Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/1)-(4/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/7/6)-(2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(2/1/6)-(6/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(6/8/5)-(7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/5)-(6/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/5)-(6/8/5)-(6/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/5)-(7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5)-(7/4)-(2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/4)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(2/5/1)-(4/5/8/2/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/5/8/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/5/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/2/7)-(4/5/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/2/7)-(4/5/8/2/7)-(4/5/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR LAOBAN Feb15 Feb05 Jan18 Jan04 Dec04 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 1.80    
2  PLAYING BALL Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 (zielinski ri)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00    
3  RAMBLIN CHROME Feb12 Jan18 Dec23 Dec09 Nov21 (castillo jabdie)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  INSACIABLE PRINCE Feb15 Dec04 Oct30 Oct09 Sep06 (romero jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00 62% 0.60    
5  WHEN IN ROME Feb22 Jan11 Dec27 Nov16 Nov02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 ★    
6  KALINBA Feb22 Dec12 Dec04 Nov05 Oct15 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-2   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Feb05 Dec12 Nov15 Oct04 Jul31 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  JOKEMEISTER Sep05 Aug03 Jul05 Jun20 May30 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 3.00    
3  SCRATCHOFF Feb08 Jan15 Oct22 Aug03 Jul03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  CHARGER Jan30 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct15 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 ★    
5  TOYI Feb08 Dec07 Nov21 Nov09 Oct30 (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
 
MVR-3   02/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG FALCON ROCKET Feb15 Dec27 Nov06 Oct18 Oct08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
SCR  ZELIG Feb15 Feb05 Dec07 Nov08 Oct24 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.50    
SCR  GOLDENPENCE Feb20 Jan11 Oct09 Nov13 Oct22 (gonzalez agusti)LEON A 126 12.00    
4  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Feb20 Jan18 Jan03 Nov22 Sep26 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  STRIKE A BEAT Feb15 Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
6  UNCLE KEVIN Feb15 Jan01 Dec12 Jun24 May31 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  WIZARD WILLIE Feb05 Jan22 Jan01 Nov06 Oct16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
MVR-4   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWERK Feb13 Dec19 Nov28 Nov02 Oct02 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  CROSSED UP Feb13 Jan18 Dec19 Nov28 Nov02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  CAUSE OF LOVE Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 Dec13 Nov20 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
4  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Feb13 Dec19 Nov20 Nov02 Sep13 (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
5  EXACTITUDE Feb13 Aug17 Jul24 Jun24 May24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
6  POWER BANKER Feb13 Nov14 Nov02 Jul17 May26 (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-5   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jan30 Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
SCR  COLOR BEARER Feb14 Dec14 Nov14 Oct24 Oct02 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
3  PRESSLEY RIDGE Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Nov30 Nov08 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 8.00    
SCR  RAY'S EMPIRE Feb14 Jan30 Dec28 Jul06 Jun19 (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
5  EAGLE NEST Feb14 Jan15 Dec26 Oct24   (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jan30 Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  I STRONG Feb14 Jan25 Dec28 Nov27 Oct25 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00    
8  PROSECUTOR Feb14 Jan15 Dec26 Aug12 Jul25 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-6   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK Feb14 Jan23 Dec07 Nov27 Jul11 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
2  THAT'S THE WAY Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 Nov30 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Feb14 Dec26 Nov28 Oct04 Sep06 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 2.00    
4  MUTINY Feb21 Jan24 Dec14 Sep25 Aug30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
5  CRYPTO COPY Feb15 Oct23 Sep04 Feb01 Dec21 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 3.50 ★    
6  GIFT OF OAK Mar16 Jan15       (haehn terry )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
7  BISCUITS AND GRITS Jan24 Dec04 Nov14 Sep18 Nov09 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
MVR-7   02/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TROUBLED WATERS Jan08 Dec21 Nov22 Oct21 Oct06 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 6.00 9% 9.80    
2  NEAR PERFECT Jan08 Dec21 Nov16 Oct21 Jun30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  SHAKA'S LYRIC Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Sep28 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
4  HIGH FIRE Feb13 Dec19 Dec04 Nov02 Oct06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
5  R THREE ANGELS Feb06 Jan18 Nov09 Oct28 Oct05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
6  SHE'S CRAFTY Feb06 Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Sep26 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.00    
 
MVR-8   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAYBACK MOBIL Feb15 Feb01 Jan23     (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
2  DRILIN' FOR GEMS         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
  (by DRILL out of JILL'S GEM by MINESHAFT)
3  GHOST OF LONDYN Feb15 Jan02       (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
4  CINSAULT Feb15         (rone penny)TOLEDO S 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  C V DYNAMIC Feb15 Feb01 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
6  GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL Feb01 Jan02       (rone pen)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of TYLAN by SKIP AWAY)
7  RUN RED RUN Jul22 Jun30       (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MAGGIE'S PLEASURE by EAVESDROPPER)
8  CATCHING MY WIND         (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by INDY WIND out of CHEERING FOR AL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  WEEKEND RETREAT Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 Dec18   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.