART SPIN Mar11 Jan18       (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 125 20.00    
11  RESTLESS DREAMER May09 Apr07 Feb18     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
12  BIG DIG May14 Apr21 Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00    
13  LUZ DIVINA Oct11 Sep23 Sep02     (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE) Apr18 Mar24       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
SCR  STRIKE WHEN READY Apr06         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  TOFFEE APPLE Apr21 Feb21 Jan17 Dec14   (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.