Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $31.64 $7.64 32%
ELP-3   EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-1 $43.78 $19.78 82%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:123 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE GIVEN 1 2 33 33 32 31 1¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.80 42% 1.40 0.56 W
7  LADY ROBO 6 4 21½ 21½ 2½ 2nk 2¾ (holden dar)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50 8.01  
4  KISS ME KATIE 4 3 11½ 11½ 1½ 1nk 31½ (ortiz a)TORRES A 124 6.00 6.99  
3  ZIVA 3 6 77¾ 78 74¼ 53 41½ (hughes by)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 7% 13.10 20.89  
8  CASINO ANNIE 7 5 65¼ 66 63¼ 63¼ 51¾ (parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
6  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 5 8 55 54½ 53 41½ 62¼ (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 3.00 26% 2.80 4.20  
2  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN 2 1 43 43 42 73¼ 74¾ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 17.97  
9  TAPWRIT WARRIOR 8 7 89¼ 811 89¼ 89¼ 822½ (vasquez )RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 66.99  
SCR  VIVIS IN FRONT               (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL FLAME 1 2 11½ 1½   12½ 11½ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.80 38% 1.60 2.38 W
6  GOOD DIRECTIONS 6 6 63¾ 42   22½ 21½ (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 31% 2.30 3.83 P
5  PURSE THIEF 5 7 42 53   52¾ 33 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 3.17  
2  CATAMOUNT 2 3 21½ 3½   42¾ 45 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 10% 8.90 2.71  
7  LA MARINERA 7 1 74¾ 74¼   64¼ 55 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.79  
3  SWEET MO B 3 4 32 2½   32½ 67¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 7.51  
4  MONEYLINE 4 5 52¼ 63¼   74¾ 710 (caramori cai)TORRES A 120 10.00 23.90  
SCR  DREAMAWAY               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.80    
 
ELP-3   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PONDERING 4 4 3.2 3.2   11½ 12¼ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 25% 3.00 0.89 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of ALWAYS THINKING by STREET SENSE)
1  SHIRLEY ANN 1 3 41¾ 41¾   21½ 22¼ (ortiz joh)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.62 P
  (by OUTWORK out of HEY PAIGE by STAY THIRSTY)
2  ELECTRIFYING LADY 2 1 2nk 1nk   31½ 34½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 15.09  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LA MILANESA by MR. GREELEY)
5  BIG AIR 5 6 52¾ 53¼   44½ 410¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.22  
  (by VEKOMA out of BOUND by JUMP START)
9  FUGITIVE STAR 7 7 74¼ 75¼   76¼ 511¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 4.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of VOTING AGREEMENT by MORE THAN READY)
8  LUCY MCGEE 6 5 62¾ 63¼   65¾ 614¼ (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 10.00 21% 3.70 8.19  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
3  PAX AMERICANA 3 2 1nk 2nk   54¾ 717 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 4.65  
  (by WAR FRONT out of COEXISTENCE by VIOLENCE)
SCR  GIVE HER ANOTHER               (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DALSAROS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  POPPY THE PRINCESS               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ROCKET GIRL by UNCLE MO)
 
ELP-4   07/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:213 :45 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MO HAIR SAM 5 2 42 41¾   21 11¾ (hancock j)TORRES A 119 2.50 40% 1.50 2.19 W
7  FIRMANTOWN 6 3 31½ 31½   11 21¾ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.00 26% 2.90 1.44 P
9  STASHU 8 4 1nk 2nk   43 34¼ (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 119 30.00 22.84  
1  MR. COLOSSAL 1 7 74¾ 73¾   54 45½ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 12.86  
8  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS 7 1 2nk 1nk   32 56¼ (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 116 30.00 5% 19.00 9.77  
2  HANK HILL 2 6 86¾ 88¼   78 612¼ (brennan t)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00 5% 19.00 9.83  
5  MENDELLO 4 5 63¼ 63¼   67½ 712¾ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 34.68  
4  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY 3 8 53 53¼   89 816¾ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 109 6.00 5.13  
SCR  SAND CAST               (leonard george)ROMAN A 119 8.00    
SCR  STUNNING BRUNO               (torres con)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  VERY BOLD               (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
 
ELP-5   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:121 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WITS AND WAGERS 6 8 76 63 31½ 1½ 13¾ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 6.38  
1  EYES OF GOLD 1 1 86½ 84¼ 74 32 23¾ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00 5% 19.00 10.62 P
4  PAM PAM 4 6 32½ 32 2½ 2½ 34¼ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 27% 2.60 3.88 S
8  EAST SHORE 8 7 64½ 73¼ 42 42 46¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 2.00 37% 1.70 4.52  
3  LADAN 3 5 53½ 53 64 52½ 58½ (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 8.04  
5  BIRDIE ROSE 5 3 21½ 21 1½ 63 612¾ (salas felipe)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 7% 13.90 8.41  
2  PLEASESTOPTALKING 2 2 43 42½ 86 76 720 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 2.46  
7  MISS PEABODY 7 4 11½ 11 53½ 87 829¼ (newton troy)TORRES A 123 8.00 9.01  
 
