Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/2/1)-(2/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/1/4)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/2/4)-(4/1/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(4/1/3/7)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/7)-(1/3/4)-(6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/3/5)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIDE RISING Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 Dec19 Dec07 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00    
SCR  BUSTIN THE RULES Feb05 Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
3  STRIKE A BEAT Feb29 Feb15 Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  BIG FALCON ROCKET Feb29 Feb15 Dec27 Nov06 Oct18 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.00    
5  WIZARD WILLIE Feb29 Feb05 Jan22 Jan01 Nov06 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  ZELIG Feb15 Feb05 Dec07 Nov08 Oct24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-2   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR CRAFTY Feb07 Jan10 Dec12 Nov27 Aug31 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEWIS AND CLARK Feb22 Jan10 Dec13 Sep09 Jul05 (wilson dav)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
3  FORMYBOYS Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan08 Dec21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
4  STORMED OUT Feb22 Feb07 Jan10 Nov27 Oct25 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  MY HOMBRE Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
 
MVR-3   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSCIUSZKO Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 Oct31 Oct21 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
2  NICHOLAS JAMES Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Mar04 Feb14 Jan11 Dec18 Dec06 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50    
4  GILLIGAN Feb28 Feb14 Jan15 Dec28 Dec11 (mahan joseph )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
5  ANOTHER BREEZE Mar06 Jan15 Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00    
6  BEACH FRONT Mar05 Feb14 Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPINJUSTICE Feb19 Jan30 Nov27 Oct23 Oct02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
2  CURIOSITY KILLS Feb24 Feb13 Jan30 Jan08 Dec05 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Feb24 Feb01 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  LA REINA DEL NORTE Mar05 Feb19 Feb08 Dec30 Nov13 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  AWILDAS TREASURE Mar06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov16 Oct28 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE LYON Feb20 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
2  COWCHI Mar06 Feb27 Feb19 Jan23 Jan01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
3  SCARLETT'S AWISH Mar06 Feb19 Feb06 Jan23 Nov29 (radosevich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Feb27 Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 Jan01 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  HERE COMES JIGS Feb27 Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 Dec03 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00    
6  SWEET EMPIRE Feb08 Jan23 Dec18 Nov29 Nov09 (rone pen)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
7  CHECK OUT LINE Feb27 Jan23 Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J P'S GLADYS Feb26 Feb05 Dec27 Dec14 Nov28 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
2  ROSY APPLE Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 Dec30 Nov29 (morales m)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
3  KINGSTON TIME Dec13 Nov27 Nov20 Oct15 Sep27 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 13% 7.00    
4  SECRET SEDUCTION Feb13 Feb05 Dec27 Dec13 Dec05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAGUA Feb26 Feb13 Feb05 Dec27 Nov28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00    
 
MVR-7   03/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE THE TOP Feb24 Jan23 Nov27 Oct31 Oct10 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
2  SUDDEN SHIFT Feb19 Jan10 Dec26 Dec06 Oct31 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
3  SMASH Jan30 Jan10 Dec26 Dec06 Oct31 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  MAYITO Mar05 Feb20 Jan24 Dec06 Nov22 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
5  KADESH Feb24 Feb01 Jan18 May23 Feb27 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
6  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Feb28 Feb19 Dec10 Oct23 Oct06 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  ICE BLAST Feb19 Jan30 Jan10 Nov10 Sep20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00    
 
MVR-8   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSIDE STUNT Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 Jan03 Nov22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 128 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Feb24 Feb14 Jan31 Dec14 Nov02 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 6% 16.30    
3  LIMIT UP Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 Jan04 Dec13 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  POSEIDON'S SON Feb19 Feb07 Jan18 Nov21 Oct23 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
5  TRIGZ TOO Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 Jan18 Jan03 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec18 Dec05 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 20.00    
7  ROCKSTAR RO Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Jan18 Jan11 (bailey ricard)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.