Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $11.40  
SAR-2   Win (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 6.20
SAR-3   Win (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $48.60  
SAR-4   Win (9/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
SAR-5   Win (1/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
SAR-6   Win (3/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
SAR-7   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 11.40
SAR-8   Win (8/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
SAR-9   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 11.20
SAR-10   Win (2/7/12/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $17.20 $17.20 7.20

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND CHANCE (VEN) 1 4 2 2   21 1¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 4.70  
10  MISS C BANKER 10 1 1 1   11 2¼ (morley thomas)TORRES A 119 2.50 14% 6.10 2.15 P
HEAVENLY LIGHT 3 8 710½ 7   5 3 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 38% 1.60 2.10 S
LOOKIN TO ROCK 9 2 3 33   3 45 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 29.25  
LADY DELILAH 7 6 67 6   8 5 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 15.00 25.25  
DANCING DAKOTAH 2 9 812½ 8   68 6 (david carlos)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
MUSICAL CUE 5 3 44 54   4 7 (giddings mel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 9.90  
ON A SUMMER DAY 4 5 56 44   79 8 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
CLASSICALS FINALE 6 10 1015½ 914½   914¼ 912 (chichakly a)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 35.75  
CATALINA FINA 8 7 913½ 1016   1026¼ 1031¼ (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 47.25  
SCR  EARLY ON               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
SCR  MEGA CHANGER               (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  MIAVANA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  PERUGIA (IRE)               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  SPEED AND BEAUTY               (giddings mel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  YOUNG AT HEART               (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
 
SAR-2   07/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:111     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERDAYGONEBY 1 4 44 3   2 1 (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 120 3.00 8% 12.20 6.10 W
MON PETIT CHOU 3 1 12 16   1 2 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00 P
CONDIMENT GIRL 6 3 22 26   33 37 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.55 S
R FUNNY BIZNESS 2 6 711½ 717   611½ 410¼ (padilla-preciado )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 30% 2.40 3.40  
RUN DEVIL 4 5 5 513   510½ 510¼ (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 7.20  
JOLLY MISS JILL 8 2 3 4   49 615¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 12.00  
JOEY THE FISH 5 7 821½ 832   826½ 722¼ (persaud )GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00 27.75  
MUCHO MAMA MIA 7 8 6 616½   719½ 823¼ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 6.00  
 
SAR-3   07/25/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143 1:392 2:033 2:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LADY BAILEY 2 3 33 3 32 11 1 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 23.30  
1A  IN TIME (FR) 5 42 43 4 42 31 2 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 14% 6.20 2.95  
HAY STACK 1 53 54 5 53 21 3 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 2.95 S
JUSTDENY 6 75 7 7 8 4 4 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 4.30  
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 8 86 8 8 9 64 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 40% 1.50 1.50  
HIGH STICK 9 1 2 2 21 5 65 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 26% 2.80 6.50  
SACRED IMAGE 4 64 6 6 6 87 7 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 9.00  
LULLABY LAND 7 9 9 9 74 98 88 (abrams jack)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 46.00  
MO SHIRO 3 2 1 1 11 7 9100 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 16.20  
SCR  CURLIN'S GIRL               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S STYLE               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:13 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLE EST FORTE 4 5 510 59 4 1nk 13 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 27% 2.70 2.45 W
10  NEXT ON STAGE 6 4 1 1 1½ 2nk 23 (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 2.80  
PALLOTTA SISTERS 5 2 2 2 2½ 3.2 3 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60 30% 2.30 1.65 S
KANNON FIRE 3 1 48 4 54 5 4 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
TAP IT UP 2 3 3 3 31 4 513 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 10.80  
MISS KRISTY 1 6 616½ 616 614 613¾ 617 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00 21.20  
SCR  AMITY ISLAND               (persaud eddi)RIVERA R 123 50.00    
SCR  BENGALA JOY               (jimenez l)TORRES A 123 15.00    
SCR  MISS BONNIE T               (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  PSYCHEDELIC               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00    
SCR  UNSOLVED MYSTERY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.40    
 
SAR-5   07/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:103 1:371   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 9 2 13 16 110 1 15 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00 59% 0.70 0.45 W
WHISKEY N SODA 1 6 33 26 210 2 25 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.00 0.45 P
PAYNTER'S PRODIGY 2 7 5 4 312½ 318½ 319 (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50 S
11  JUNGFRAU 8 1 7 710½ 718¼ 419½ 420¼ (romero jesus)LUZZI J 123 20.00 25.25  
WATCH HILL 4 5 23 3 412½ 520 521¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
OCTOBER BLISS 5 4 6 610½ 618 826 629½ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00 18.90  
10  ENDOWED 7 3 44 58 513 625 732 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 8% 11.30 8.20  
MASTERWORK 6 8 9 811½ 818¾ 725 832 (morley thomas)TORRES A 123 5.00 5.30  
PAPI ON ICE 3 9 8 911¾ 921¾ 928 933 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00 30.50  
SCR  ALL THE RAGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
SCR  CAVENDISH               (brion keri)SANTANA JR 125 12.00    
SCR  LONELY RIDE               (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  SCOTTO               (jones eduard)BONILLA CRISTINA 123 50.00    
 
