Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.00 $4.00 67%
SAR-2   DD (8/1/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $10.20 $1.20 13%
SAR-5   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7 $20.30 $14.30 238%
SAR-6   TRI (1/8/10/11/3)-(1/8/10/11/3)-(1/8/10/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-8-3 $41.25 $11.25 38%
    DD (7/3/6)-(1/8/10/11/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-1 $17.60 $2.60 17%
SAR-7   PK3 (7/3/6)-(1/8/10/11/3)-(2/3/10/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00  3-1-3 $85.50 $25.50 43%
SAR-10   WIN (3/1/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $13.00 $3.00 30%
    EXA (3/1/2/7/8)-(3/1/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $139.50 $119.50 598%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIMCHI CAT 1 4 11 11   13 1 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 27% 2.70 4.00 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
ELEMIAH 2 5 21 21   33 2 (giddings mela)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 3.95  
  (by ROWAYTON out of UNBRIDLED TRUTH by UNBRIDLED)
SILVER CIRCLE 4 1 3 3   4 3 (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 18% 4.40 10.60 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of GRAND PRIX by TALE OF THE CAT)
LA CARA 8 3 4 4   23 46 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.15  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CARA CATERINA by BERNARDINI)
BOSSY PANTS 6 8 75 65   5 5 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 8.30  
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUEEN MUM by PAYNTER)
SHE'S A GAMER 5 6 87 89   7 611 (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 17.30  
  (by GAME WINNER out of FUNNY FEELING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PRACTICAL LOV 7 2 65 78   89 711¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 21.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LOVISA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GOING STEADY 3 7 54 54   67 813¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 24.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLUEJEANS by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-2   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVY 4 2 1½ 1   15 1½ (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 42% 1.40 0.75 W
RIDER'S SPECIAL 1 3 5 69   4 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 27% 2.70 1.85  
MAGNIFICENT MILE 5 7 6 5   37 3 (potts wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 11.20  
BOURBON'S HOPE 6 1 2½ 2   25 46 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00 33.50  
INDEPENDENT PAUL 2 4 34 37   5 5 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 8.50  
1A  BLOWN COVER 7 6 4 4   610½ 614 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 1.85  
SCREAMING UNCLE 3 5 79 713½   720½ 722¾ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER               (persaud r)BOCACHICA J 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSI 1 6 64 53   3½ 1¼ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 34% 2.00 1.75 W
TWISTED FILIGREE 6 2 1½ 1½   2nk 2¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 4.00 P
YOUR MAN ALEX 3 4 4 42   1nk 3¼ (giddings melan)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90 7.00 S
FINAL DENILE 7 8 7 8   7 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80 2.65  
TWO'S A CROWD 4 7 8 7   4 5 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 17.80  
ALLIED ATTACK 2 3 32 32   6 6 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 5 9 9 9   8 7 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 53.00  
SARATOGA BANKER 8 1 2½ 2½   5 89 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 10.00 9.40  
CASHEL KITTEN 9 5 53 6   9 911¾ (englehart )RIVERA R 122 20.00 40.75  
SCR  BOSS TWEED               (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.80    
SCR  COLLECTED SPECIAL               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  LAUNCH CONTROL               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  LIMIT UP               (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 6 2 4 33   23 1¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 14.80  
MIGHTY MADISON 7 1 2½ 2nk   13 2¼ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 19% 4.20 1.05 P
SIGNAL FROM NOISE 1 6 6 65   3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 44% 1.30 2.10 S
BACKYARD MONEY 2 4 3 4   512 410¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
INTO HAPPINESS 4 7 712½ 715   612 511 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 22.20  
1A  STARSHIP DEFIANT 5 3 1½ 1nk   411½ 618½ (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 5.30  
MOSIENKO 3 5 52 5   715 718¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 5.30  
 
SAR-5   07/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITZA MIRRAKLE 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1 12 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 29% 2.50 4.40 W
  (by ARROGATE out of JUSTA LADY by MORE THAN READY)
PROTECTIVE 6 2 31 31 31 2 22 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 34% 1.90 0.85 P
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GRACE HALL by EMPIRE MAKER)
MILITARY ROAD 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 37 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 2.45  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PRIVATE ENSIGN by A.P. INDY)
ELKO COUNTY 4 5 6 6 69 49 413¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 16.10  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
TRULLI WARRIOR 5 6 52 53 5 614 525½ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
  (by CURLIN out of ALBEROBELLO by BERNARDINI)
HAIZUM 2 4 4 4 4 512½ 634¼ (matz michael )VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 23.00  
  (by ARROGATE out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
SCR  SALACIOUS               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
 
