The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - March 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
MVR-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.20 -4.00
MVR-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
MVR-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 0.80
MVR-5   Win (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
MVR-6   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $19.60 $19.60 13.60
MVR-7   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.40 -6.00
MVR-8   Win (8/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 1 3 1 1   1½ 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 48% 1.10 2.10 W
MALI BALI 3 2 2 2   2½ 2(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 0.30  
ICEY ANGEL 4 1 43 47   3314½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 10% 8.50 10.50 S
SURPRISED GEM 2 4 33 3   4419½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 14.80  
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE               (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
SCR  SHARP LIFE               (preston randy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKLY MY DEAR 4 1 22 22   1nk 12 (rivera nestor)LEON A 126 1.80 0.60  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 2 2 3 3   32 22 (trevino st)MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40 P
FLYING BUSINESS 3 3 12 12   2nk 34 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 12% 7.30 6.60 S
BIRDIE BLUE 1 4 4 48   46 412¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 16.60  
SCR  ROMANTIC JEWEL               (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00    
 
MVR-3   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANIAN PRINCE 1 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 1(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 1.60 42% 1.40 0.20 W
TADZIO 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 2(radosevich)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 28.30  
A VAN ON THE RUN 2 4 35 34   33(huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.50 7% 14.10 14.00 S
SMOKE SCREEN 5 5 5 4   4413 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.60  
RAMBLER 3 2 4 5   512½ 519 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 6.00 15.60  
SCR  SPIRIT OF AKRON               (szczepanski em)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :462 :594     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEING RED 3 3 34 32   2½ 1¼ (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 126 4.50 31% 2.20 1.40 W
MARLEY LUCK 1 2 1nk 12   1½ 2¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 44% 1.30 2.50 P
ESTILO FAVORITO 2 1 2nk 22   3316¼ (morales saul)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 3.00  
FLY HOME 4 4 46 45   410½ 421¾ (flores christi)HALDAR J 124 10.00 2.60  
SCR  DIXIE GIANT               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60    
SCR  SWELTER               (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 124 2.00    
 
MVR-5   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR BLESSINGS 5 6 31 2½   13 1(acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 8% 11.20 1.90 W
FEW REGRETS 6 2 5 4   34 2(buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 15.80  
DELOVELY 7 7 7 6   43(trevino stephen)BRACHO A 126 6.00 1.30  
DAISY JONES 4 1 11 1½   23 4(zielinski richard)RIVERA R 126 3.00 47% 1.10 2.50  
FAITHFUL STEPS 1 5 21 3   55(preston randy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 17% 4.90 15.60  
LUVISANAKI 2 4 4 55   6611¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 26.30  
BULLS N BERRY 3 3 65 7   711½ 713 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00 46.80  
SCR  LONE RIDGE               (acevedo israel)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
 
MVR-6   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5.001K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SHADY 3 4 33 3   2½ 1(trevino stephen)BRACHO A 126 8.00 10% 9.30 8.80 W
MISS FUSSY PANTS 4 1 2 2½   1½ 2(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 43% 1.30 0.70 P
CONSTITUTIONALIST 5 2 1 1½   31 33 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 3.50  
ONE NIGHT STAND 1 3 43 4   44 4(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 3.90  
THINK IT THRU 2 5 57 5   512 519 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 124 3.50 7.30  
SCR  CAGUA               (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
 
MVR-7   03/05/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:134 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYITO 3 2 31 32 21 1½ 1(buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 2.70  
DARK BARON 1 3 11 12 11 2½ 2(tumblin )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 8.70  
SUPPLY CHAIN 6 6 65 22 3 3½ 3(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 28% 2.60 1.50 S
VICTORY DIVISION 5 1 4 5 4 44(schuster robin)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
FROG TOWN 4 4 5 6 57 55(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50  
RED COMET 2 5 21 43 614 616½ 621¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 28.00  
 
MVR-8   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5.001K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 6 2 3 2½   2nk 1(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 59% 0.70 0.30 W
POWERFUL MOON 7 1 1nk 1½   1nk 2(ray kevin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00 14.70  
TRIGZ TOO 3 5 6 64   433 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 4.10  
APACHE 4 7 7 76   748 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 12% 7.10 11.60  
BEACH FRONT 1 4 43 4   55(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 5% 18.20 11.30  
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 2 3 2nk 3   33 6(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
BROADWAY JONES 5 6 54 5   6710½ (hurley l)HALDAR J 124 10.00 40.40  
SCR  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT               (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO               (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.