Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/4)-(1/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/6/2)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/5)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/1/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/3)-(4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/6/5)-(8/4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(8/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/2)-(8/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/2)-(8/4/1/2)-(8/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE Feb20 Feb01 Jan03 Dec05 Nov07 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
2  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Feb27 Feb12 Jul19 Jul02 Jun21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  SHARP LIFE Feb20 Nov01 Jun10 May09 Nov21 (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
4  SURPRISED GEM Feb20 Jan25 Jan09 Dec04 Oct30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
5  MALI BALI Feb24 Feb12 Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60    
6  ICEY ANGEL Feb12 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 Nov16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 10% 8.50    
 
MVR-2   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE BLUE Feb19 Jan15 Dec30 Nov20 Oct29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
2  LA REINA DEL NORTE Feb19 Feb08 Dec30 Nov13 Oct24 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ROMANTIC JEWEL Feb19 Jul10 Jun25 May22 May09 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00    
4  FLYING BUSINESS Feb19 Feb08 Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 12% 7.30    
5  FRANKLY MY DEAR Feb19 Feb07 Jan24 Dec27 Nov28 (rivera nestor)LEON A 126 1.80    
 
MVR-3   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANIAN PRINCE Feb22 Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
2  A VAN ON THE RUN Feb22 Feb06 Dec19 Nov16   (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 122 4.50 7% 14.10    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
3  RAMBLER Sep26 Sep06       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  TADZIO Sep06 Aug15 Jul27 Jul13   (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  SPIRIT OF AKRON         (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  SMOKE SCREEN         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by FROSTED out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
MVR-4   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARLEY LUCK Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 Oct01 Aug23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  DIXIE GIANT Feb13 Feb01 Jan24 Dec29 Nov05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60    
SCR  SWELTER Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 Dec12 Dec04 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 2.00    
4  ESTILO FAVORITO Feb24 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01 Dec19 (morales sa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00    
5  SEEING RED Feb13 Jan15 Jan01 Dec12 Dec04 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 126 4.50 31% 2.20    
6  FLY HOME Jan22 Dec21 Dec04 Nov13 Jul20 (flores chris)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITHFUL STEPS Jan31 Jan01 Dec19 Nov27   (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
SCR  LONE RIDGE Feb21         (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of UNBRIDLED RIDGE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  LUVISANAKI Feb12 Feb22 Jan13 Nov04   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ILLUMINATOR by MALIBU MOON)
4  BULLS N BERRY Apr13         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
5  DAISY JONES Jan31 Jan18 Dec22 Nov22 Sep27 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  FOUR BLESSINGS Feb21         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 8% 11.20    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of SANDRINGHAM SIERRA by SILIC (FR))
7  FEW REGRETS Dec14 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GET IT STRAIGHT by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
8  DELOVELY Feb21 Jan17 Dec23 Jun23 May24 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
 
MVR-6   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5.001K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE NIGHT STAND Feb07 Jan09 Dec27 Nov07 Oct18 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
2  THINK IT THRU Jan02 Nov20 Oct31 Oct25 Sep06 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
3  MISS SHADY Feb24 Feb07 Jan25 Jan11 Dec11 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CAGUA Feb26 Feb13 Feb05 Dec27 Nov28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
5  MISS FUSSY PANTS Feb22 Feb07 Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 43% 1.30    
6  CONSTITUTIONALIST Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50    
 
MVR-7   03/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK BARON Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
2  RED COMET Feb21 Feb06 Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
3  MAYITO Feb20 Jan24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct17 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80    
4  FROG TOWN Feb20 Jan08 Jan01 Dec18 Dec07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
5  VICTORY DIVISION Feb14 Aug07 Jul11 Jun24 Jun01 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPPLY CHAIN Feb19 Jan30 Dec20 Nov02 Oct02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-8   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5.001K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH FRONT Feb14 Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 18.20    
2  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Jan30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov17 Oct09 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRIGZ TOO Feb20 Feb05 Jan18 Jan03 Aug08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
4  APACHE Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 Jan03 Nov26 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
5  BROADWAY JONES Feb05 Jan01 Dec07 Nov22 Nov06 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 10.00    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 Oct31 Oct21 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 Dec20 Nov29 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50    
8  ROCKSTAR RO Feb20 Jan30 Jan18 Jan11 Dec01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 59% 0.70    
9  POWERFUL MOON Feb12 Aug17 Jul04 Jun21 Dec08 (ray kevin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.