The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $6.00 -4.00
MVR-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $12.60 -4.00
MVR-3   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
MVR-4   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.40 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
MVR-6   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 8.40
MVR-7   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.40 -6.00
MVR-8   Win (5/4/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:151 1:291   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALINBA 5 5 4 32 2½ 11(lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 2.00  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 3 1 5 4 31 22(romero jose )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00 62% 0.60 2.70 P
WHEN IN ROME 4 2 21 1nk 1½ 33(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 1.50 S
PLAYING BALL 1 3 11 2nk 43 4422 (zielinski rich)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 6.10  
RAMBLIN CHROME 2 4 3 5 59 515½ 545¾ (castillo jabdiel)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  MR LAOBAN               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 1.80    
 
MVR-2   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :47       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKEMEISTER 2 5 42 3.2   11(sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 5.30  
SCRATCHOFF 3 1 1½ 1nk   22(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 62% 0.60 1.00 P
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 3 3 4   43(john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
CHARGER 4 4 56 5   58 410¾ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 1.40  
TOYI 5 2 2½ 2nk   3512 (tumblin andr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 12.80  
 
MVR-3   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 2 4 2nk 4   2½ 1¼ (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 126 2.00 36% 1.80 0.20 W
BIG FALCON ROCKET 1 5 5 5   52¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 12.20  
UNCLE KEVIN 4 2 3½ 1nk   1½ 3(reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 16% 5.30 8.70 S
STRIKE A BEAT 3 3 4¾ 3   44(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 126 6.00 13.40  
WIZARD WILLIE 5 1 1nk 2nk   355 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 25% 3.10 4.70  
SCR  GOLDENPENCE               (gonzalez agustin )LEON A 126 12.00    
SCR  ZELIG               (johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.50    
 
MVR-4   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTITUDE 4 2 1 12   11(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.20  
CROSSED UP 2 4 3 22   22(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 25% 3.00 1.40 P
TWERK 1 5 4 5   53(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 2.50 24% 3.10 2.90 S
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 3 5 4   44(huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 7.60  
POWER BANKER 5 1 2 32   35(cline ro)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 11% 7.90 6.60  
SCR  CAUSE OF LOVE               (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:253 :491 1:142 1:281   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 3 2 3.2 3½ 31 1nk 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.00 W
PROSECUTOR 5 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 2(guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 21% 3.80 3.60 P
EAGLE NEST 2 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 3(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70 1.70 S
PRESSLEY RIDGE 1 5 5 5 53 44(pappada a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 5.70  
I STRONG 4 3 4 4 42 55(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 5.00  
SCR  COLOR BEARER               (skerrett j)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE RONS ROCKET               (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
SCR  RAY'S EMPIRE               (szczepanski em)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY 3 2 11 11   11 1¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 10% 9.20 5.20 W
BISCUITS AND GRITS 6 1 21 21   21 2¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 55% 0.80 0.50 P
CRYPTO COPY 4 4 4 5   31 3(gorham m)DIAZ I 126 3.50 4.90 S
DOUGS MORNING PICK 1 5 5 31   43 4(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.50  
THAT'S THE WAY 2 6 6 6   54 55 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 15.30  
GIFT OF OAK 5 3 3 4   66(haehn r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 40.70  
SCR  THEDAYOFTHEGREY               (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 2.00    
 
MVR-7   02/29/2024 5490ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:14 1:412   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S CRAFTY 6 6 610½ 610½ 4 32 1(guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 3.00 3.70  
R THREE ANGELS 5 2 1 14 14 12 2(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 29% 2.50 1.80 P
NEAR PERFECT 2 5 3 37 24 22 33 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 34% 2.00 1.70 S
HIGH FIRE 4 1 4 4 36 445 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 10.40  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 3 59 510 5 5520¾ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 6.00 9% 9.80 4.40  
SHAKA'S LYRIC 3 4 2 24 615½ 622¼ 640¾ (silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 32.40  
 
MVR-8   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN RED RUN 7 8 5 1nk   11 1¼ (cline c)BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 1.00 W
C V DYNAMIC 5 3 3 3½   21 2¼ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 23% 3.40 3.70 P
CINSAULT 4 7 7 8   735 (rone penny)TOLEDO S 122 4.50 23% 3.40 7.00 S
SWAYBACK MOBIL 1 9 8 7   54(schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 4.00 15.70  
WEEKEND RETREAT 9 2 6 6   68 5(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 7.30  
DRILIN' FOR GEMS 2 6 1½ 2nk   35 610¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 10.00 14% 6.40 11.30  
GHOST OF LONDYN 3 4 4 4   4711½ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 14.80  
GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL 6 5 914¾ 921¾   922½ 832¼ (rone penny)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 59.70  
CATCHING MY WIND 8 1 2½ 5   816½ 935¾ (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 15% 5.70 13.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.