SAR-6   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:121 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DEEP SATIN 9 5 21 2½ 2nk 12 13 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.00 0.85 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
STRIFE 8 6 6 7 7 3 23 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 18% 4.60 6.90 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
PISCIOTTA (GB) 1 1 7 8 8 55 3 (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 0.85  
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of KAZEERA by DUBAWI (IRE))
APPELLATE 3 11 10 10 10 6 4 (pletcher )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEIGH COURT by GRAND SLAM)
11  LA SALVADORENA 12 7 53 5 3½ 22 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5% 18.00 9.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LADY ASTOLA by LONHRO (AUS))
10  LATTE LIZZIE 11 10 11 11 126 7 65 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7% 13.60 10.40  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
COIF 2 2 31 41 5 86 77 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.80  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAYWORTH by ARCH)
MISS HEBRIDES 7 12 12 12 115 98 8 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 52.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SYLVIA T by CURLIN)
OUT TOO LATE (GB) 6 4 4 31 41 4 9 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 26.50  
  (by EXPERT EYE out of MISS ATOMIC BOMB by INTIKHAB)
SUNDAY TIFF 5 8 9 9 93 1012 1015 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 34.25  
  (by CONNECT out of STAGE DIRECTION by MALIBU MOON)
HOLLYWOOD DREAM 10 9 8 6 6 1115 1121 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 42.25  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS HOLLYWOOD by MALIBU MOON)
MONTEGO BAY (IRE) 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 1216 1232¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 36.75  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
SCR  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WEST COAST CHICK by MALIBU MOON)
 
SAR-7   07/14/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:381 2:022 2:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 2 5 4 4 4 1½ 1¼ (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 30% 2.30 2.50 W
TRULY QUALITY 1 73 64 6 64 4 2¼ (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60 P
SIX MINUS 3 9 8 87 85 63 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 11.20  
LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) 5 10 10 10 108 7 4 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00 43.25  
RELAMPAGO VERDE 6 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 5 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00 15.40  
MONDEGO (GB) 7 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 31 6 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 4.30  
10  CRABS N BEER 8 8 9 98 96 9 75 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 12% 7.10 7.00  
DAUNT 4 4 3 32 32 53 85 (ribaudo rober)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 9.90  
12  BAY STREET MONEY 10 6 7 76 75 10 9 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 40.50  
11  LUCKY CURLIN 9 31 5 54 5 85 1011¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
SCR  CALIFORNIA FROLIC               (avila juan )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  CYBER NINJA               (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
SCR  GILDED AGE               (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 30.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSTABLE PRINCE 7 7 8 99 56 2 1 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00 18.60  
10  STREET SWAGG 10 2 11 11 14 1 2 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 11.10  
PROVE WORTHY 3 9 1014 1016 1010½ 67 35 (casse no)SANTANA JR 125 1.20 56% 0.80 1.80 S
SOUTH STREET 2 5 65 54 3 3 4 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
SKI COUNTRY 1 10 910½ 8 68 88 510¾ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 15.00 16.20  
THANK YOU JON 8 3 3 32 4 4 611¼ (romero jes)RIVERA R 123 12.00 15% 5.50 6.50  
KENTUCKY JOKER 6 8 7 78 7 7 712 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 19.60  
STOP THE SPREAD 4 1 21 21 24 57 815¼ (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 40.25  
MAGIA NERA 5 4 43 4 89 913 921 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 2.50  
PHILHARMONIC 9 6 54 64 9 1013½ 1023¾ (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00 28.00  
SCR  WARRIOR RICHARD               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC12 FIRM Quick Call Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:211 :44 :55     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) 5 3 5 55   1nk 1 (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 0.80 62% 0.60 0.65 W
  (by KODIAC out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
MANSA MUSA (IRE) 4 2 2 2   2nk 2 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 7% 12.60 7.50 P
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of SUNDIATA by AFRICAN SKY (GB))
FANDOM (GB) 3 6 67 67   6 3 (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.00 3.65 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of BROGAN by NIJINSKY II)
AMERICAN RASCAL 6 7 77 77   7 4 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 14.90  
  (by CURLIN out of LADY AURELIA by SCAT DADDY)
SMOKEY SMOKEY 2 5 4 4   5 5 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 27.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEAPONRY by WAR FRONT)
SET 7 4 3 33   32 6 (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 27.00  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of THREE AM TOUR by STRATEGIC PRINCE)
NO NAY METS (IRE) 1 1 1 1   4 710¾ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.60  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  APOLLO TEN               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 117 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  BARAYE               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
SCR  FELTRINELLI               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
 
SAR-10   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:364     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARNSTORMING 8 6 5 6 7 4 1nk (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00 DQ↓2
WRITE OFF JERRY 7 10 10 10 10 6 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 8% 11.00 5.50 W
BEARY FUNNY 6 3 42 4 4 2nk 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 14.90  
YOUR MISSION 4 11 12 11 84 5 4 (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 18.20  
BIG BIG STAR 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 5 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 15% 5.60 10.30  
10  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES 10 12 11 12 12 8 6 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 3.90  
DOWNING STREET 5 5 8 8 11 9 75 (d'angelo fr)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 6.80  
OCTOBER BLISS 9 7 74 7 6 10 8 (brown r)LUZZI J 125 30.00 41.25  
11  ERIC FROM MIAMI 11 9 9 9 9 12 9 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5.10  
VALUE ENGINEER 3 4 31 3½ 31 7 1010 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 24% 3.20 6.70  
12  VINCE THE PRINCE 12 8 6 53 52 11 1111 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 16.80  
LA MAQUINA 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 31 1211½ (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 19% 4.40 9.50  
SCR  MASTERWORK               (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
SCR  PRICING POWER               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.