Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (1/8/10/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (2/3/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (3/1/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMCHI CAT Jun14         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  ELEMIAH         (giddings melani)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
3  GOING STEADY         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
4  SILVER CIRCLE Jun14         (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
5  SHE'S A GAMER         (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
6  BOSSY PANTS Jun14         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 ★    
7  PRACTICAL LOV         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
8  LA CARA Jun21 May17       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
SAR-2   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDER'S SPECIAL Jun28 Nov05 Sep14 Jul31 Jun29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 27% 2.70    
1A  BLOWN COVER Apr14 Feb24 Jan07 Nov23 Oct25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 ★    
2  INDEPENDENT PAUL May18 May12 Apr20 Apr05 Mar24 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00    
3  SCREAMING UNCLE Jun23 May26 Apr04 Feb24 Dec28 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIVY Jun23 Jun06 Apr26 Mar22 Feb24 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
5  MAGNIFICENT MILE Jun28 May19 Apr05 Mar29 Feb24 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE May05 Apr19 Mar30 Mar09 Mar03 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jun22 Apr07 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 (persaud ran)BOCACHICA J 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLIED ATTACK Jun22 May25 Apr21 Mar10 Jan18 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAUNCH CONTROL Jun22 May26 May29 May05 Apr07 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
2  RUSSI May25 Apr21 Nov11 Sep04 Aug17 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  YOUR MAN ALEX Jun22 May26       (giddings melanie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  TWO'S A CROWD Nov30 Oct29 Oct04 Sep10 Aug20 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
5  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Jun11 May09 Apr13 Mar09 Feb18 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
6  TWISTED FILIGREE Jun16 May12       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 ★    
7  FINAL DENILE Jun22 May10 Mar24     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  SARATOGA BANKER Jun19 May20 Apr29 Mar02 Jan31 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 10.00    
9  CASHEL KITTEN Aug22 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 Oct19 (englehart je)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
SCR  COLLECTED SPECIAL Jun22 May12 Apr26 Mar21 Feb04 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  BOSS TWEED Jun23 May17 Apr20 Apr04   (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.80    
SCR  LIMIT UP Jul08 Jun11 May27 May07 Mar17 (englehart s)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSIENKO May12 Apr18 Jan27 Dec17 Dec01 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
1A  STARSHIP DEFIANT May12 Apr14 Mar17 Mar09 Jan28 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
2  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Jun21 Aug30 Jul30 Jun10 Mar10 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
3  BACKYARD MONEY Jun26 Jun09 May17 Apr27 Apr04 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  INTO HAPPINESS Jun21 Apr14 Feb10 Dec28 Nov25 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
5  MY KENTUCKY GIRL Sep30 Aug28 Aug06 Jun11 May13 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
6  MIGHTY MADISON Jun05 May01 Nov26 Dec21 Nov23 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 19% 4.20    
 
SAR-5   07/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILITARY ROAD Jun15 May10 Mar31 Feb17 Jan13 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
2  HAIZUM Jun23 May09       (matz r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
3  ITZA MIRRAKLE Jun07         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  SALACIOUS Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Dec28 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
5  ELKO COUNTY Jun15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
6  TRULLI WARRIOR Jun07         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PROTECTIVE Jun08 May11 Apr06 Mar10 Jul22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
SAR-6   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISCIOTTA (GB) Apr21         (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
1A  DEEP SATIN Jun09 Apr18       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  COIF Jun16 May17       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
3  APPELLATE Jun15 Oct06 Sep03 Jul23   (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) Jun06 Sep17       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
5  SUNDAY TIFF Jun16 May18       (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
6  OUT TOO LATE (GB) Jun28 Aug13       (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
7  MISS HEBRIDES         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
8  STRIFE Jun16 Apr28       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
9  HOLLYWOOD DREAM Nov04         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
10  LATTE LIZZIE Jun16 Mar08 Oct27 Sep10 Aug13 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7% 13.60    
