Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(8/10/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/2)-(8/10/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/2)-(8/10/5/4)-(5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/10/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/5/4)-(8/10/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/5/4)-(8/10/5/6/4)-(8/10/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/5/4)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/5/4)-(5/1/2)-(3/6/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/6/2/7)-(6/4/7/9/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(6/4/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/7)-(6/4/7/9/1)-(7/10/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/4/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/9/1)-(6/4/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/9/1)-(6/4/7/9/1)-(6/4/7/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/7/9/1)-(7/10/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/9/1)-(7/10/9/1)-(7/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/10/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/9/1)-(7/10/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/9/1)-(7/10/9/1/5)-(7/10/9/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/10/9/1)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/10/9/1)-(7/4/2)-(4/3/7/9/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(4/3/7/9/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/3/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/9/1)-(4/3/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/9/1)-(4/3/7/9/1)-(4/3/7/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIAH SAID Feb16 Dec15 Dec08 Nov09 Oct06 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 1.20 13% 6.80    
2  SWIFT DANCER Feb07 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 (munoz carlos)MORELOS E 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
3  CHIEF HARLAN Feb07 Aug06 Jun24 Sep29   (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00    
4  GRAY ENOUGH Feb09         (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 117 15.00    
5  BACK TO REALITY Feb23 Feb07 Oct21 Sep24 Aug18 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
6  MAMAS LULLABYE Feb25 Feb03       (cook devin)SOSA LAUREANO 117 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER BIZ Mar01 Feb21 Feb11 Dec01 Sep29 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 4.50    
2  TIZ A BEAST Mar06 Feb23 Feb02 Jan06 Oct10 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  VIVA VICTORY Feb21 Jun18 May14 Apr15 Mar13 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 123 10.00    
4  SMART JOKER Feb16 Jan10 Dec20 Jan08 Nov10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 2.00    
5  BOLD BLUE Mar06 Feb21 Jan21 Dec27 Dec16 (barron rory)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
6  FINAL VERDICT Feb23 Jan17 Dec29 Dec08 Oct10 (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00 7% 14.10    
7  MAGIC HOOH Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Oct27 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 125 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  VEGAS PLAYBOY Feb21 Jan06 Dec27 Nov22 Oct14 (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 123 8.00    
 
TAM-3   03/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MADI Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 Sep13 Aug30 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 5.00    
2  BLACK AND SILVER Dec24 Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 Sep30 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 122 30.00    
3  LUCKY GIRL COCO Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Sep25 May26 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 6.00    
4  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Feb09 Dec31 Oct23 Jul04 Jun10 (hayford j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  JANNIE MAE Mar02 Jan26 Nov05 Sep02 Aug04 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00 12% 7.70    
6  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Feb25 Jul23 Jul03 Jan09 Dec19 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 ★    
7  NO MORE FIRE Feb09 Dec31 Jun30 Jun04 May05 (yanez rey)HERNANDEZ H 122 30.00    
8  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Jan21 Dec15 Oct27 Sep17 Aug20 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
9  DELIZIOSA Feb09 Dec31 Jul27 Jul13 Feb05 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
10  REPLENISH Apr28 Jan06 Nov05 Sep05   (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  FAMILY STASH Mar02 Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 Nov29 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
 
TAM-4   03/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN COSTANTINO Feb18 Jan12 Dec27 Nov25 Sep20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  BIG BUCKSALOT Mar08 Feb02 Dec27 Nov29 Oct27 (gatis chris)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RARE JEWEL Feb18 Jan27 Jan03 Dec16 Nov12 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.00    
SCR  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Mar08 Feb04 Jan13 Dec27 Dec13 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
5  FREEDOM ROAD Feb18 Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 Nov24 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  GROUP HUG Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Dec27 Dec01 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00    
7  LORD BERRIER Feb18 Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 Oct21 (de kar)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
 
