Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (4/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (9/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (1/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (3/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (8/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (2/7/12/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL CUE         (giddings mel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  SPEED AND BEAUTY         (giddings mel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
2  SECOND CHANCE (VEN)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
3  DANCING DAKOTAH         (david carlos)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEAVENLY LIGHT         (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  ON A SUMMER DAY         (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLASSICALS FINALE         (chichakly a)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
7  LADY DELILAH         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 15.00 ★    
8  CATALINA FINA         (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
9  LOOKIN TO ROCK Jul05         (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
10  MISS C BANKER Jul05         (morley thomas)TORRES A 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  YOUNG AT HEART         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  MEGA CHANGER         (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  MIAVANA Jun28         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  PERUGIA (IRE)         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  EARLY ON         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Jun29 May12 Apr24 Mar23 Mar08 (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 120 3.00 8% 12.20    
2  R FUNNY BIZNESS Jul02 Jun11 Apr30 Mar27 Feb28 (padilla-preciado )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
3  MON PETIT CHOU Apr28 Jul04 Jun02 May07 Apr06 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUN DEVIL Jun29 Jun15 Apr21 Mar30 Mar01 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
5  JOEY THE FISH Jun21 May24 May10 Apr21 Apr04 (persaud )GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00    
6  CONDIMENT GIRL Jun22 May25 Apr30 Mar09 Jan28 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  MUCHO MAMA MIA May24 May03 Sep15 Aug19 Jul17 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
8  JOLLY MISS JILL Jun21 May10 Apr21 Apr04 Mar24 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/25/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY STACK Jun28 Apr27 Mar23 Feb15 Nov23 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 ★    
1A  IN TIME (FR) Jul07 Apr25 Nov12     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
2  BOSS LADY BAILEY Jun21 May11 Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 12.00    
3  MO SHIRO Jun25 May29 May02 Mar02 Feb05 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00    
4  SACRED IMAGE Jul07 Apr25 Feb10 Dec09   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
5  JUSTDENY Jun20 May18 Apr05 Oct27 Sep03 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
6  LULLABY LAND Jul07 Jun18 Nov19 Sep03 Jul30 (abrams jack)CASTILLO A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Oct07 Sep09 Jul09 Nov05 Sep01 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
8  HIGH STICK Jun28 May11 Apr14 Jul02 Jun10 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jul04 Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar28 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 5.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S GIRL Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
 
SAR-4   07/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENGALA JOY Jun28 Jun20 Jan31 Jul11 May13 (jimenez l)TORRES A 123 15.00    
SCR  MISS BONNIE T Jun20 May09 Nov25 Aug31 Dec29 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
3  MISS KRISTY Jun14 May09 Apr11 Mar14 Jan01 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00    
SCR  AMITY ISLAND Jul04 Jun20 May12 Mar15 Feb19 (persaud eddi)RIVERA R 123 50.00    
5  TAP IT UP Mar16 Feb10 Dec22 Oct28 Oct12 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00    
6  KANNON FIRE Jun14 May09 Aug02 Jul09 May28 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ELLE EST FORTE May09 Mar21 Feb22 Jan15 Nov23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  PSYCHEDELIC Mar15 Mar01 Feb14 Dec15 Feb01 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00    
9  PALLOTTA SISTERS May29 Apr26 Feb10 Jan12 Dec03 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60 30% 2.30    
10  NEXT ON STAGE Jun15 May16 Feb29 Feb04 Jan07 (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
SCR  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Nov22 Mar18 Feb24 Jan26 Dec30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.40    
 
SAR-5   07/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY N SODA Jun01 Apr20       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.00 ★    
1A  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 Feb21 Oct16 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00 59% 0.70    
2  WATCH HILL Jun22 May19 Apr19 Mar09 Feb18 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAVENDISH Jul13 May03 Mar23 Mar03 Feb14 (brion keri)SANTANA JR 125 12.00    
3  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Jan06 Nov11       (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCOTTO Jun16 Jun01 May02 Apr04 Mar08 (jones eduard)BONILLA CRISTINA 123 50.00    
5  PAPI ON ICE Jun22 May17 May02 Apr05 Mar17 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00    
SCR  LONELY RIDE Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 Jan21   (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
7  OCTOBER BLISS Jul14 Jun22 May09 Apr28 Mar22 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
SCR  ALL THE RAGE Jun22 Apr27 Feb02 Nov18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
9  MASTERWORK Apr25 Mar02 Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 (morley thomas)TORRES A 123 5.00    
10  ENDOWED Jun28 May27 May09 Apr05 Jul26 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 8% 11.30    
11  JUNGFRAU Jun14 May27 Apr05 Feb29 Feb11 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
 
