Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(6/4/1)-(4/9/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/9/3/2)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/3/2)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3/2)-(5/4/6)-(3/4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/4/6/2)-(8/5/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(8/5/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(8/5/4/6/10)-(6/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/5/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/6/10)-(8/5/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/6/10)-(8/5/4/6/10)-(8/5/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/4/6/10)-(6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/6/10)-(6/3/4)-(6/5/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZA MAGIC Jan01 Nov28 Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00    
2  BISCAYNE BAY Feb06 Jan22 Jan01 Jul04 Jun12 (zielinski richar)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
3  SARAH JANE Jan22 Dec21 Dec11 Nov16 Oct28 (bates l)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
4  TALE OF THE LYON Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
5  LADY ABRIL Jan01 Dec18 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
6  DANCIN' ROSIE Jan23 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Nov01 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
MVR-2   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S OFFICIAL Jan08 Dec26 Nov14 Oct06 Sep18 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAMBITI Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
3  ZAKARIA Dec13 Nov14 Oct06 Sep04 Aug09 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
4  INSIDE STUNT Feb07 Jan18 Jan03 Nov22 Nov12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 1.20 26% 2.90    
5  ROCKSTAR RO Jan30 Jan18 Jan11 Dec01 Nov05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
6  OVER THE HILLS Jan25 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   02/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRISED GEM Jan25 Jan09 Dec04 Oct30 Aug23 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
2  SHARP LIFE Nov01 Jun10 May09 Nov21 Oct12 (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BELLAVALENCIA Jan25 Dec27 Nov14 Oct30 Oct09 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
4  BANK BUSTER Feb01 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun26 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  SHADY BABY Jan17 Dec16 Nov24 Oct04 Aug30 (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
6  MY D'VALENTINE Feb01 Jan03 Dec05 Nov07 Sep19 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 4.50    
SCR  THIS ONE CAN RUN Jan09 Dec04 Nov27 Oct29 Sep25 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
SCR  S S COSMOPOLITAN Jan04 Dec09 Nov27 Oct03 Sep03 (jimenez miguel )LEON A 124 10.00    
9  NOT TODAY Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 Nov27 Oct19 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
MVR-4   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COME SEE ABOUT IT Jan23 Dec28 Nov29 Sep20 Aug29 (smith larry)RIVERA R 126 2.00    
SCR  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Jan23 Dec12 Nov19 Nov06 Sep18 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
3  CONFESSOR Jan24 Dec20 Nov06 Oct15 Oct01 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
4  FREEDOM RIDER Feb06 Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 Nov05 (bernardini p)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
5  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jan23 Dec12 Nov14 Nov02 Oct02 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  DISCLOSURE Feb06 Jan23 Jan15 Dec28 Dec20 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLAATU Jul03 Jun01 May17 Apr03 Mar14 (sondej a)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00    
2  SECRET LIFE STYLE Feb08 Dec13 Dec05 Nov26 Oct08 (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 10% 8.70    
3  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jan18 Jan03 Nov22 Sep26 Sep04 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  TRIGZ TOO Feb05 Jan18 Jan03 Aug08 Jul26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  GEMO RAIN Feb05 Jan11 Jan03 Aug12 Jul21 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
6  ROCK ON KITTEN Feb05 Jan15 Dec30 Nov30 Nov06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME Feb07 Jan03 Oct03 Sep14 Aug22 (st david)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00    
SCR  HARD N'SWEET Feb05 Dec30 Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
9  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Dec30 Oct24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 (castillo jab)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 15.00    
10  GOLDENPENCE Jan11 Oct09 Nov13 Oct22 Aug12 (gonzalez agusti)LEON A 126 20.00    
SCR  CRAFTY CONQUEST Jan18 Jan03 Oct21 Sep25 Aug21 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
 
MVR-6   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Jan06 Nov30 Nov08 Oct25 Sep22 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
2  WAR MOON Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 Oct23 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Sep26 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
4  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
5  DANCE DRAMA Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 (salcedo ramo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  BONNIE'S BEST Feb05 Jan11 Dec06 Apr27 Apr12 (gilmartin b)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 6.00 7% 13.60    
7  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Jan10 Dec05 Nov06 Oct02 Sep14 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
8  YOU NAME IT Feb08 Jan09 Dec20 Nov28 Nov13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME Jan09 Nov30 Nov15 Sep28 Sep13 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
10  MY PINK BABY BIRD Jan31 Dec20 Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED HURRICANE Jan08 Dec04 Oct30 Oct04 Sep05 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
2  PLAIN OR PEANUT Feb01 Jan24 Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 (za)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
3  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Feb01 Dec10 Nov12 Oct07 Sep16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 14% 6.40    
4  MAYITO Jan24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct17 Oct02 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 9% 10.60    
5  ORO DE MORO MORO Feb01 Jan01 Dec20 Dec04 Mar10 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
6  FROG TOWN Jan08 Jan01 Dec18 Dec07 Nov25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
7  TIMESATAPPIN Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 Nov01 Oct06 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jan22 Dec05 Nov14 Oct30 Oct13 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  IMMENSE FAITH Dec26 Nov11 Oct08 Sep02 Jul28 (gotera car)LEON A 126 2.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of DYNAMAZED by DYNAFORMER)
3  FINISTERE Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 Oct30 Oct05 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 11% 8.10    
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
4  EL BANDIDO Feb06 Dec03 Nov27 Nov09 Oct30 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KITTEN SQUARED by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  QUICK QUICK WHIT Feb06 Jan02 Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
6  SHORTLY Jan22 Jan02 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 (zielinski richar)LEON SONNY 126 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  DARK BARON Feb06 Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.