The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - February 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
MVR-2   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $22.80 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (4/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $27.40 $27.40 19.40
MVR-4   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.00 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
MVR-6   Win (8/5/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 -0.20
MVR-7   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-8   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $60.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ABRIL 5 1 2nk 11   1½ 1(pappada a)BRACHO A 124 3.00 41% 1.50 2.80 W
BISCAYNE BAY 2 5 3 21   2½ 2(zielinski richard)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 1.80  
DANCIN' ROSIE 6 4 6 46   33(john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 15% 5.60 3.50 S
DANZA MAGIC 1 6 5 6   5410¼ (yoder d)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 6.90  
SARAH JANE 3 3 44 56   4513¾ (bates l)DIAZ I 124 4.50 16.60  
TALE OF THE LYON 4 2 1nk 34   611½ 620 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
 
MVR-2   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 4 2 4 3   21¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 10.40  
OVER THE HILLS 5 4 1 11   12¼ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.00 46% 1.20 3.20 P
IT'S OFFICIAL 1 3 34 43   42 31 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
INSIDE STUNT 3 5 510½ 5   541 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 1.20 26% 2.90 0.30  
ZAKARIA 2 1 2 21   32 5(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 18.20  
SCR  NAMBITI               (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   02/20/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :484       1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAVALENCIA 3 3 3 1½   1½ 1¾ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 25% 3.10 12.70 W
NOT TODAY 7 5 43 3½   2½ 2¾ (buttigieg kevin)DIAZ I 118 3.00 25% 3.00 1.60 P
BANK BUSTER 4 2 11 2½   337 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.90 S
SHARP LIFE 2 7 7 6   58 4(preston randy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
MY D'VALENTINE 6 4 53 5   4514½ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 2.20  
SHADY BABY 5 1 21 4   69 618 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 20.10  
SURPRISED GEM 1 6 6 7   713 723 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 47.80  
SCR  S S COSMOPOLITAN               (jimenez a)LEON A 124 10.00    
SCR  THIS ONE CAN RUN               (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:15 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME SEE ABOUT IT 1 2 2 22 2nk 1nk 11 (smith larry)RIVERA R 126 2.00 2.00  
FREEDOM RIDER 3 1 1 12 1nk 2nk 21 (bernardini p)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 22% 3.50 0.90 P
CONFESSOR 2 4 3 3 4 33(clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 5.40  
DISCLOSURE 5 3 4 4 31 442 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 5 5 5 5 55(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 30% 2.40 5.60  
SCR  HIGH ROLLING DUDE               (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:012     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGZ TOO 4 3 3 3   1nk 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 21% 3.70 1.30 W
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 3 2 11 1nk   2nk 2(sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 1.80 36% 1.80 0.70 P
ROCK ON KITTEN 6 4 6 4   34 3(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 12% 7.60 14.30 S
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 7 8 8 5   45 49 (castillo jabdi)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 15.00 11.90  
SECRET LIFE STYLE 2 6 7 78   6514½ (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 10% 8.70 38.00  
GEMO RAIN 5 5 54 65   79 620¼ (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 126 20.00 71.80  
10  GOLDENPENCE 8 1 21 2nk   58 722¼ (gonzalez agustin )LEON A 126 20.00 79.90  
KLAATU 1 7 44 810   813 824 (sondej amy)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 37.20  
SCR  CRAFTY CONQUEST               (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
SCR  HARD N'SWEET               (vickers richard)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME               (st david)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:152 1:302   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 4 2 1½ 1 17 19 1(johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 16% 5.10 3.90 W
BONNIE'S BEST 6 3 66 712 612½ 32(gilmartin bre)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 6.00 7% 13.60 8.90 P
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 4 8 814 713 512 3(zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 14.10  
10  MY PINK BABY BIRD 9 8 7 68 411½ 411½ 414¾ (vickers richard)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 5% 19.00 59.80  
YOU NAME IT 8 6 3 2 27 29 518¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 30% 2.30 3.10  
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 7 5 4 5 3 613½ 621 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 4.20  
WAR MOON 2 1 2½ 45 512½ 719½ 734½ (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 30.60  
STATE OF GRACE 1 9 911½ 918 928 839½ 872½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 9.90  
DANCE DRAMA 5 7 5 3 820 9100 9100 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 20% 4.00 2.60  
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME               (bates l)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:14 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP 2 1 1 16 1 1½ 1nk (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 14% 6.40 0.80 W
TIMESATAPPIN 6 6 615½ 514½ 5 3½ 2nk (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 10.00 13.80  
MAYITO 3 2 37 4 4 41 3(buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 9% 10.60 6.80 S
FROG TOWN 5 4 4 37 2 2½ 44 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 51% 0.90 1.80  
ORO DE MORO MORO 4 5 513½ 615½ 6 65(rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11.70  
PLAIN OR PEANUT 1 3 2 26 3 54 610½ (zawi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 21.10  
SCR  RED HURRICANE               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:161 1:292   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK BARON 6 3 21 21 1 11 14 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00 29.20  
QUICK QUICK WHIT 4 2 3 32 2 21 24 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 126 3.00 13% 6.80 1.50 P
SHORTLY 5 6 4 4 32 33 3(zielinski richard)LEON SONNY 126 2.50 54% 0.80 1.30 S
FINISTERE 2 5 6 5 5 43 4(vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 11% 8.10 3.20  
EL BANDIDO 3 1 5 6 6 56 510¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00 9.50  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 1 4 11 11 4 67 619½ (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00 21.00  
SCR  IMMENSE FAITH               (gotera carlo)LEON A 126 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.