The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - February 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
MVR-3   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $19.00 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
MVR-5   Win (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
MVR-6   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.80 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
MVR-8   Win (2/1/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -5.40

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:16 1:301   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUEL FUEL 4 3 46 48 21 11(romero oscar)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 1.80 2.10  
KLAATU 2 1 22 3 31 32 2(sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 3 4 35 2 4 43(zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 3.50 31% 2.30 3.00 S
ONLYATTHESHOE 1 5 12 1 11 24(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 6.40  
EMPEROR'S GOLD 5 2 5100 5100 5100 5100 5100 (lopez a)BRACHO A 126 1.20 38% 1.60 1.50  
 
MVR-2   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:221 :461 :593     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICUREAN 4 2 3½ 1nk   1½ 14 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 19% 4.30 3.10 W
LADY LOTTIE 1 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 24 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 0.80 42% 1.40 0.20 P
SHEWEARSMYRING 5 1 510½ 511   59 36 (dacosta jaso)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 39.80  
OAXACA 2 5 2½ 32   34(skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 8.70  
LUCKY TUESDAY 3 3 4 46   4514¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
 
MVR-3   02/28/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :48       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW SLIDING HOME 3 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 8.50  
CALBOYZEKE 4 3 31 3   2½ 2½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 51% 0.90 3.30 P
WEEKEND BUZZ 5 2 1nk 2nk   33(trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 17% 5.00 2.50 S
MISTER MOBIL 1 4 42 43   443 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 5.00 11% 7.80 0.90  
KARAMEL CORN 2 5 5 5   55(tumblin an)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 11.50  
SCR  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
 
MVR-4   02/28/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:151 1:431   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONTAP 3 4 45 32 1nk 1nk 12 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.80 60% 0.70 0.30 DQ↓2
FABIOLA PRINCESS 4 1 2 21 2nk 2nk 22 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.50 17% 4.70 5.30 W
PEARLINTHEROUGH 5 5 35 54 4 37 312¼ (tumblin andr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
BEING CREATIVE 1 3 1 11 32 48 422½ (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 10.80  
MYRA FLEENER 2 2 5 44 59 513 531½ (lopez a)VEGA L 124 10.00 13.50  
SCR  BIG BANG BLUE               (bernardini p)LEON A 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:252 :482 1:134 1:273   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 2 5 21 1 14 16 1(vecchio cary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60 W
PARKER 6 3 11 2 24 26 2(salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
EXALTED JOY 4 4 6 68 611½ 412½ 311¾ (vecchio )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 7.60  
BOSS BEAR 1 1 4 4 310 311 412¾ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 2.50  
AT THE BEACH 5 2 32 35 410 513 518¼ (szczepanski em)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 23.20  
GILLIGAN 3 6 5 56 510½ 613 620¼ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 13% 6.60 2.70  
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON               (st david)LEON A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 6 1 3 2nk   14 13 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 126 4.00 0.90  
TIZ INDEPENDENCE 2 5 4 4   24 23 (skerrett jeff)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 5.50  
JETTIN PEGASUS 1 6 6 6   47 3(suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 13.00 S
SUZY Q THE QUEEN 3 4 5 5   510 413¼ (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 124 10.00 31.30  
LET'S BE HONEST 5 2 2 31   610 516¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 35% 1.80 4.60  
DIVINE MARTHA 4 3 1 1nk   36 618¾ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 31% 2.20 2.60  
 
MVR-7   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:023     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STICK AROUND 1 4 4 32   21¾ (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 122 1.80 60% 0.70 1.10 W
PARLAY CHARLIE 3 2 11 1nk   12¾ (trevino step)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 5.00 1.60  
OLYMPIC WINGS 2 3 21 2nk   3312½ (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 3.10  
JUSTWORTHASHOT 4 1 31 43   4421¾ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 10.00 13% 6.90 6.90  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50    
SCR  COLLECT GOLD               (diehl canda)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 8.00    
 
MVR-8   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G T THREE FIFTY 8 1 2 21   12 1(radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 5.00 9% 9.60 1.30 W
MEDIA DARLING 2 2 1 11   22 2(zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.50 28% 2.50 3.60 P
STUNT MAN 3 7 3 3   43(morales m)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 28.70  
KNOCK WOOD 9 3 611 6   64(tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
ELLIOT THE DRAGON 6 4 48 4   37 5(ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 12.40  
PALACE TEMPTATION 4 5 5 5   5610¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 26.90  
PAINT THE TOWN 1 8 714 7   711½ 711¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 24% 3.20 3.00  
OUR BUCKWHEAT 7 6 814 810¾   814½ 818½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 9% 9.80 11.30  
DASH OF FIRE 5 9 920 915¼   919 923½ (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 59.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.