Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (9/8/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-4   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (3/8/11/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-6   Win (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-7   Win (1/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-8   Win (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYRA FLEENER Jan31 Dec28 Dec03 Nov22 Nov15 (lopez a)VEGA L 124 20.00    
BEING CREATIVE Jan25 Jan03 Nov14 Nov04 Oct24 (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jan25 Dec11 Nov20 Aug15 Jul25 (robillard josh)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 8% 12.20    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Jan31 Dec03 Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 (tumblin andr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
UNCAPTURED FAITH Jan31 Jun14 May23 May10 Apr05 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
FABIOLA PRINCESS Jan31 Jan03 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 1.60 18% 4.60    
IMA SURE BET Feb01 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 Nov29 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE CHAPTER Jan11 Jan01 Nov22 Nov08 Sep05 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
MONSTER HUNTER Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 Apr11 Mar09 (faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
CLEVELAND POWER Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 Nov22 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUR BUCKWHEAT Dec28 Nov28 Oct04 Aug10 Jul22 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
SCR  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jan24 Jan02 Dec13 Nov06 Sep28 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
HIDDEN ACCESS Jan11 Dec13 Aug26 Jul22 Jun02 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
MVR-3   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT WAGER Jan30 Jan15 Dec13 Dec04 Nov04 (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
KOSCIUSZKO Jan30 Jan15 Oct31 Oct21 Sep26 (brown glenroy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Jan31 Dec14 Nov02 Sep23 Jul26 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 4.50    
SCR  MONTAUK COVE Jan30 Dec30 Dec06 Nov21 Oct10 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00    
SCR  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Jan17 Jan07 Oct21 Oct09 Sep20 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
BEACH FRONT Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 Sep16 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
SCR  ANOTHER BREEZE Jan15 Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 Oct08 (poole c)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
GILLIGAN Jan15 Dec28 Dec11 Nov21 Nov02 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 8% 10.80    
TWO GUNS Jan15 Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
10  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Jan30 Jan15 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 (van de)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 6% 15.20    
 
MVR-4   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YIPPEE KI YAY Jan25 Dec28 Nov27 Jun15 Feb16 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
MR. BALI Jan25 Jan12 Aug18 Jun29 Jun19 (evans mi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
I STRONG Jan25 Dec28 Nov27 Oct25 Oct12 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
REIGNING DREAM Jan08 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 116 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  RUFFIN Jul22 Jun05       (waltz brian)BRACHO A 116 2.50    
CAVALETTO Jul31 Jun15 Jun02 May08 Apr06 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
RAY'S EMPIRE Jan30 Dec28 Jul06 Jun19 May29 (szczepanski em)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-5   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR AGGRAVATOR Feb01 Dec04 Jul16 Jun21 Jun06 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
BEYOND MY DREAMS Dec27 Dec13 Nov05 Oct03 Sep12 (robillard julie)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Jan22 Jan01 Dec05 Nov22 Oct24 (johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
PATIO PARTY Feb01 Jan23 Dec20 Nov21 Nov06 (blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 124 10.00    
TWICE AS SMART Jan18 Jan03 Dec07 Nov22 Oct31 (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00    
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Jan11 Dec18 Dec06 Nov26 Nov13 (spiess shane )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
COMPASS POINT Jan22 Oct03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
T MONEY Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 Aug22 Jul11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SOLITAIRE GAME Feb05 Jan23 Oct18 Sep19 Aug08 (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
10  CRIMSON ROCKET Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 Nov29 Oct20 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
11  HONOR LIFE Jan30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov08 Oct22 (van denn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
MVR-6   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISUAL MISSION Jan23 Jan08 Dec04 Nov07 Oct09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
DOUGS MORNING PICK Jan23 Dec07 Nov27 Jul11 Jun13 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
SIMON SAYS Jan08 Dec26 Jun24 May17 Dec29 (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
VICTORY DIVISION Aug07 Jul11 Jun24 Jun01 May23 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
GIV'EM THE BIZ Jan31 Jan08 Nov06 Sep19 Aug28 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Dec26 Nov28 Oct04 Sep06 Aug03 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 6% 16.40    
PRIVATE DRIVE Jan23 Dec26 Dec14 Nov27 Nov20 (londono odin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALBOYZEKE Dec14 Jun07 May06 Nov19 Oct29 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
HENRY THE CAT Dec14 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Jul31 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST Jan15 Dec26 Oct24     (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
PALACE TEMPTATION Jan30 Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 Nov14 (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
CIRO THE BOSS Jan25 Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 30% 2.40    
FLAG RAISER Aug26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
COLOR BEARER Dec14 Nov14 Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 (skerrett j)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOTROD BOBBY Jan24 Dec28 Nov27 Mar02 Feb16 (morales m)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
PROSECUTOR Jan15 Dec26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
 
MVR-8   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLYMPIC WINGS Jan30 Jan15       (zielinski richa)TOLEDO S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAMANS IMAGE Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 Sep27 Sep13 (barker scott )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00    
WHATDID I BUY Jan30 Aug15       (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 122 10.00    
STICK AROUND Jan30 Dec30       (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
COLLECT GOLD Jan15 Dec14       (diehl canda)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 12.00    
SCR  MINESTRESS Dec30         (brafford mich)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00    
SCR  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Dec28 Dec13       (lopez jacint)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 15.00    
WILD MARIAH Aug14 Aug01 Jul13 Jun24   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
NUBLADA         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.