The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.96 -6.00
CD-2   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $57.84 -6.00
CD-3   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.74 $4.74 -1.26
CD-4   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.78 $4.78 -1.22
CD-5   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.78 -6.00
CD-6   Win (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.52 $14.52 6.52
CD-7   Win (8/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.52 $5.52 -2.48
CD-8   Win (5/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.86 $6.86 -1.14
CD-9   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $18.26 $18.26 10.26

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIM TAL 3 1 1½ 1½   14 13 (schultz lin)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 2.98  
J. P. RACE 2 4 5 54   4 23 (gorostieta cir)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 19% 4.20 3.37 P
EXPRESS CRUISER 6 3 3 32   3 36 (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 6.02  
WESTERN COMMAND 4 2 4 4   24 46 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.50 3.42  
BETTERING 1 6 69 66   67 5 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.25  
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 5 5 2½ 2½   56 617 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 23% 3.30 2.34  
 
CD-2   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:244   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR NATION 3 2 6 6 5 4 11 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00 27.92  
SUMMER IN AIKEN 5 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 12 21 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 6% 16.80 6.32 P
RED LINE OVERDRIVE 1 5 3 3½ 3½ 22 3 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 57% 0.80 1.02 S
FREAKY Z 2 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 3 4 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 26.12  
REDHILL 6 4 5 52 43 5 5 (pittman bonnie)MONCADA IRVING 124 5.00 15% 5.80 6.68  
VERACRUZIN 4 6 4 41 619½ 6100 6100 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 1.63  
SCR  MIDWAY MIRACLE               (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 117 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/12/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN JALEN RUN 2 4 32 31   1½ 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.20 44% 1.30 1.37 W
CAPITAL CONNECTION 1 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 1.80 35% 1.90 2.23 P
LEBOMBO 3 3 55 5   36 39 (medina robe)TORRES A 120 10.00 11.94  
RETURNED 4 6 6 68   47 412 (semkin sam)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00 26.02  
GAGLIARDI 5 5 44 4   68 513¼ (mott i)TORRES A 120 3.50 2.22  
ADRIFT 6 2 2½ 2nk   5 617 (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 16.55  
 
CD-4   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G T FIVE HUNDRED 2 2 11 1nk   1 1¾ (blair jorda)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00 1.39 W
FITZPATRICK 3 4 5 5   3 2¾ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 4.70  
SAMURAI PRINCE 4 1 21 2nk   2 3 (ackerman d )BEALMEAR C 111 6.00 30% 2.40 3.82 S
SOARING BIRD 1 5 4 4   43 4 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 40% 1.50 1.86  
ROBO MAN 5 3 31 3   5 510¼ (mcgovern sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 14.63  
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  SANTA CRUISER               (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 10.00    
SCR  SIR OLLIE               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMMY'S CRUISER 3 2 31 3 2nk 12 14 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 2.89  
PAM PAM 5 3 4 43 3 22 24 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 45% 1.20 2.18 P
MOR HAPPY HOURS 6 4 53 54 4 3 3 (cuddie howa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 4.00 4.16  
ELODINE 1 6 21 21 5 55 4 (lopez elias)TORRES A 118 10.00 25.07  
TALAVERA 7 1 11 11 1nk 43 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10.61  
NOBLE BERNADETTE 4 5 75 7 6 65 69 (cano munoz)LANERIE J 126 3.00 24% 3.10 3.55  
BLIND SPEED 8 8 810 812½ 8 78 7 (zito nichol)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00 5% 19.00 12.85  
CAUSE IMA ROSE 2 7 6 64 7 8 813 (guida e)BEJARANO R 126 15.00 30.41  
 
CD-6   06/12/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:13 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 1 4 21 21 3 2 1hd (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 17% 4.80 6.26 W
BROUGHTY FERRY 4 2 5 42 63 4 2hd (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 4.48  
I HAD THAT ONE TOO 7 5 64 63 53 5 3½ (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 124 5.00 5.69  
LADAN 2 6 31 3 21 32 4 (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 17.36  
NEW BEAT 6 1 11 11 11 1 5 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 9% 9.60 2.65  
FASTA LAVISTA BABY 5 3 7 7 7 66 6 (sandy s)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
MALU 3 7 42 5 42 7 7 (maker micha)TORRES A 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.73  
 
CD-7   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAMPUNK 7 3 6 6   2 1¼ (correas ign)TORRES A 118 4.00 26% 2.80 1.76 W
ROSE ALABAMA 4 2 3.2 1½   1 2¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 12.85  
AVALON GIRL 2 6 5 32   33 3 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 12.07  
ROCKAWAY REEF 8 5 8 7   67 4 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 23% 3.40 4.50  
SO FAR SO GOOD 1 8 2nk 5   44 5 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 20.55  
STAGFLATION 5 4 7 8   8 6 (baker james)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 16% 5.10 10.15  
STREETS OF PARIS 3 7 1nk 2½   56 711½ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.62  
WINE AND WAVES 6 1 4 42   7 812½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 3.28  
SCR  AIN'T NO OTHER               (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
 
CD-8   06/12/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT RISING 4 5 2½ 2½ 11 1 1hd (blair jordan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.43 W
CLASSIC CATCH 1 2 3 31 5 5 2hd (pletcher tod)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 5.50  
WARRIOR JOHNY 5 7 52 41 42 2 3¾ (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 6.62  
SALUTE THE STARS 3 6 1½ 1½ 31 32 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 1.89  
GIANT GAME 7 1 42 5 21 43 55 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.99  
GASOLINE 2 4 63 63 64 6 611 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.00 19% 4.10 8.14  
SUPER CORINTO (ARG) 6 3 7 7 7 710½ 721 (correas ign)TORRES A 122 8.00 14% 6.10 10.08  
SCR  TALL BOY               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
 
CD-9   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURSUIT OF POWER 7 2 5 62 3 21 1hd (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.13 W
MACAW (IRE) 2 3 2nk 2½ 1nk 11 2hd (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.51 P
TRUMPTASTIC 3 5 31 31 42 4 3 (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 23% 3.40 2.72 S
BERNIN HOT 1 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 3 43 (davis christop)TORRES A 118 12.00 10.47  
ALWAYS BE SMART 5 8 8 8 66 5 5 (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 9.22  
YELL COUNTY 6 6 9 96 8 6 6 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 6.00 8.67  
AZOI 8 9 7 74 9 811 713¾ (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 16.54  
BETTERA 4 4 4 4 5 710 822 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 125 8.00 13% 6.60 5.77  
AVAILABILITY 9 7 6 52 77 915½ 932½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16.53  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.