The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - February 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $30.20 $30.20 24.20
MVR-3   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $18.40 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $20.80 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
MVR-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.60 -4.00
MVR-7   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80
MVR-8   Win (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $14.80 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/27/2024 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:15 1:434   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK BUSTER 2 2 1½ 11 11 14 1(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.00 28% 2.60 0.80 W
IMA SURE BET 1 5 68 6 6 58 2(morales m)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 7.40  
NELL'S BELLS 3 4 44 4 44 43(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90 S
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 5 1 2½ 21 21 24 46 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 2.70  
MISS LINDYSUE 6 3 3 3 33 37 5(fletcher jef)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 27% 2.70 6.20  
CLIMATE 4 6 5 5 56 614 631½ (guciardo robe)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00 9.30  
 
MVR-2   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BUTTE 1 4 4 33   2nk 1(bird danny)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10 W
TIDAL WATERS 3 2 1nk 13   1nk 2(musarro jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.20 28% 2.50 0.40 P
POLYESTER BRIDE 2 5 5 4   35 3(poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 5.40  
INDY PRINCESS KOKO 4 1 32 5   49 414¼ (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 1.80 2.90  
SWEET BELEN 5 3 2nk 23   5516 (juarez lorenzo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 27% 2.70 12.70  
 
MVR-3   02/27/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :481       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWCHI 5 1 1 1   12 1¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 8.20  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 6 2 43 4   33 2¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 1.00  
HERE COMES JIGS 1 3 3 3   22 3(fletcher jeff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 45% 1.20 2.90 S
WEEKENDING 3 4 2 2   46 4(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 15% 5.50 3.50  
KISSTHECROSS 2 6 5 56   5510¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 13% 6.50 7.70  
I GOT HOPE 4 5 6 67   6612¾ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 26.20  
 
MVR-4   02/27/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY MAGIC 2 2 1½ 11   11(calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 9.40  
LADY FORTUNE 5 4 32 3   22(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 1.60 0.50  
CAT'S RHYTHM 3 3 5 5   34 34 (suarez j)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 49% 1.00 2.50 S
CHECK OUT LINE 1 5 42 4   449 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 13% 6.50 5.70  
CONGRATS JENSEN 4 1 2½ 21   5512½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 8% 12.30 18.50  
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE               (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 5 3 11 2nk   12 1½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 36% 1.80 1.80 W
MONSTER HUNTER 3 6 67 54   22 2½ (faulkner joshua)BRACHO A 124 2.00 1.70  
STONE COLD CAT 2 5 57 67   53 34 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 31% 2.20 4.90 S
THE MAN CAN 1 4 32 3   34(faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 6% 15.80 3.40  
THANKSDAD 4 2 4 42   657 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 14.80  
FOREIGN 6 1 21 1nk   43 612 (dieh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 21.60  
SCR  ATTACK ANGLE               (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/27/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:152 1:293   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 5 5 44 33 11 1½ 12 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 1.20 2.80  
PERFETTO 3 2 34 4 3 31 22 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.80 70% 0.40 1.80 P
RUBINSTEIN 4 4 23 2 21 2½ 3(faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00 4.20  
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 1 6 5 5 4 44 48 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
GEMO RAIN 6 1 67 6 5 58 514 (crumley jevo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 12.00 21.60  
TWICE AS SMART 2 3 13 1 68 623 6100 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 8.00 7.30  
 
MVR-7   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODIL 3 1 2nk 1nk   11 1(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 52% 0.90 0.60 W
KAT TRAX 2 3 3 32   21 2(gorham m)DIAZ I 124 3.50 4.10  
TWISTED JUSTICE 4 2 1nk 2nk   31 3(smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00 3.40  
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 1 4 4 4   44 4(rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 16% 5.20 4.00  
SCR  HELLO SWEETS               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
SCR  SPICE ICE               (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 3 7 6 5   41 1(poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00 6.40  
HOT PRINCESS (GB) 7 3 4 3½   1½ 2(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.50 10.90  
THIRTY SOMETHING 2 5 54 43   53 3(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 S
WILD MARIAH 1 4 1nk 2nk   2½ 4(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.00 31% 2.30 0.60  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 6 1 3½ 1nk   31 59 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 25% 3.10 5.20  
SOMETHING LUCKY 4 2 2nk 64   68 613 (doering mark)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 15.00 12.50  
DIRTYLITTLESCARLET 5 6 7 79   726 742¾ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 15.00 18% 4.50 10.60  
SCR  KISSING MEDALS               (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.