11  LA SALVADORENA Jun16 Apr18       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL Jun16 Aug20       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CYBER NINJA May24 Apr25 Mar10 Jan31 Nov18 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
2  TRULY QUALITY May27 Apr25 Mar03 Feb03 Oct28 (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  BATTLE OF NORMANDY Jun16 Apr30 Sep03 Aug05 May19 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  SIX MINUS Jun06 Apr14 Mar02 Jan28 Dec24 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
5  DAUNT Jun16 May02 Nov11 Oct19 Sep21 (ribaudo robert )VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
6  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Jul07 May25 May05 Apr20 Mar17 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
7  RELAMPAGO VERDE Jun14 May24 Apr24 Mar21 Feb22 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00    
8  MONDEGO (GB) May02 Nov04 Sep09 Aug05 Jul08 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  GILDED AGE May27 May04 Mar20 Mar14 Feb15 (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 30.00    
10  CRABS N BEER Jun16 May18 Apr27 Nov17 Oct14 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
11  LUCKY CURLIN Jun06 Apr20 Mar30 Feb29 Jan27 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  BAY STREET MONEY Jun06 May09 Jun17 May20 Apr01 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA FROLIC Jun15 May25 Mar31 Jan27 Jan01 (avila ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKI COUNTRY Jun16 May18 May12 Apr04 Jun23 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
2  SOUTH STREET Jun02 May22 Apr28 Apr18 Mar29 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PROVE WORTHY Jun06 May03 Mar30 Jul16 Jun10 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 125 1.20 56% 0.80    
4  STOP THE SPREAD Jun06 Apr12 Mar21 Mar08 Feb01 (caramori edua)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
5  MAGIA NERA May12 Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 ★    
6  KENTUCKY JOKER Jun28 May20 Apr30 Mar24 Mar09 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 ★    
7  UNSTABLE PRINCE Jun16 Apr21 Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
8  THANK YOU JON Jun16 May17 May05 Mar29 Feb16 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 123 12.00 15% 5.50    
9  PHILHARMONIC May24 Apr19 Mar29 Dec17 Nov04 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00    
10  STREET SWAGG Jun23 May26 May11 Mar14 Feb02 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR RICHARD Jun22 May11 Apr20 Oct07 Sep16 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC12 FIRM Quick Call Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO NAY METS (IRE) Jun08 May01 Apr07 Nov03 Sep09 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★    
2  SMOKEY SMOKEY May19 Mar23 Mar08 Dec08 Oct20 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
3  FANDOM (GB) Apr07 Apr27       (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  FELTRINELLI Jun23 May19 May03 Sep22 Aug25 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
5  MANSA MUSA (IRE) Jun08 May01 Apr07     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) Jun08         (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 0.80 62% 0.60    
7  AMERICAN RASCAL Feb10 Dec23 Nov28 Sep15 Apr20 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
8  SET May31 May04 Mar30 Feb24   (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
SCR  APOLLO TEN Jun17 Apr18 Nov04 Sep22 Aug25 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 117 15.00    
SCR  BARAYE May26 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 Nov10 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.40    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME Jun27 May18 Apr27 Feb16 Nov18 (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20    
 
SAR-10   07/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA MAQUINA Jun14 Feb26 Jan15     (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  MASTERWORK Apr25 Mar02 Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
2  BIG BIG STAR Jun22 May27 Apr28 Jan07   (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  VALUE ENGINEER Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Aug03   (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  YOUR MISSION Jun22 May25 Nov04 Oct05 Jul26 (bernardini ju)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00    
5  DOWNING STREET Jun16 May23 Apr21 Oct21   (d'angelo fran)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
6  BEARY FUNNY Jun14 May18 Apr19 Feb11 Jan04 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
7  WRITE OFF JERRY Jun15 May17 Apr11 Mar21 Feb14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 8% 11.00    
8  BARNSTORMING Jun28 May27 May09 Apr25 Mar16 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  OCTOBER BLISS Jun22 May09 Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 (brown r)LUZZI J 125 30.00    
10  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES May26 Mar03 Feb10 Dec29 Dec07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
11  ERIC FROM MIAMI May27 May02 Feb18 Jan13 Nov03 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
12  VINCE THE PRINCE Oct05 Jul26 Jun18 Jun01 May06 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
SCR  PRICING POWER Jun01 Apr06 Mar08 Feb09 Oct29 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Jun14 Mar24 Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jun14 May09 Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.