The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - March 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
MVR-2   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
MVR-3   Win (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $3.20 -8.00
MVR-4   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
MVR-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.80 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
MVR-8   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 2 2 1½ 1½   11 11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 1.40 56% 0.80 0.70 W
ROCK ON KITTEN 1 4 33 4   21 21 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 5.30  
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 4 3 44 3   431 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.00 2.70  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 5 1 2½ 2½   34(castillo jabdi)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
SECRET LIFE STYLE 3 5 58 5   58 57 (roberson don)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00 14% 6.30 9.70  
 
MVR-2   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:013     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE RED 2 1 1 1   11(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.30 W
GOOD MUSIC 4 4 32 2   22(rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.50 2.40  
OHIO STRONG 3 3 42 42   34 3(ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 26% 2.80 2.80 S
TAMMY'S TOY 1 2 2 32   44(brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00 3.20  
SCR  PALACE TEMPTATION               (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.00    
SCR  SLICK EDDIE               (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY FORTUNE 5 3 2 1½   1112½ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 0.60  
SCARLETT'S AWISH 7 2 1 2½   2212½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 16% 5.20 4.90 P
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 4 6 5 5   5313¼ (wilson david)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 16% 5.30 14.60 S
COWCHI 3 4 33 43   3413¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 6.40  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 6 1 43 32   46 514½ (fletcher jeff)CCAMAQUE M 124 2.50 38% 1.60 4.40  
CATABOUT 2 5 68 67   6615 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
I GOT HOPE 1 7 7 7   7718¼ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 42.00  
 
MVR-4   03/06/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:153 1:43   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNARUMMA 5 5 4 6 4¾ 1½ 1(buttigieg kevin)BRACHO A 124 4.50 2.10  
ENCHANTED MELODY 3 2 32 3 1nk 2½ 2(faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 48% 1.10 1.90 P
MAGESTAL BASTIDA 1 6 6 43 5 43(silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 13% 6.50 4.50 S
UNCAPTURED FAITH 4 3 22 2 3.2 32 4(sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 8% 12.10 3.60  
AWILDAS TREASURE 6 1 12 1 2nk 5512 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 9.20  
LOIS 2 4 5 5 6 6612¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 12.70  
 
MVR-5   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 8 1 32 32   2nk 1(poole m)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 11% 7.90 1.30 W
STARS N SPACE 5 2 1½ 12   1nk 2(overholt)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 34% 1.90 2.30 P
RED HOT POWER 3 4 43 22   33 3(gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 9.50  
NOSEY POWER 2 6 57 5   45 4(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 12.00 24.20  
SMOOCHER 7 7 712 711½   75(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 25% 3.00 5.40  
ANIMO ROBERTO 4 5 610½ 6   56(tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 9.30  
NO MAS CERVEZA 1 8 812 812½   8710¼ (brown glenroy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 36.70  
THANKSDAD 6 3 2½ 4   6812½ (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
 
MVR-6   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKING ME CRAZY 5 4 5 24   21(mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 4.40  
GOLDEN SPOKE 6 1 11 14   12(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 1.80  
KERANOS 1 5 6 5   53(faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 12.80  
TWO GUNS 2 6 3 4   35 49 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 31% 2.20 6.30  
ANOTHER BREEZE 4 3 21 34   45 512 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
MALIBU CLASSIC 3 2 44 6   6615½ (trevino g)VIGIL NOEL 124 2.00 44% 1.30 1.20  
 
MVR-7   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:144 1:28   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S OFFICIAL 6 2 31 1nk 2nk 2nk 1¼ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 27% 2.70 2.50 W
RAVEN MOON 2 3 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 1.80 33% 2.00 1.20 P
SEND ME ON 1 6 64 61 42 434 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 10.20  
VISUAL MISSION 3 5 5 5¾ 5 34(rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 14.10  
MISTER MOBIL 5 4 1½ 3.2 3 5511 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 28.30  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 4 1 2½ 4¼ 6 6100 6100 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 10% 8.90 2.20  
 
MVR-8   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING IN STYLE 2 3 11 1½   1nk 1½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.20 43% 1.30 0.60 W
THE EQUINEST 3 4 4 43   33 2½ (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 18.30  
RED GUN 4 1 3 2½   2nk 3½ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 2.00  
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 1 2 21 3   45 410 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 35% 1.80 3.30  
SCR  DEACON DOUGIE               (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.