Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/5/1)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/3/2)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/1/5)-(6/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(6/2/1)-(3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(3/1)-(4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/2)-(2/7/6/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/7/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA SURE BET Feb14 Feb01 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
2  BANK BUSTER Feb20 Feb01 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  NELL'S BELLS Jun06 May16 Apr30 Apr06 Mar22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLIMATE Feb12 Dec26 Dec11 Nov29 Nov13 (guciardo ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00    
5  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Feb12 Jul19 Jul02 Jun21 May11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
6  MISS LINDYSUE Feb12 Jan25 Dec27 Dec03 Oct30 (fletcher j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-2   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK BUTTE Feb08 Jan25 Nov26 Nov13 Oct23 (bird dan)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  POLYESTER BRIDE Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  TIDAL WATERS Feb19 Jan15 Aug30 Aug22 Sep22 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.20 28% 2.50    
4  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Feb08 Jan15 Oct04 Sep14 Aug21 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 1.80    
5  SWEET BELEN Feb05 Jan22 Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 (juarez loren)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-3   02/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES JIGS Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 Dec03 Nov13 (fletcher je)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  KISSTHECROSS Jan23 Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 Feb08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
3  WEEKENDING Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Nov28 Aug29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  I GOT HOPE Dec18 Jun12 Mar14 Feb06 Jan19 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00    
5  COWCHI Feb19 Jan23 Jan01 Dec18 Nov29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
6  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Jan24 Dec07 Nov13 Jun30 May25 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
 
MVR-4   02/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK OUT LINE Jan23 Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 Nov01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
2  BAY MAGIC Feb06 Jan22 Dec18 Jul04 May29 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE Feb08 Jan23 Dec18 Nov29 Nov09 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  CONGRATS JENSEN Jan23 Nov29 Sep30 Aug21 Aug08 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 8% 12.30    
6  LADY FORTUNE Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 Nov22 Nov02 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 1.60    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAN CAN Jan24 Dec19 Dec04 Oct30 Oct11 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 6% 15.80    
2  STONE COLD CAT Jan24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
3  MONSTER HUNTER Feb14 Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 Apr11 (faulkner josh)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
SCR  ATTACK ANGLE Feb19 Feb06 Jan24 Dec04 Nov08 (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
5  THANKSDAD Feb06 Jan15 Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
6  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Dec19 Nov30 Nov07 Oct09 Sep28 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
7  FOREIGN Feb05 Dec04 Oct11 Sep18 Aug22 (di)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TWICE AS SMART Feb14 Jan18 Jan03 Dec07 Nov22 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
3  PERFETTO Feb15 Dec05 Oct23 Oct11 Jul10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.80 70% 0.40    
4  RUBINSTEIN Feb13 Jan24 Jan10 Dec27 Dec06 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00    
5  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Feb13 Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 Dec05 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 1.20 ★    
6  GEMO RAIN Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 Jan03 Aug12 (crumley je)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 12.00    
 
MVR-7   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HELLO SWEETS Aug28 Aug14 Jun27 Jun12 May24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Feb08 Jan10 Nov28 Nov09 Oct25 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  KAT TRAX Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov09 Oct21 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50    
4  BODIL Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov28 Nov09 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  SPICE ICE Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov28 Nov09 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00    
6  TWISTED JUSTICE Feb08 Jan10 Dec21 Nov30 Nov14 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KISSING MEDALS Feb05         (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 2.50    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of DISCREETLY KISSED by DISCREETLY MINE)
2  WILD MARIAH Feb14 Aug14 Aug01 Jul13 Jun24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
3  THIRTY SOMETHING Feb05 Nov28 Nov13     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
4  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30   (poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
5  SOMETHING LUCKY Dec28 Nov28 Nov13     (doering ma)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  DIRTYLITTLESCARLET         (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 122 15.00 18% 4.50    
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
7  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Feb19 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 25% 3.10    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
8  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Feb19 Dec28 Dec13     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.50    
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.