Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/1)-(6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/2/1)-(4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(4/6/3)-(6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/8)-(1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/8)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(1/2/5)-(5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/3/1)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANCO (MEX) Feb21 Feb08 Jan23 Jan01 Dec26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
2  LAUTREC Feb21 Jan08 Dec11 Nov21 Oct23 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
3  GAMBLER Feb21 Jan23 Dec26 Dec11 Nov29 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Feb27 Feb13 Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 3.00    
5  EXALTED JOY Feb28 Feb15 Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50    
 
MVR-2   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICKSTYLE Feb15 Feb06 Dec13 Aug11 Jun30 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 7% 12.90    
2  TEST YOUR FAITH Feb24 Feb15 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 (wade justin)VEGA L 126 12.00    
SCR  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 Dec13 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 0.80 60% 0.70    
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER Feb24 Feb06 Jan09 Dec11 Aug03 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
5  BROADWAY CHARM Feb24 Feb06 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60    
 
MVR-3   03/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BANG BLUE Feb21 Jan25 Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  FALL CAMPAIGN Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov13 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  CONTESSINA Nov07 Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.50    
4  CANTHO Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50    
5  C C'S WORLD Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 Jan03 Dec03 (gonzalez a)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00    
6  THEODOROPOULOS Feb12 Jan09 Dec19 Apr22 Feb12 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
MVR-4   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Feb28 Feb13 Jan04 Dec11 Nov28 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00    
2  DANCIN' ROSIE Feb20 Jan23 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
3  OUT FOR FUN Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 Dec21 Nov02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY ABRIL Feb20 Jan01 Dec18 Nov20 Oct28 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  BISCAYNE BAY Feb20 Feb06 Jan22 Jan01 Jul04 (zielinski ri)BATISTA A 124 3.50    
6  DIVA POWER Jan04 Dec19 Nov16 Oct28 Oct02 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-5   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TICKET Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 Dec21 Nov22 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 ★    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
SCR  SWAYBACK MOBIL Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23   (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 118 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
3  RAISE YOU ONE Feb21 Dec12 Nov22 Oct05 Aug28 (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
4  FORMYBOYS Feb21 Feb07 Jan08 Dec21 Dec13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
5  MY HOMBRE Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 Nov22 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 12.00 ★    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
6  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Feb07 Jan23       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00 73% 0.40    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  EQUITY CAT Feb15 Jan23       (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 118 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
8  GHOST OF LONDYN Feb29 Feb15 Jan02     (romero jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
 
MVR-6   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CHIC Feb22 Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Nov28 Nov14 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  BANK BUSTER Feb27 Feb20 Feb01 Aug08 Jul26 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
4  SCOOP THERE IT IS Nov06 Sep28 Sep19 Aug22 Aug09 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
5  IMA SURE BET Feb27 Feb14 Feb01 Jan25 Jan09 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Nov28 Nov13 Oct28 Oct12 Sep04 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  OH ATLANTA         (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of MS PIANIST by MORE THAN READY)
3  MY SUZIE Q         (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MOSLER out of ROTATE by ORB)
SCR  WORK'N ON A BUZZ         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  GETAWAY BAY         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ELUSIVE GETAWAY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
MVR-8   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANEHAYA Feb06         (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LAHUDOOD by SINGSPIEL)
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Feb20 Jan22 Dec05 Nov14 Oct30 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
3  SHORTLY Feb20 Jan22 Jan02 Dec18 Dec05 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  FINISTERE Feb20 Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 Oct30 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
5  WILEY T Feb22 Feb12 Jan05 Dec05 Mar02 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 15.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of HOME ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Feb07 Dec30 Dec16 Sep06 Jul19 (hamm timot)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 3.50    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of MILTOS EXPRESS by NOTEBOOK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.