Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6)-(1/9/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(1/9/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/9/5/7)-(4/2/1/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/7)-(1/9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/7)-(1/9/5/7)-(1/9/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/5/7)-(4/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/7)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/7)-(4/6/1)-(5/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/7/4)-(2/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(2/3/6)-(3/4/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY SKY Feb01 Dec03 Mar28 Mar06 Feb09 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00    
2  CAPTURE MI Feb13 Oct04 Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  BARRELHOUSE Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 Dec09 Dec01 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 3.50    
4  SILVER MATT Feb08 Jan15 Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BEYOND TALENTED Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 Oct09 Sep11 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
6  ON HIS TOES Jan27 Jan01 Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 (londono j)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WYNN GIANT Dec31 Nov14 Oct25 Oct09 Aug28 (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
 
MVR-2   02/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF THE BEAST Feb06 Nov29 Nov07 Sep21 Aug12 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 126 4.00 ★    
SCR  COURTING WAR Feb06 Dec23 May16 Mar18 Feb09 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00    
SCR  VALENTINA MIA Feb12 Dec06 Oct31     (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
SCR  THE HONORABLE EYE Feb11 Aug30 Jul17 Jun26 May29 (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.20    
5  DESERT JUSTICE Dec11         (fiesman rober)SIMPSON JASON 126 15.00    
6  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 60% 0.70    
 
MVR-3   02/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEP AHEAD Feb12 Jan02 Nov18 Oct27 Oct07 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  TWELVE MINUS ONE Jan02 Dec18 Dec05 Oct30 Oct13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
3  MO SNOW Feb12 Jan11 Jun13 May25 Mar17 (londono j)AVILES YAN 126 8.00    
SCR  LEAVENWORTH Feb12 Jan18 Jan11 Nov02 Feb26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
5  MR. BLUTARSKY Feb12 Nov29 Nov07 Oct23 Sep09 (smith larry)DIAZ I 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  ELEGGUA Feb12 Jan02 Dec15 Nov30 Nov20 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
7  RANSAM PAYNTER Jan02 Dec18 Dec05 Jul21 Jul10 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 9% 10.00    
8  WILEY T Feb12 Jan05 Dec05 Mar02 Dec28 (tumblin andrew)REYES FRANK 126 8.00    
9  ROYAL AIR FORCE Jan02 Dec18 Nov16 Oct21 Sep28 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-4   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLITESLEW Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 Jun01 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.90    
2  PENNY'S TREASURE Feb05 Jan11 Dec06 Nov07 Oct23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
3  OH EYE SEE Dec07 Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep19 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
4  HOLLYS SUPER STAR Feb05 Jan11 Dec11 Nov22 Sep19 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  TITEBLUEJEANS Feb05 Jan11 Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
6  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Feb05 Jan22 Jan09 Dec20 Nov22 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
7  ANGEL'S DESTINY Feb05 Jan11 Dec07 Nov07 Oct03 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 9% 10.40    
8  HALO EFFECT Dec06 Nov15 Nov06 Oct21 Oct03 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   02/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEN IN ROME Jan11 Dec27 Nov16 Nov02 Jun20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  BELL CURVE Nov27 Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
3  MINDSHIP Q Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
SCR  AKITO Jan11 Dec27 Dec18 Nov15   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  TATER AND TOT Jan06 Nov06 Jan07 Dec17 Oct21 (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
6  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Feb12 Feb05 Jan11 Dec19 Dec12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
7  OUTSLEWTHEM Feb12 Jan11 Dec28 Nov15 Nov01 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
SCR  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Feb12 Jan11 Dec27 Dec03 Oct11 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00    
9  KALINBA Dec12 Dec04 Nov05 Oct15 Oct03 (lopez jaci)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHOZZY VALINTINE Feb07 Dec30 Nov30 Nov05 Oct13 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND Feb07 Jan09 Dec27 Nov07 Oct18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
3  BLAZING ZENNA Feb07 Dec06 Sep27 Sep07 Aug02 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
4  JOYFUL NOISE Jan08 Dec06 Oct07 Sep22 Jul17 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Feb07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
6  IYIYI Jan10 Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 Sep25 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
7  TATTERED HEART Jan30 Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 Oct18 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-7   02/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jan25 Jan04 Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
2  MISS FUSSY PANTS Feb07 Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 May26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  KEEN CONTENDER Jan18 Nov18 Nov02 Oct16 Aug26 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  AMENSET Jan01 Nov13 May12 Apr13 Mar03 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 5.00    
5  LINE DANCER Jan18 Jan02 Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
6  MOBIL CHIC Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   02/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAILS HERE Feb07 Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct06 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 12.00    
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
2  STORMED OUT Feb07 Jan10 Nov27 Oct25 Oct06 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
4  EL SORDO Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Aug28 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 13% 7.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  LEWIS AND CLARK Jan10 Dec13 Sep09 Jul05 Jun01 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
6  A VAN ON THE RUN Feb06 Dec19 Nov16     (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 118 3.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
7  COUNTRY STYLE Jan31 Sep19 Aug31 Aug12 Jul25 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.