TAM-5   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA MONEY Aug02         (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of RED VELVET by CITY ZIP)
2  AU PARADIS Feb14         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 9% 9.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MAGISTRATE Feb14 Jan17 Dec28 Dec02 Oct26 (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  NO MO FOES         (sims monti)ALONSO LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SPITFIRE WIND by ARCHARCHARCH)
5  FIRST SLEW Feb28 Feb02 Dec24     (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of DONNA SLEW by SEATTLE SLEW)
6  BIG COMMERCE Feb14 Jan11 Dec10 Nov03 Mar18 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHE'S A WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  MUNGO Feb28 Jan05 Dec09     (richards re)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of NAVAJO KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  TYPHOON LAGOON Feb08 Jul28 Jun02 Mar22 Feb08 (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TAM-6   03/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER BANJOMAN Mar09 Feb11 Sep16 Aug26 Jul15 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Jul03 Jun13 May30 Apr16 Apr02 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
3  LITIGANT Mar06 Feb25 Feb07 Jan26 Jan05 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00    
4  FURY KAP Feb24 Jan26 Jan07 Dec16 Jul29 (rhone bernell)SOSA LAUREANO 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
5  POLLOCK Oct18 Oct09 Sep26 Aug29 Dec17 (guciardo kath)IORIO MELISSA 115 20.00    
6  MR TITO'S Mar01 Jan28 Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 (vazquez m)TORRES R 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  SEA SPLENDOR Mar06 Mar31 Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
8  INTER MIAMI Jan24 Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 Aug16 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50    
9  PREFERRED OUTCOME Mar06 Feb11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 6.00 7% 13.10    
 
TAM-7   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUND STOP Feb14         (damen daniel)BATISTA A 118 8.00 12% 7.50    
2  EMPIRE GIRL Feb28 Feb14 Jan27 Jan14 Dec31 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
3  D CITY GIRL Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 Dec31 Dec22 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
4  D'ORO BABY Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan14 Dec31 (ochoa gerar)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 30.00    
5  JUST MERCY Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec20 Sep22 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 ★    
6  NINETY NINE Feb24 Apr23 Mar29 Feb12   (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
7  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Feb10 Dec22 Nov24 Sep22 Sep09 (miranda luis)ARROYO S 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
8  ARMONIA Feb01 Dec23 Dec15 Nov24 Jul08 (roque eli)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
9  NELIDA Dec01 Aug20 Jul21     (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
10  MILES OF SMILES Jan24 Dec22 Nov25 Oct27 Sep30 (orsen)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 17% 4.70    
 
TAM-8   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNKIN' RUN         (stormfelt juli)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HONG KONG SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
2  PAEZ Dec31 Dec08 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 (nunez mauricio)OLIVERO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  FROZEN IN TIME Feb17         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FROZEN TUNDRA by MUNNINGS)
4  D HOPPER Apr21 Mar03       (maker michael)MORALES PABLO 125 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of K J WARRIOR by TAPIT)
5  MR. DEMEANOR         (exposito ado)BATISTA A 125 10.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of FAR FROM HERE by DA STOOPS)
6  FINDANAME         (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
7  BOY O' BOY Aug25 Jun30 Jan12 Dec08 Oct08 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
8  FORTYSIXCOUNTS         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 125 4.00 ★    
  (by KHOZAN out of FRU FRU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
TAM-9   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY KING Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 Sep02 Aug18 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GILDED AGE Mar14 Feb15 Jan20 Dec02 Sep24 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
3  BRAMBLE BLAZE Feb16 Feb03 Dec24 Sep09 Aug20 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  ZATIP Feb28 Jan27 Jan03 Nov23 Oct21 (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  STAR KANOO Mar06 Feb21 Jan12 Dec24 Dec01 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
6  FACE VALUE Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 Oct10 Sep12 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
7  MONGOLIAN APPLE Feb23 Dec31 Dec01 Oct21 Sep13 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
8  SPANISH NOBLE Feb28 Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 121 15.00    
9  TITLE SHOT Feb28 Feb07 Dec24 Dec08 Nov25 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 119 10.00 7% 12.70    
10  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Mar01 Jan18 Dec23 Dec07 Nov09 (trombetta mich)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
11  FOOD BANK HELPER Feb28 Sep04 Jul30 Jul08 May28 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.