Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   EXA (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-4 $35.40 $11.40 48%
MVR-5   EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $23.00 $11.00 92%
MVR-6   PK3 (4/2/1/7)-(4/6/1)-(5/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-6-2/5 $19.65 $1.65 9%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:153 1:43   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY SKY 1 2 11 11 1 13 1 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 2.60  
CAPTURE MI 2 1 21 21 2 23 2 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 3.00 29% 2.50 1.00 P
BARRELHOUSE 3 3 3 33 34 37 314 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 3.50 2.10  
ON HIS TOES 5 5 5 55 57 410 420¼ (londono j)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
SILVER MATT 4 4 4 4 46 516½ 534 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 23% 3.40 17.60  
SCR  BEYOND TALENTED               (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
SCR  WYNN GIANT               (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
 
MVR-2   02/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
1:46         1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART OF THE BEAST 1 2 1½ 11 1 1 1¼ (mckanas j)DIAZ I 126 4.00 1.80  
ZIPSY ROSE LEE 3 1 32 21 2 2 2¼ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 60% 0.70 0.40 P
DESERT JUSTICE 2 3 2½ 3 319½ 339½ 3100 (fiesman rober)SIMPSON JASON 126 15.00 5.10  
SCR  COURTING WAR               (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00    
SCR  THE HONORABLE EYE               (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.20    
SCR  VALENTINA MIA               (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-3   02/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:153 1:443   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEP AHEAD 1 1 7 8 3 12 1 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 2.00 36% 1.80 1.10 W
TWELVE MINUS ONE 2 6 8 5 4 3 2 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 27.20  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 8 8 6 3 5 22 3 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 19% 4.30 6.50 S
MO SNOW 3 3 45 4 7 7 4 (londono j)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5.50  
ELEGGUA 5 4 3 6 812½ 8 5 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 126 20.00 49.80  
RANSAM PAYNTER 6 5 1 14 1 4 610 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 9% 10.00 5.60  
WILEY T 7 7 2 24 2 5 714 (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 8.00 6.80  
MR. BLUTARSKY 4 2 5 7 67 6 814½ (smith larry)DIAZ I 118 4.50 13% 6.70 6.30  
SCR  LEAVENWORTH               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
 
MVR-4   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:02     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S DESTINY 7 8 8 6   24 1 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 9% 10.40 2.60 W
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 4 3 1nk 12   14 2 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50 43% 1.30 2.70 P
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 6 2 4 22   34 37 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 24.70  
TITEBLUEJEANS 5 4 3.2 32   5 47 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 11.50  
HALO EFFECT 8 1 7 8   7 5 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 6.20  
OH EYE SEE 3 7 6 5   4 6 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 10.00  
STARLITESLEW 1 6 5 7   6 713¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.90 6.50  
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 5 2nk 4   8 821½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 13% 6.60 3.90  
 
MVR-5   02/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 3 3 5 5   4 1¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 13% 6.80 2.10 W
WHEN IN ROME 1 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 8% 11.60 4.20 P
OUTSLEWTHEM 4 5 3½ 1nk   1nk 3½ (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 1.00  
KALINBA 5 1 2nk 32   3 4 (lopez jaci)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 7.70  
MINDSHIP Q 2 2 42 45   5 55 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 7.70  
SCR  AKITO               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  BELL CURVE               (bates l)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
SCR  STANDINGINTHEFIRE               (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00    
SCR  TATER AND TOT               (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
 
MVR-6   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUREENLOVESFRANK 3 1 1½ 1   1 1 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 59% 0.70 0.90 W
TATTERED HEART 5 3 34 2   2 2 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 18% 4.60 1.20 P
IYIYI 4 2 2½ 3   3 3 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00 9.50  
JOYFUL NOISE 2 5 5 4   47 413¼ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
BLAZING ZENNA 1 4 46 5   57 515½ (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 10.00 11.10  
SCR  KHOZZY VALINTINE               (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
 
MVR-7   02/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:26 :501 1:16 1:29   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS FUSSY PANTS 2 2 1½ 1 1 1 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 32% 2.10 0.70 W
MOBIL CHIC 5 3 41 44 33 2 2 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 1 5 2½ 2 2 3 311¾ (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 22.10  
LINE DANCER 4 1 3½ 3 43 46 413 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 5.20  
KEEN CONTENDER 3 4 5 56 5 511 521½ (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 20% 3.90 3.10  
SCR  AMENSET               (reed r)HALDAR J 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAILS HERE 1 5 3½ 1nk   11 12 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 12.00 28.40  
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
ROMANIAN PRINCE 3 4 2½ 3.2   21 22 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 1.60 47% 1.10 0.30 P
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
A VAN ON THE RUN 6 7 5 4   47 315½ (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 118 3.00 4.50  
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
EL SORDO 4 6 4 5   58 416¾ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 13% 7.00 8.10  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
STORMED OUT 2 3 1½ 2nk   35 519¼ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
COUNTRY STYLE 7 1 6 6   69 620½ (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 11% 8.00 10.10  
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
LEWIS AND CLARK 5 2 7 712¼   714 727½ (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00 45.90  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.