Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $29.80 $23.80 397%
MVR-2   DD (1/2/3)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-3 $21.40 $9.40 78%
MVR-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $12.00 $6.00 100%
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $52.40 $40.40 337%
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-6-2 $51.10 $48.10 1603%
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/1)-(6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-3/4/5-1 $68.25 $59.25 658%
MVR-7   TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-5-1 $5.25 $2.25 75%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:15 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GAMBLER 3 2 21½ 21½ 21½ 3½ 1½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 5% 19.00 13.90 W
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 1nk 2½ (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 3.00 3.20  
1  FRANCO (MEX) 1 1 42½ 32 32½ 2nk 32¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.60 53% 0.90 0.60 S
5  EXALTED JOY 5 5 31½ 42 44 53½ 43¼ (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 5.10  
2  LAUTREC 2 4 52¾ 53½ 54 42½ 54¾ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 5.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
 
MVR-2   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:163 1:304   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICKSTYLE 1 2 12½ 12 11½ 1½ 1½ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 7% 12.90 0.90 DQ↓2
5  BROADWAY CHARM 3 3 32½ 22 21½ 2½ 2½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 0.80  
2  TEST YOUR FAITH 2 1 22½ 32½ 36 34½ 39¾ (wade justin)VEGA L 126 12.00 5.60  
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER               (galloway khade)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
SCR  ZIPSY ROSE LEE               (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 0.80 60% 0.70    
 
MVR-3   03/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BANG BLUE 1 3 1½ 1nk   12½ 12¼ (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 5.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
6  THEODOROPOULOS 6 2 62¾ 51¾   43½ 22¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.50 35% 1.80 1.60 P
2  FALL CAMPAIGN 2 1 2½ 41¼   22½ 32½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 17% 4.80 9.70 S
3  CONTESSINA 3 4 31 2nk   53¾ 46¼ (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.50 7.20  
4  CANTHO 4 6 41 3.2   63¾ 56½ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 1.80  
5  C C'S WORLD 5 5 52½ 61¾   32½ 66¾ (gonzalez a)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00 7.80  
 
MVR-4   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BISCAYNE BAY 5 3 42 4¾   11½ 11¼ (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 5.60  
1  JETTIN PEGASUS 1 6 53 5¾   31½ 21¼ (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 4.10  
4  LADY ABRIL 4 1 2½ 1½   21½ 33¼ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 2.50 49% 1.00 2.20 S
3  OUT FOR FUN 3 5 63½ 62¾   65½ 47½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
2  DANCIN' ROSIE 2 4 1½ 3½   53½ 58½ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 8.20  
6  DIVA POWER 6 2 31½ 2½   42½ 68¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 20% 4.00 1.50  
 
MVR-5   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:153 1:292   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT 5 3 57¾ 56 26 21 1¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00 73% 0.40 0.40 W
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  GHOST OF LONDYN 7 5 2nk 1nk 16 11 2¾ (romero jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30 P
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
3  RAISE YOU ONE 2 7 711¼ 67½ 46½ 34 39¼ (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00 21.70  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
5  MY HOMBRE 4 1 1nk 2nk 36 47 413¾ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 12.00 ★ 7.20  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
1  MY TICKET 1 6 611¼ 78½ 612½ 613 521 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 ★ 18.60  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
4  FORMYBOYS 3 4 43¼ 42 57½ 511½ 621¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.00 6.50  
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
7  EQUITY CAT 6 2 3.2 3½ 715½ 729 756 (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 118 12.00 62.80  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  SWAYBACK MOBIL               (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 118 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
 
MVR-6   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:141 1:43   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CHIC 1 2 31½ 22 22 23 1¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 1.60 43% 1.30 0.60 W
3  BANK BUSTER 3 1 11½ 12 12 13 2¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 6.30  
4  SCOOP THERE IT IS 4 3 21½ 33½ 37 38½ 310½ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 2.50 2.90  
5  IMA SURE BET 5 5 56¾ 57½ 515 511 411¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 2 4 41¾ 46½ 413 410 512¼ (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 4.00 30% 2.30 4.90  
 
MVR-7   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MY SUZIE Q 3 2 23 22   24 1¼ (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 16% 5.30 2.20 W
  (by MOSLER out of ROTATE by ORB)
5  GETAWAY BAY 4 1 13 12   14 2¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.60 46% 1.20 0.70 P
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ELUSIVE GETAWAY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 1 3 35½ 37   316 324½ (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  OH ATLANTA 2 4 49 49   416½ 427 (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50 3.70  
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of MS PIANIST by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  WORK'N ON A BUZZ               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
MVR-8   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:144 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHORTLY 3 1 11½ 12 12 11½ 11¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 1.20 55% 0.80 0.60 W
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  ROCKY'S EXPRESS 6 2 31½ 22 22 21½ 21¼ (hamm timot)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 3.50 6.10  
  (by IN SUMMATION out of MILTOS EXPRESS by NOTEBOOK)
4  FINISTERE 4 5 63¾ 54½ 43½ 32 33½ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 21% 3.90 2.10 S
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
5  WILEY T 5 4 43 43 53½ 43½ 49 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 15.00 17.40  
  (by TEXAS RED out of HOME ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 3 21½ 32½ 33 53½ 512½ (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 27.30  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
1  LANEHAYA 1 6 53½ 64½ 66½ 67½ 616½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 6.00 12.30  
  (by WAR FRONT out of LAHUDOOD by SINGSPIEL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.