Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $30.20 $24.20 403%
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-3 $107.00 $95.00 792%
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-1 $66.40 $48.40 269%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:15 1:434   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK BUSTER 2 2 1½ 11 11 14 1 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 2.00 28% 2.60 0.80 W
IMA SURE BET 1 5 68 6 6 58 2 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 7.40  
NELL'S BELLS 3 4 44 4 44 4 3 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90 S
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 5 1 2½ 21 21 24 46 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 2.70  
MISS LINDYSUE 6 3 3 3 33 37 5 (fletcher j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 27% 2.70 6.20  
CLIMATE 4 6 5 5 56 614 631½ (guciardo ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00 9.30  
 
MVR-2   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BUTTE 1 4 4 33   2nk 1 (bird dan)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10 W
TIDAL WATERS 3 2 1nk 13   1nk 2 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.20 28% 2.50 0.40 P
POLYESTER BRIDE 2 5 5 4   35 3 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 5.40  
INDY PRINCESS KOKO 4 1 32 5   49 414¼ (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 1.80 2.90  
SWEET BELEN 5 3 2nk 23   5 516 (juarez loren)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 27% 2.70 12.70  
 
MVR-3   02/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :481       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWCHI 5 1 1 1   12 1¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 8.20  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 6 2 43 4   33 2¼ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 1.00  
HERE COMES JIGS 1 3 3 3   22 3 (fletcher je)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 45% 1.20 2.90 S
WEEKENDING 3 4 2 2   46 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 15% 5.50 3.50  
KISSTHECROSS 2 6 5 56   5 510¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 13% 6.50 7.70  
I GOT HOPE 4 5 6 67   6 612¾ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 26.20  
 
MVR-4   02/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY MAGIC 2 2 1½ 11   1 1 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 9.40  
LADY FORTUNE 5 4 32 3   2 2 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 1.60 0.50  
CAT'S RHYTHM 3 3 5 5   34 34 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 49% 1.00 2.50 S
CHECK OUT LINE 1 5 42 4   4 49 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 13% 6.50 5.70  
CONGRATS JENSEN 4 1 2½ 21   5 512½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 8% 12.30 18.50  
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE               (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 5 3 11 2nk   12 1½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 36% 1.80 1.80 W
MONSTER HUNTER 3 6 67 54   22 2½ (faulkner josh)BRACHO A 124 2.00 1.70  
STONE COLD CAT 2 5 57 67   53 34 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 31% 2.20 4.90 S
THE MAN CAN 1 4 32 3   3 4 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 6% 15.80 3.40  
THANKSDAD 4 2 4 42   6 57 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 14.80  
FOREIGN 6 1 21 1nk   43 612 (di)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 21.60  
SCR  ATTACK ANGLE               (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:152 1:293   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 5 5 44 33 11 1½ 12 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 1.20 2.80  
PERFETTO 3 2 34 4 3 31 22 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.80 70% 0.40 1.80 P
RUBINSTEIN 4 4 23 2 21 2½ 3 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00 4.20  
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 1 6 5 5 4 44 48 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
GEMO RAIN 6 1 67 6 5 58 514 (crumley je)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 12.00 21.60  
TWICE AS SMART 2 3 13 1 68 623 6100 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 8.00 7.30  
 
MVR-7   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODIL 3 1 2nk 1nk   11 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 52% 0.90 0.60 W
KAT TRAX 2 3 3 32   21 2 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50 4.10  
TWISTED JUSTICE 4 2 1nk 2nk   31 3 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00 3.40  
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 1 4 4 4   44 4 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 16% 5.20 4.00  
SCR  HELLO SWEETS               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
SCR  SPICE ICE               (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 3 7 6 5   41 1 (poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00 6.40  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
HOT PRINCESS (GB) 7 3 4 3½   1½ 2 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.50 10.90  
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
THIRTY SOMETHING 2 5 54 43   53 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 S
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
WILD MARIAH 1 4 1nk 2nk   2½ 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.00 31% 2.30 0.60  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 6 1 3½ 1nk   31 59 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 25% 3.10 5.20  
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
SOMETHING LUCKY 4 2 2nk 64   68 613 (doering ma)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 15.00 12.50  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
DIRTYLITTLESCARLET 5 6 7 79   726 742¾ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 122 15.00 18% 4.50 10.60  
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
SCR  KISSING MEDALS               (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 2.50    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of DISCREETLY KISSED by DISCREETLY MINE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.