Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $6.20 $2.20 55%
MVR-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-1 $16.80 $12.80 320%
MVR-5   DD (1/5)-(5/1/6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00  5-6 $28.80 $12.80 80%
MVR-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $19.60 $13.60 227%
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $45.80 $33.80 282%
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $68.40 $44.40 185%
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2/5-6-3 $35.40 $23.40 195%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 1 3 11½ 11½   1½ 12½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 48% 1.10 2.10 W
5  MALI BALI 3 2 21½ 21½   2½ 22½ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 0.30  
6  ICEY ANGEL 4 1 43 47   37½ 314½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 10% 8.50 10.50 S
4  SURPRISED GEM 2 4 33 36½   48½ 419½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 14.80  
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE               (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
SCR  SHARP LIFE               (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FRANKLY MY DEAR 4 1 22 22   1nk 12 (rivera nestor)LEON A 126 1.80 0.60  
2  LA REINA DEL NORTE 2 2 35½ 35½   32 22 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40 P
4  FLYING BUSINESS 3 3 12 12   2nk 34 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 12% 7.30 6.60 S
1  BIRDIE BLUE 1 4 46½ 48   46 412¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 16.60  
SCR  ROMANTIC JEWEL               (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00    
 
MVR-3   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANIAN PRINCE 1 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 14¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 1.60 42% 1.40 0.20 W
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
4  TADZIO 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 24¼ (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 28.30  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  A VAN ON THE RUN 2 4 35 34   35½ 39½ (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 122 4.50 7% 14.10 14.00 S
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  SMOKE SCREEN 5 5 57¾ 45½   48½ 413 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.60  
  (by FROSTED out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  RAMBLER 3 2 45¼ 57½   512½ 519 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 6.00 15.60  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  SPIRIT OF AKRON               (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MVR-4   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :462 :594     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SEEING RED 3 3 34 32   2½ 1¼ (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 126 4.50 31% 2.20 1.40 W
1  MARLEY LUCK 1 2 1nk 12   1½ 2¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 44% 1.30 2.50 P
4  ESTILO FAVORITO 2 1 2nk 22   36½ 316¼ (morales sa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 3.00  
6  FLY HOME 4 4 46 45   410½ 421¾ (flores chris)HALDAR J 124 10.00 2.60  
SCR  DIXIE GIANT               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60    
SCR  SWELTER               (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 2.00    
 
MVR-5   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FOUR BLESSINGS 5 6 31 2½   13 11½ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 8% 11.20 1.90 W
  (by CIGAR STREET out of SANDRINGHAM SIERRA by SILIC (FR))
7  FEW REGRETS 6 2 54½ 43½   34 21½ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 15.80  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GET IT STRAIGHT by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
8  DELOVELY 7 7 76½ 65½   45½ 32¾ (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 6.00 1.30  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
5  DAISY JONES 4 1 11 1½   23 44¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 3.00 47% 1.10 2.50  
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
1  FAITHFUL STEPS 1 5 21 31½   55½ 56½ (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 17% 4.90 15.60  
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
3  LUVISANAKI 2 4 42½ 55   69½ 611¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 26.30  
  (by COLLECTED out of ILLUMINATOR by MALIBU MOON)
4  BULLS N BERRY 3 3 65 78½   711½ 713 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00 46.80  
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
SCR  LONE RIDGE               (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of UNBRIDLED RIDGE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
MVR-6   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5.001K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS SHADY 3 4 33 31½   2½ 11½ (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 8.00 10% 9.30 8.80 W
5  MISS FUSSY PANTS 4 1 21½ 2½   1½ 21½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 43% 1.30 0.70 P
6  CONSTITUTIONALIST 5 2 11½ 1½   31 33 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 3.50  
1  ONE NIGHT STAND 1 3 43 44½   44 44½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 3.90  
2  THINK IT THRU 2 5 57 59½   512 519 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 124 3.50 7.30  
SCR  CAGUA               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
 
MVR-7   03/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:134 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAYITO 3 2 31 32 21 1½ 12½ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 2.70  
1  DARK BARON 1 3 11 12 11 2½ 22½ (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 8.70  
6  SUPPLY CHAIN 6 6 65 22 31½ 3½ 33½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 28% 2.60 1.50 S
5  VICTORY DIVISION 5 1 41½ 53½ 45½ 45½ 44¼ (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
4  FROG TOWN 4 4 53½ 64½ 57 56½ 55¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50  
2  RED COMET 2 5 21 43 614 616½ 621¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 28.00  
 
MVR-8   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5.001K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROCKSTAR RO 6 2 31½ 2½   2nk 11½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 59% 0.70 0.30 W
9  POWERFUL MOON 7 1 1nk 1½   1nk 21½ (ray kevin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00 14.70  
3  TRIGZ TOO 3 5 64¼ 64   43¼ 33 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 4.10  
4  APACHE 4 7 76¼ 76   76¼ 48 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 12% 7.10 11.60  
1  BEACH FRONT 1 4 43 43½   54¼ 58¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 5% 18.20 11.30  
2  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 2 3 2nk 32½   33 69½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
5  BROADWAY JONES 5 6 54 53½   66¼ 710½ (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 10.00 40.40  
SCR  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT               (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO               (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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