Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-5   WIN (3/8/11/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $19.40 $9.40 94%
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $21.00 $13.00 163%
    EXA (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-6 $109.00 $77.00 241%
    DD (3/8/11/6/2)-(8/3/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-7 $251.60 $211.60 529%
MVR-7   DD (8/3/6/7)-(1/4/8/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-4 $54.40 $22.40 70%
    PK3 (3/8/11/6/2)-(8/3/6/7)-(1/4/8/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00  8-7-4 $189.80 $149.80 375%
MVR-8   PK3 (8/3/6/7)-(1/4/8/6)-(4/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-4-9 $58.85 $34.85 145%
    PK4 (3/8/11/6/2)-(8/3/6/7)-(1/4/8/6)-(4/9/1) 240 $0.50 $120  8-7-4-9 $582.35 $462.35 385%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:17 1:31   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED FAITH 5 4 35 2 1 15 16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.40 50% 1.00 1.20 W
PEARLINTHEROUGH 4 1 24 34 3 36 26 (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 18.20  
MIMI'S HOLIDAY 3 2 6 610 6 57 38 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 8% 12.20 6.30 S
MYRA FLEENER 1 3 14 1 2 25 4 (lopez a)VEGA L 124 20.00 27.30  
IMA SURE BET 7 7 4 4 56 47 5 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 11.10  
FABIOLA PRINCESS 6 5 5 57 4 69 610¼ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 1.60 18% 4.60 2.00  
BEING CREATIVE 2 6 7 710 710½ 713½ 723 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 6.20  
 
MVR-2   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:154 1:292   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE CHAPTER 1 3 33 34 1½ 1 12 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 2.60  
HIDDEN ACCESS 5 1 2nk 2½ 3½ 2 22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.00 24% 3.20 1.90 P
OUR BUCKWHEAT 4 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 3 3 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 35% 1.80 1.40 S
MONSTER HUNTER 2 5 510½ 412 45 4 410 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 8.40  
CLEVELAND POWER 3 4 410 512½ 514 519½ 531¼ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
SCR  MARVIN'S EXPRESS               (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 3 4 3 31   1nk 1nk (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 4.50 1.40  
10  HE'S THE SOUPERWON 7 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (van meter )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 6% 15.20 9.10 P
KOSCIUSZKO 2 3 1nk 1nk   3.2 3 (brown glenro)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 11.90  
PERFECT WAGER 1 5 4 4   4 4 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
GILLIGAN 5 7 7 5   5 52 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 8% 10.80 4.80  
BEACH FRONT 4 2 5 6   6 6 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 4.20  
TWO GUNS 6 6 6 75   7 710¾ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50 59% 0.70 3.60  
SCR  ANOTHER BREEZE               (poole c)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
SCR  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO               (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
SCR  MONTAUK COVE               (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00    
 
MVR-4   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:013     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I STRONG 3 4 4 3½   32 11 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 6.60  
CAVALETTO 5 3 5 4¾   1½ 21 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 13% 6.80 2.10 P
REIGNING DREAM 4 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 3 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 116 3.50 21% 3.70 3.60 S
RAY'S EMPIRE 6 1 3.2 2nk   45 414¼ (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 13.60  
YIPPEE KI YAY 1 5 2nk 5   57 516 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 124 6.00 1.90  
MR. BALI 2 6 6 613¾   69 619¼ (evans )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 24% 3.20 5.30  
SCR  RUFFIN               (waltz brian)BRACHO A 116 2.50    
 
MVR-5   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MONEY 8 1 8 8   33 1¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 18% 4.50 8.70 W
SIR AGGRAVATOR 1 7 1½ 1nk   1 2¼ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 4.20  
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 6 3 9 7   7 3 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 33.40 S
COMPASS POINT 7 9 10 93   43 4 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9.80  
10  CRIMSON ROCKET 9 5 41 2nk   2 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 7.30  
PATIO PARTY 4 8 52 4   6 62 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 10.00 2.80  
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 3 10 7 6   5 76 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.00 37% 1.70 3.50  
BEYOND MY DREAMS 2 6 2½ 32   8 8 (robillard julie)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
11  HONOR LIFE 10 2 63 5   9 9 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 15% 5.70 13.20  
TWICE AS SMART 5 4 3½ 104   1010¼ 1018¾ (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00 10.30  
SCR  SOLITAIRE GAME               (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE DRIVE 7 5 4 33   33 1¼ (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.50 W
THEDAYOFTHEGREY 6 3 12 11   12 2¼ (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 6% 16.40 2.60 P
VISUAL MISSION 1 6 88 76   65 31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00 6.50  
HENRY THE CAT 9 1 3 21   22 4 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 9.80  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 2 7 67 5   5 5 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 12.00 4.30  
GIV'EM THE BIZ 5 4 5 6   7 66 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 21.80  
CALBOYZEKE 8 2 22 43   43 7 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 58% 0.70 7.10  
VICTORY DIVISION 4 8 78 88   8 819¼ (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 36.90  
SIMON SAYS 3 9 910½ 9   911¾ 919¾ (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 14% 6.20 3.00  
 
MVR-7   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:003     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRO THE BOSS 3 6 6 46   33 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 30% 2.40 2.40 W
PROSECUTOR 7 2 31 2nk   1nk 2 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 9% 10.50 2.40 P
EAGLE NEST 1 4 11 1nk   2nk 3 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50 2.50 S
PALACE TEMPTATION 2 5 5 610¼   55 4 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 14.00  
COLOR BEARER 5 7 7 710¾   7 55 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 25.60  
HOTROD BOBBY 6 1 45 510   6 66 (morales m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 14.70  
FLAG RAISER 4 3 21 33   4 7 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 4.10  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:021     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUBLADA 6 2 2 1nk   1 1 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 21% 3.80 2.00 W
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
WILD MARIAH 5 1 1 2nk   2 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 12.00 6.70  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
STICK AROUND 3 3 45 4   3 3 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.00 55% 0.80 1.60 S
  (by WILDCAT RED out of OPIE by KOKAND)
OLYMPIC WINGS 1 6 5 5   4 413¼ (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
COLLECT GOLD 4 5 3 32   5 521 (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 12.00 11.20  
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
WHATDID I BUY 2 4 6 6   610 622¼ (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 12.20  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
SCR  HOT PRINCESS (GB)               (lopez jaci)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 15.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
SCR  MINESTRESS               (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
SCR  SHAMANS IMAGE               (barker scot)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.