The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
MVR-3   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
MVR-4   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
MVR-5   Win (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 10.40
MVR-6   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 12.60
MVR-8   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG FALCON ROCKET 3 4 31 2½   2½ 1¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 2.10  
WIZARD WILLIE 4 1 11 1½   1½ 2¾ (johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 2.50 26% 2.80 1.70 P
ZELIG 5 2 52 42   43 3(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 38% 1.60 2.00 S
TIDE RISING 1 5 21 31   34(mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 7.50  
STRIKE A BEAT 2 3 4 5   54 5(spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 5% 19.00 10.40  
SCR  BUSTIN THE RULES               (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:012     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMED OUT 4 2 5 43   2nk 1(cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.00 52% 0.90 0.30 W
MOR CRAFTY 1 4 1 1   1nk 2(guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 5% 19.00 6.60 P
MY HOMBRE 5 1 2 2   33(schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 2.50 4.60  
FORMYBOYS 3 5 3 32   4416½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00 10.20  
LEWIS AND CLARK 2 3 4 59   513½ 526¼ (wilson david)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.00 12% 7.10 11.40  
 
MVR-3   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILLIGAN 4 6 5 5   4¾ 11 (mahan p)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 12% 7.20 3.50 W
KOSCIUSZKO 1 4 1nk 3½   3½ 21 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 2.00 19% 4.30 2.50 P
BEACH FRONT 6 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 3(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 3.40  
NICHOLAS JAMES 2 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 4(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.70  
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 3 3 4 41   5¾ 53 (spiess shane )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 4.30  
ANOTHER BREEZE 5 5 6 62   66(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 24.00  
 
MVR-4   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:231 :47 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOPSIE DOOPSIE 3 3 11 11   13 13 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.90 W
SWEEPINJUSTICE 1 5 5 5   423 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 2.40  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 4 1 21 21   23 3(trevino st)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 5% 19.00 10.50 S
CURIOSITY KILLS 2 4 31 3   34(bernardini p)LEON A 124 1.80 26% 2.80 1.30  
AWILDAS TREASURE 5 2 4 4   55 57 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 11.50  
 
MVR-5   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK OUT LINE 7 1 5 3   11 1(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20 W
CAT'S RHYTHM 4 7 64 64   42(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 37% 1.70 1.70 P
SCARLETT'S AWISH 3 3 2nk 1½   21 3(radosevich j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 5.00 14% 6.00 6.50 S
HERE COMES JIGS 5 4 76 7   53 4(fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 3.80  
COWCHI 2 6 3 4   65(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 8.20  
TALE OF THE LYON 1 5 1nk 2½   36(poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 16% 5.40 2.70  
SWEET EMPIRE 6 2 43 54   7719½ (rone penny)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 26.30  
 
MVR-6   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAGUA 5 3 21 21   1½ 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 1.70  
J P'S GLADYS 1 1 11 11   2½ 2(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.80 56% 0.80 2.60 P
ROSY APPLE 2 2 3 5   43(morales m)DIAZ I 124 3.00 3.20  
KINGSTON TIME 3 4 4 33   347 (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 13% 7.00 2.70  
SECRET SEDUCTION 4 5 53 4   55(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
 
MVR-7   03/17/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:141 1:273   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KADESH 4 3 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 1(sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 11% 8.40 8.30 W
ICE BLAST 6 6 611 59 56 34 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 0.50  
SMASH 3 1 1½ 11 1nk 1nk 3(bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.20 S
SUDDEN SHIFT 2 4 3 34 33 45 47 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 12.40  
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 5 5 57 46 45 5510¾ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 5.00 40% 1.50 9.50  
STRIKE THE TOP 1 2 46 6 612 612½ 614½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 17.10  
SCR  MAYITO               (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
 
MVR-8   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT 1 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 128 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 W
ROCKSTAR RO 5 1 42 31   2nk 2nk (bailey ricardo)BRACHO A 126 3.00 1.60  
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 2 4 54 43   43(smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 6% 16.30 18.10 S
TRIGZ TOO 4 2 32 5   56 410¾ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 8.00  
LIMIT UP 3 3 2½ 2nk   33 512¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 18% 4.50 2.80  
SCR  POSEIDON'S SON               (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME               (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.