Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-2   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.60 $5.60 70%
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $17.70 $5.70 48%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO REALITY 5 1 42 3   3.2 1 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 58% 0.70 1.30 W
MIAH SAID 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 1.20 13% 6.80 0.80 P
MAMAS LULLABYE 6 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (cook devin)SOSA LAUREANO 117 15.00 39.90  
CHIEF HARLAN 3 5 67 5   5 4 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00 14.20  
GRAY ENOUGH 4 6 5 69   6 5 (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 117 15.00 31.80  
SWIFT DANCER 2 3 3½ 4   4 611 (munoz carlos)MORELOS E 122 6.00 7% 12.40 6.90  
 
TAM-2   03/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL VERDICT 6 2 1nk 21   22 1¾ (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00 7% 14.10 5.80 W
SMART JOKER 4 4 2nk 11   12 2¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 2.00 3.20  
COMMANDER BIZ 1 6 7 55   55 3 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 4.50 2.90  
BOLD BLUE 5 3 42 3   44 4 (barron rory)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00 18% 4.70 7.20  
VIVA VICTORY 3 5 5 6   34 5 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 123 10.00 9.20  
TIZ A BEAST 2 7 6 7   6 6 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
MAGIC HOOH 7 1 31 44   78 77 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 125 4.00 45% 1.20 3.40  
SCR  VEGAS PLAYBOY               (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 123 8.00    
 
TAM-3   03/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:112 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS OF MALIBU 6 8 8 7 43 3.2 1½ (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 6.30  
JANNIE MAE 5 4 11 11 1½ 1nk 2½ (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00 12% 7.70 6.80 P
DUDEFOOLINGDARLING 8 7 7 108 8 7 3¾ (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.00 41% 1.50 1.30 S
LUCKY GIRL COCO 3 2 43 54 53 2nk 4 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 6.00 7.20  
10  REPLENISH 10 9 10 87 6 5 5 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00 5.20  
MIGHTY MADI 1 1 21 3 32 6 6 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 5.00 4.80  
DELIZIOSA 9 6 31 21 2½ 4 78 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 30.00 78.50  
DESTIN FOR DRAMA 4 3 6 65 7 83 8 (hayford j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 47.30  
NO MORE FIRE 7 10 9 9 9 9 911¾ (yanez rey)HERNANDEZ H 122 30.00 80.40  
BLACK AND SILVER 2 5 5 43 10 1014½ 1028¼ (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 122 30.00 63.90  
SCR  FAMILY STASH               (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
 
TAM-4   03/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM ROAD 4 3 3½ 2½   12 1 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.00 W
LORD BERRIER 6 1 42 3   22 2 (de kar)BATISTA A 120 5.00 2.50  
RARE JEWEL 3 5 5 42   3 3 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.00 2.80  
BIG BUCKSALOT 2 4 1½ 1½   43 410¾ (gatis chris)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
SAN COSTANTINO 1 2 2½ 52   5 510¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 26% 2.80 3.50  
GROUP HUG 5 6 614½ 610½   612 617¼ (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00 14.50  
SCR  MISTERCHILLIWILLI               (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
TAM-5   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:101 1:223   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYPHOON LAGOON 7 7 64 63 5 3 1¼ (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 3.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BIG COMMERCE 5 4 5 21 2½ 2½ 2¼ (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.20 3.40 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHE'S A WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
MAGISTRATE 3 2 2½ 11 1½ 1½ 3 (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.60 S
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
AU PARADIS 2 5 3 3 41 52 4 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 9% 9.80 2.40  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MUNGO 6 6 7 52 31 42 5 (richards re)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
  (by MUNNINGS out of NAVAJO KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
FIRST SLEW 4 3 4 7 6 610 619 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00 44.30  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of DONNA SLEW by SEATTLE SLEW)
EXTRA MONEY 1 1 1½ 42 7 711½ 720½ (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 15.00 37.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of RED VELVET by CITY ZIP)
SCR  NO MO FOES               (sims mont)HERNANDEZ H 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SPITFIRE WIND by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
TAM-6   03/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITIGANT 3 7 5 53   2nk 1¼ (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00 27.60  
MISTER BANJOMAN 1 5 11 1½   1nk 2¼ (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
INTER MIAMI 8 2 3 3   31 3¾ (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 0.40  
MR TITO'S 6 9 9 76   6 4 (vazquez m)TORRES R 122 2.00 44% 1.30 4.20  
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE 2 6 21 2½   4 5 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 41.00  
SEA SPLENDOR 7 3 8 6   55 6 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 8% 10.80 12.20  
PREFERRED OUTCOME 9 1 7 8   7 7 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 6.00 7% 13.10 24.40  
FURY KAP 4 4 4 43   8 811½ (rhone bernell)SOSA LAUREANO 122 8.00 15% 5.50 17.90  
POLLOCK 5 8 6 9   911¼ 918 (guciardo kath)IORIO MELISSA 115 20.00 85.30  
 