SAR-6   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINICAN THUNDER Jun06         (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAN OF MISCHIEF         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
3  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  ARK ROYAL         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
5  BUTTAH         (sells rachel)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
6  BRINK Jun21         (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
7  IN THE CHASE         (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  NEW MATTHEW         (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
9  BIG BROWN DELIVERS         (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
10  BOOKITWITHHADDAD         (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  PLAY THE GRAY Jun24         (velazquez dani)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 15.00    
SCR  SOLAR GLARE         (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
 
SAR-7   07/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOT THUNDER Jul18 May11 Apr27 Mar21 Mar10 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00    
SCR  KINGDOM Jul05 Apr12 Mar15 Feb10 Dec17 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
2  DOT'S DOLLAR Jun23 May05 Apr11 Apr05 Feb09 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  ROCKET AND ROLL Jul12 Jul05 Jun27 May26 May11 (chatterpaul )RIVERA R 118 20.00    
SCR  TALKIN PHAROAH Jul08 May22 Mar22 Mar07 Feb02 (padilla-preciado)ADORNO ABNER 118 5.00    
5  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jun30 May04 Mar30 Feb02 Dec09 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
6  PRINTRACK Jun30 Apr27 Mar30 Mar03 Feb04 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
7  BEACHWALKER Jun30 Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 Mar01 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
8  REDDINGTON Jun27 Jun01 May19 Apr06 Jan27 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-8   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER HUMOR ME Dec15 Nov25 Oct12 Aug12   (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
2  CRUISE TO CATALINA Jun16         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  EASY PLAY Jul02 Jun10 Apr25 Apr18 Mar16 (d'alessandro ralp)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00    
4  BIG HAZEL Jul07 May16 Apr25 Jan19 Dec03 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
5  LA BANQUERA Jun09 May24       (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
6  NEWSDLEY Jun30 May16 Apr18 Feb17 Dec29 (synnefias dimi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PERPETUAL PRAISE Jun22 May16 Apr18 Mar28 Feb23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
8  DOLOMITE Dec02 Oct22 Sep01     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-9   07/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC12 FIRM Caress Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERRY Jun29 May26 Apr27 Dec30 Nov25 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
2  SECRET MONEY Jun01 May03 Apr13 Mar10 Dec02 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00    
3  FUTURE IS NOW Jun07 May17 Apr20 Mar10 Feb09 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  KAUFYMAKER Jun07 Oct07 Aug02 May28 Apr07 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
5  DANSE MACABRE Nov17 Oct19 Sep02 May03 Mar04 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 16% 5.40    
6  FREEDOM SPEAKS Jul06 Apr16 Oct22 Sep13 Aug19 (d'angelo f)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
7  RUN FOR THE HILLS Jul11 Jun07 May03 Apr07 Mar03 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
8  DONTLOOKBACKATALL Jun24 May05 Mar31 Oct19 Sep14 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ZEITLOS May24 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 15.00    
SCR  ROSES FOR DEBRA Jun07 Apr13 Nov04 Sep23 Aug25 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
11  STAR GUEST (GB)         (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  HOT FUDGE Jun15 May18 Apr06 Mar09 Jan27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun07 May12 Apr25 Apr07 Feb29 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31   (bauer a)TORRES A 120 6.00    
 
SAR-10   07/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE PRINCE Jun30 Jun06 Nov12     (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
2  MY LIFE STORY Jun14 May03 Mar30 Mar06 Jan28 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 36% 1.80    
3  TEMPLE CREED Jun22         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 7% 12.40    
4  ARTFUL DREAMER Jun06 Apr20 Mar16     (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
5  KID KREESA Jun28 Jun09 May10 Nov19 Oct27 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 124 20.00    
6  WITHIN VIEW Jul05 Jun14 May17 Apr11 Mar10 (sells rachel)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
7  KORU Jun14 Apr27 Mar10     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
8  MIZTERTONIC Jun29 Apr29       (brion keri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CASH OR CHOCOLATE Jun27         (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 118 50.00    
10  ENGLISH CASTLE Jun14 May03 Nov03     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
11  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Apr13 Feb25       (schetti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
12  DAKOTA COUNTRY Jun14 May03 Mar23     (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  CASH BAIL May21 Oct25 Oct05 Aug23 Oct17 (meadow pat)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
SCR  SWEET TONE Jun22 May25 May10 Apr27 Nov17 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  JUDGE RULES Jun28 May25 May11 Apr13 Mar14 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE Dec29         (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.