SAR-6   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE CHASE 6 1 1 11   13 1 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.50 3.60 W
MAN OF MISCHIEF 2 3 3 33   23 2 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 4.10  
SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD 3 2 2 21   3 311½ (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 4.50 29% 2.40 3.40 S
BRINK 5 7 67 67   6 412¾ (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00 10.50  
BUTTAH 4 5 5 55   58 512¾ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 119 15.00 23.20  
DOMINICAN THUNDER 1 4 42 4   47 613 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
10  BOOKITWITHHADDAD 8 6 8 811   711½ 719½ (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 6% 15.80 3.90  
BIG BROWN DELIVERS 7 8 79 710½   811½ 821¼ (noda orlando)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 15.10  
SCR  ARK ROYAL               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
SCR  NEW MATTHEW               (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  PLAY THE GRAY               (velazquez dani)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 15.00    
SCR  SOLAR GLARE               (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
 
SAR-7   07/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDDINGTON 6 1 3 32   1½ 1 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70 W
1A  GOT THUNDER 4 5 5 4   3½ 2 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 12.30  
BEACHWALKER 5 3 6 64   4 3 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 6.40  
PRINTRACK 3 2 2nk 2½   5 47 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.00 52% 0.90 1.50  
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 2 4 1nk 1½   2½ 5 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 3.80  
DOT'S DOLLAR 1 6 43 5   6 610¾ (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 21% 3.70 2.85  
SCR  KINGDOM               (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  ROCKET AND ROLL               (chatterpaul )RIVERA R 118 20.00    
SCR  TALKIN PHAROAH               (padilla-preciado)ADORNO ABNER 118 5.00    
 
SAR-8   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLOMITE 8 7 4 2½   11 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 39% 1.60 0.85 W
CRUISE TO CATALINA 2 5 5 53   54 2 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 17% 4.90 2.75 P
EASY PLAY 3 1 12 1½   21 3 (d'alessandro ralp)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00 30.50  
BETTER HUMOR ME 1 2 32 32   4 45 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 15.50  
NEWSDLEY 6 3 22 42   33 55 (synnefias dimi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
PERPETUAL PRAISE 7 6 6 6   6 617¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 26.25  
BIG HAZEL 4 8 8 79   713½ 719½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 28.75  
LA BANQUERA 5 4 78 811   814½ 827½ (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 13% 6.50 4.50  
 
SAR-9   07/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC12 FIRM Caress Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:212 :434 :552     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 8 2 4 4   5 1¼ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
DANSE MACABRE 5 7 7 8   4 2¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 16% 5.40 6.40 P
FUTURE IS NOW 3 1 1nk 1nk   1 3½ (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 30% 2.30 5.10 S
SECRET MONEY 2 8 9 10   6 4½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 16.70  
ZEITLOS 9 10 10 9   8 51 (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 15.00 12.80  
11  STAR GUEST (GB) 10 9 8 7   9 6 (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 2.30  
FREEDOM SPEAKS 6 6 6 5   7 7 (d'angelo f)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 25.75  
KAUFYMAKER 4 3 2nk 2nk   2 8 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00 3.20  
RUN FOR THE HILLS 7 5 3.2 3.2   3 9 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 19.60  
KERRY 1 4 5 6   10 1010 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 26.50  
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  ROSES FOR DEBRA               (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER               (bauer a)TORRES A 120 6.00    
 
SAR-10   07/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:121 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZTERTONIC 8 6 23 22 21 2nk 1hd (brion keri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60 W
KID KREESA 5 1 13 12 11 1nk 2hd (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 124 20.00 31.25  
10  ENGLISH CASTLE 10 4 4 44 4 32 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 7.50  
KORU 7 5 56 56 54 5 43 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 25% 3.00 2.40  
MY LIFE STORY 2 2 3 3 3 4 55 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 36% 1.80 4.00  
12  DAKOTA COUNTRY 12 9 910¼ 8 7 6 6 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 8% 11.80 3.20  
TIZ THE PRINCE 1 3 6 66 6 7 7 (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 21.90  
TEMPLE CREED 3 11 1111¾ 1111½ 810¼ 8 810 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 7% 12.40 14.40  
WITHIN VIEW 6 10 1213¼ 1215½ 1214¾ 910¾ 912¾ (sells rachel)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 36.50  
ARTFUL DREAMER 4 12 1010¾ 99 1112¼ 1012¾ 1015½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 32.50  
CASH OR CHOCOLATE 9 7 8 1010 910¼ 1113¾ 1119 (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 118 50.00 64.00  
11  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY 11 8 7 7 1010¾ 1221¾ 1230 (schetti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00 55.25  
SCR  CASH BAIL               (meadow pat)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
SCR  JUDGE RULES               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE               (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  SWEET TONE               (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.