ELP-6   07/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:112 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MIKA 9 7 42½ 32 31 1½ 11 (maker michae)TORRES A 119 5.00 7% 14.40 3.59 W
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HISTORY SUPREME by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  SERGEANT CAPPS 6 4 65 42 41¼ 31 21 (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00 14.80  
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
9  SPIRIT RAGS 8 9 76½ 73¾ 62¾ 52½ 31½ (salas felip)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 22.76  
  (by UNION RAGS out of OCTOBER BRIDE by BERNARDINI)
5  HARD AS LIFE 4 6 813 89¾ 85½ 63½ 42¾ (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 6% 15.60 11.14  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DREAMING AS ALWAYS by BROKEN VOW)
8  ART FAIR 7 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 52¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 57% 0.80 1.51  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  ANYTIME ANYWHERE 3 2 32 52¼ 51¼ 42 63¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 18.20 14.39  
  (by HONOR CODE out of QUALITY LASS by CUTLASS)
3  CASE ACE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 76½ 714½ (ennis joh)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00 5% 19.00 23.21  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LONGSTOCKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  CUPID'S THUNDER 1 5 54 63¾ 75¼ 810 816½ (hancock ja)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 27.67  
  (by CUPID out of CATECAL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  SPRINT OUT PASS 5 8 927 921¾ 915½ 916 923¾ (medina ro)TORRES A 119 6.00 2.72  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIGHT OF A STAR by MUQTARIB)
SCR  COFFEE TALK               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DESERT LEGACY by TAPIT)
SCR  NO MO MOOLAH               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SEA SHADOW by JUMP START)
 
ELP-7   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:102 1:231   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECKER POINT 3 4 42½ 41¼ 31 2½ 1½ (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00 ★ 3.06  
8  CAN'T HUSH THIS 7 3 21½ 2nk 2nk 1½ 2½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.29 P
3  UNDERHILL'S TAB 2 1 74½ 63¼ 63¾ 43½ 31 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 4.50 16% 5.40 4.84 S
6  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 5 2 11½ 1nk 1nk 31 43½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 6.66  
7  GILMORE 6 7 64½ 73¾ 75¾ 86½ 54½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 6.89  
2  WINTERS LION 1 9 97 95¾ 97¼ 66 65¾ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 17.72  
11  INVULNERABLE 9 6 53½ 51¾ 43½ 55½ 75¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 27.31  
9  FORT WARREN 8 5 32 3.2 53¾ 76 86 (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 54% 0.80 3.18  
5  ETHEREAL ROAD 4 8 86 85¾ 86¾ 98½ 98¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12.62  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
SCR  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS               (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Twin Bridges Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  YOUR SO SILLEA 3 2 1½ 11   12½ 15½ (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 51% 1.00 0.54 W
  (by LEA out of MISS E ON THE QT by E DUBAI)
6  SWALL 5 3 2½ 21   22½ 25½ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 14% 6.10 3.33 P
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CAT DANCER by STORM CAT)
5  AMERICAN BAND 4 1 52½ 43   34½ 36½ (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 126 12.00 12.60  
  (by FLATTER out of PURIM'S DANCER by PURIM)
3  PISTOL 2 5 42 33   45 47¾ (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 7.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WILD BOUT TIFFANY by WILDCAT HEIR)
7  SECRET STATEMENT 6 4 31 53¼   56½ 59½ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.59  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
2  ALTERED SHOT 1 6 67½ 610¼   610 615½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20.03  
  (by ALTERNATION out of WYN JYM by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  AMARETTI               (mott will)TORRES A 122 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CARAMEL SNAP by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  NON VIOLENCE               (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 5.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SINGAVICTORYSONG by HARD SPUN)
 
ELP-9   07/22/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:103 1:342   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DASHMAN 2 3 41 51¾ 31½ 11½ 11¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 22% 3.50 0.98 W
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
7  AK SAR BEN DERBY 7 8 62¼ 73¼ 52¾ 21½ 21¼ (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 30.18  
  (by TAPITURE out of MENSA MEMBER by FLATTER)
10  CLOUDY HOLIDAY 10 10 105¼ 105¼ 106 32½ 31¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 5.00 12% 7.10 17.52 S
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  THE DOVER SPECTER 9 7 72¾ 62¼ 62¾ 43 41½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 21.70  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPOOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
11  ENGLISH CHUNNEL 11 9 83¾ 84¼ 74¼ 74 55¼ (catalano )TORRES A 118 6.00 20% 4.00 3.98  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTERROGATION by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  BOMB CYCLONE 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 53 65¾ (molloy th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.68  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WOOD NOT by KISSIN KRIS)
1  FRENCH BREAD 1 1 31 41½ 41¾ 84½ 78¼ (bicknell whit)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00 35.08  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  REDEMPTION SPEIGHT 3 2 94¼ 94¼ 84½ 95½ 88¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 124 8.00 16% 5.40 14.46  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GAS TOTAL by SULAMANI)
5  REMARKABLE MO 5 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 63½ 99 (brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 5.62  
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
8  AWOL 8 11 116¼ 115¾ 116 106 1011½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 13.51  
  (by ARROGATE out of AFLEETING LISA by AFLEET ALEX)
4  SON OF A MAN 4 6 51¼ 3½ 95½ 1123 1147½ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 82.94  
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LADY REDD by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.