Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/6/5)-(2/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/1/6)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(3/6/4)-(5/4/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/4/8)-(3/1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/8)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8)-(3/1/6/5)-(8/9/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(8/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5)-(8/9/5/3)-(5/2/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-7   WIN (8/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/5/3)-(5/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/5/3)-(5/2/7/8)-(2/3/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-8   WIN (5/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/8)-(2/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-9   WIN (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/6/7)-(2/3/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTERING May18 Apr27 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  J. P. RACE May25 Apr07 Feb22 Feb03 Jan06 (gorostieta ci)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  TIM TAL Apr07 Mar09 Feb04 Jan05 Nov03 (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00    
4  WESTERN COMMAND May18 Mar24 Feb03 Jan04 Dec07 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.50    
5  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL Apr20 Mar22 Aug31 Jul16 Jun20 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  EXPRESS CRUISER May19 Apr27 Apr04 Feb09 Jan27 (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
 
CD-2   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED LINE OVERDRIVE May26 Apr12 Mar10 Feb24 Feb04 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
2  FREAKY Z May24 Apr30 Apr16 Mar14 Feb21 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
3  STAR NATION May24 Apr27 Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00    
4  VERACRUZIN May30 May11 Apr20 Nov08 Oct28 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00    
5  SUMMER IN AIKEN May01 Feb22 Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 6% 16.80    
6  REDHILL May01 Apr14 Mar13 Mar01 Feb10 (pittman bonni)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MIDWAY MIRACLE May26 Apr24 Mar29 Dec13 Nov15 (short tho)BEALMEAR C 117 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL CONNECTION May12 Apr14 Mar15 Jan27   (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
2  RUN JALEN RUN Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Dec09 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANALYZE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  LEBOMBO May17 Apr19       (medina ro)TORRES A 120 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of DARING GREATLY by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  RETURNED         (semkin sa)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
5  GAGLIARDI Apr13         (mott william)TORRES A 120 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LISTEN A. P. by A.P. INDY)
6  ADRIFT May10 Apr19 Feb09 Dec21 Nov22 (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BERNADETTA by BERNARDINI)
 
CD-4   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS Apr18 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  SANTA CRUISER Apr04 Sep29 Sep17 Aug20 Jul22 (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 10.00    
3  SOARING BIRD May10 Apr07 Mar16 Nov03 Oct02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  G T FIVE HUNDRED May12 Mar29 Feb23 Jan13 Dec07 (blair jor)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  FITZPATRICK May10 Apr18 Oct01 Aug27 May26 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
6  SAMURAI PRINCE May19 Apr19 Mar22 Nov05 Sep29 (ackerman )BEALMEAR C 111 6.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SIR OLLIE May10 Feb15 Jan28 Dec21 Sep23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.00    
8  ROBO MAN May16 Jan27 Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 (mcgovern s)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELODINE May12 Apr07 Mar08 Feb02   (lopez elias)TORRES A 118 10.00    
2  CAUSE IMA ROSE May08 Apr14 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (guida e)BEJARANO R 126 15.00    
3  TAMMY'S CRUISER Apr27 Apr05 Feb07 Dec14   (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 ★    
4  NOBLE BERNADETTE May02 Mar30 Mar10 Feb18 Feb01 (cano munoz)LANERIE J 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  PAM PAM Apr07 Feb16 Nov19 Oct12   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  MOR HAPPY HOURS May16 May02 Apr14 Mar29 Jan20 (cuddie ho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
7  TALAVERA Jul07 Jun02       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
8  BLIND SPEED         (zito nich)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Feb17 Jan20 Nov10 Oct25 Sep30 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  LADAN May23 Apr07 Mar27 Mar01 Jan11 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
3  MALU May23 Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 Dec15 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  BROUGHTY FERRY Apr30 Mar29 Feb01 Dec21 Nov22 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
5  FASTA LAVISTA BABY May02 Apr14 Mar08 Feb13 Jan18 (sandy stephen)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEW BEAT Apr06 Nov16 Oct06 Mar25 Feb18 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
7  I HAD THAT ONE TOO Nov23 Oct15 Sep03 Aug04 Jul01 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 124 5.00    
 
CD-7   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO FAR SO GOOD         (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
2  AVALON GIRL Nov22         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
3  STREETS OF PARIS         (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROSE ALABAMA May17 Mar30       (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
5  STAGFLATION May23 Apr18 Mar14 Feb15 Nov24 (baker james)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 16% 5.10    
6  WINE AND WAVES May18 Apr13 Mar03     (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
SCR  AIN'T NO OTHER Apr25 Mar23       (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
8  STEAMPUNK Oct15 Aug31 Aug02     (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
9  ROCKAWAY REEF May19         (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
CD-8   06/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CATCH May11 Apr13 Nov18 Oct07 Aug09 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
2  GASOLINE May11 Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  TALL BOY May02 Apr12 Mar07 Dec09 Nov05 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
4  SALUTE THE STARS Sep09 Jul22 Jun17 May14 Aug27 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00    
5  MIDNIGHT RISING Mar30 Mar02 Jan06 Nov08 Jul01 (blair jord)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  WARRIOR JOHNY May11 Apr25 Nov04 Oct20 Sep02 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
7  SUPER CORINTO (ARG) Mar23 Dec08 Nov12     (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
8  GIANT GAME Apr13 Mar01 Nov24 Nov04 Aug25 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNIN HOT May10 Apr17 Aug31 Aug12 Jul15 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
2  MACAW (IRE) May11         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  TRUMPTASTIC May11 Apr17 Mar02 May14 Apr15 (tomlinson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  BETTERA May26 Apr30 Mar24 Feb22 Jan15 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 125 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  ALWAYS BE SMART Apr12 Mar09 Feb11 Dec28 Nov04 (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
6  YELL COUNTY May19 Apr13 Mar09 Feb24 Nov26 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★    
7  PURSUIT OF POWER May11 Feb25 Jun13 May14 Apr14 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  AZOI Mar02 Jan31 Dec21     (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
9  AVAILABILITY May01 Apr06 Mar23     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.