TAM-7   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:12 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE COSMO GIRL 7 7 98 64 4 2nk 1¼ (miranda luis)ARROYO S 118 2.00 34% 1.90 0.60 W
NELIDA 9 8 21 2½ 1 1nk 2¼ (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 15% 5.80 3.50 P
JUST MERCY 5 5 5 5 5 31 32 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 8.60 S
10  MILES OF SMILES 10 9 43 42 3 4 45 (orsen)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 17% 4.70 12.00  
ARMONIA 8 10 88 9 9 7 5 (roque elis)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 58.90  
D CITY GIRL 3 3 32 32 6 64 69 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00 36.00  
NINETY NINE 6 4 11 1½ 2 53 710¾ (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 13.80  
GROUND STOP 1 2 66 75 7 88 813 (damen daniel)BATISTA A 118 8.00 12% 7.50 11.70  
D'ORO BABY 4 6 7 8 8 9 916¼ (ochoa gerar)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 30.00 ######  
EMPIRE GIRL 2 1 1011 10 1010¼ 1019½ 1030¾ (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00 94.30  
 
TAM-8   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTYSIXCOUNTS 7 2 2½ 1½   1 113¾ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 125 4.00 2.80  
  (by KHOZAN out of FRU FRU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
D HOPPER 3 4 32 3   35 213¾ (maker michael)MORALES PABLO 125 1.80 36% 1.80 0.90 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of K J WARRIOR by TAPIT)
PAEZ 2 6 43 54   46 315¼ (nunez mauricio)OLIVERO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DUNKIN' RUN 1 3 1½ 2½   2 415¼ (stormfelt juli)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00 7.30  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HONG KONG SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
BOY O' BOY 6 1 53 44   5 515½ (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.00 41% 1.50 5.20  
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
MR. DEMEANOR 4 7 7 66   610 618 (exposito ado)BATISTA A 125 10.00 27.30  
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of FAR FROM HERE by DA STOOPS)
FINDANAME 5 5 6 7   712½ 721¾ (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00 20.60  
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  FROZEN IN TIME               (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FROZEN TUNDRA by MUNNINGS)
 
TAM-9   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:103 1:23   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED AGE 2 9 814 89 8 7 1¼ (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 2.50  
ZATIP 4 2 45 44 5 4 2¼ (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.70 P
BRAMBLE BLAZE 3 3 7 7 6 5 3½ (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00 14% 6.20 10.00 S
FACE VALUE 5 7 6 65 4 22 41 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 5.50  
MONGOLIAN APPLE 6 1 1 1½ 1½ 12 5 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 123 5.00 11% 8.50 4.90  
10  OPPOSITES ATTRACT 9 5 3 33 3 32 6 (trombetta mich)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 6.70  
TITLE SHOT 8 6 56 5 7 6 73 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 119 10.00 7% 12.70 24.20  
11  FOOD BANK HELPER 10 8 914 99 9 9 8 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 119 15.00 55.20  
CRAFTY KING 1 10 1015 1010 10 10 9 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
SPANISH NOBLE 7 4 2 2½ 2½ 8 108 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 15.00 33.40  
SCR  STAR KANOO               (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.