Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $12.00 $6.00 100%
BAQ-6   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-1-3 $27.75 $15.75 131%
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $26.00 $14.00 117%
BAQ-7   DD (1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-6 $17.30 $1.30 8%
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  6-4-6 $68.25 $20.25 42%
BAQ-8   PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5)-(3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00  4-6-3 $34.25 $2.25 7%
BAQ-9   EXA (5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-6 $27.25 $7.25 36%
    PK5 (4/6/2)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5)-(3/5)-(5/3/1/6/2) 480 $0.50 $240  6-4-6/8-2/3-1 $521.25 $281.25 117%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :463 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITALIAN SOIREE 3 3 3 2nk   11 1 (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 2.75  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
YELLOW 4 1 11 1nk   21 2 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 39% 1.60 0.75 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HOME WRECKER 2 5 514 510½   4 3 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 7.40  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHOPPERS RETURN by PUT IT BACK)
AS CATCH CAN 1 4 47 4   39 412½ (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 22% 3.50 3.55  
  (by MO TOWN out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
LUCKFORYOU 5 2 21 32   512 517¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GATA BRAZIL               (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN STORY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  HONESTLY               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NO MORE EXCUSES by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
BAQ-2   07/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:132 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICHIBAN 4 1 11 11 1½ 1 1nk (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 5.70  
SEDONA 6 4 53 53 32 2 2nk (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 67% 0.50 0.55 P
SWEET MYSTERY 2 3 3 3 2½ 3 3 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 10% 9.00 11.40 S
MIZ SENSE 3 2 21 21 44 4 4 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 2.80  
TONED UP 1 5 42 42 5 5 5 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
WHISTLER'S STYLE 5 6 64 64 67 611¾ 615¾ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 39.25  
 
BAQ-3   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Perfect Sting Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:12 1:233   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUFFY 1 4 5 5 4 2½ 1¼ (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.40 52% 0.90 1.00 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) 5 5 45 4 5 4¾ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 18% 4.60 2.00 P
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LADY BETH 4 3 33 33 3½ 1½ 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 4.50  
  (by HARD SPUN out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
MOONAGE DAYDREAM 2 2 11 1 1nk 3½ 4 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 9.80  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ELATHA by MALIBU MOON)
DAMASO 3 1 21 2 2nk 5 5 (o'connell kath)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by OUTWORK out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  ROYAL POPPY               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of M'DEAREST by MACHO UNO)
 
BAQ-4   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADLINE NUMBERS 6 4 6 6 11 1 111¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 1.75  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
PATTY BROWN EYES 5 2 32 3 43 36 211¾ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 34% 2.00 3.85 P
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
TIRUPATI 7 3 2nk 2½ 31 2 311¾ (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 21% 3.80 10.30 S
  (by MITOLE out of NORA'S JOY by STREET SENSE)
GREATEST GIFT 3 5 5 5 7 713 415¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 14.80  
  (by CURLIN out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
BEWILDERED 2 1 1nk 1½ 21 47 515¾ (levine bru)RIVERA R 118 20.00 45.75  
  (by MITOLE out of GOLDRUSH GIRL by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SILVOLOGY 4 6 4 42 5 510 616¼ (mcgaughey)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 1.60 21% 3.70 1.90  
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
NO TRICKS 1 7 716¾ 713½ 6 613 720¼ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DANCE TO BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BAQ-5   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:12 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL HER BLUFF 4 3 1½ 2nk 1½ 1 1 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 17% 5.00 5.00 W
JUST MUSIC 1 6 6 5 4 2 2 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 3.35  
GRACEFUL ROSE 5 1 3½ 31 3½ 36 3 (gorham michae)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50 0.80  
COVER THE SPREAD 3 4 5 4 6 68 412 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 35% 1.80 4.80  
AMITY ISLAND 6 2 4 6 53 5 512½ (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 37.25  
TIL THERE WAS YOU 2 5 2½ 1nk 2½ 4 617¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
SCR  ENIGMATIC               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS               (chichakly am)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:214 :433 :55     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTLAW KID 4 4 8 8   42 1¼ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 7% 13.50 4.40 W
1X  BIG INVASION 8 7 52 4   2½ 2¼ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10 0.85 P
SON OF A BIRCH 2 6 6 7   5 3 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 11.30 S
BOURBON MUSIC 6 8 74 64   63 4 (moore micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 42.50  
BOAT'S A ROCKIN 7 1 1½ 1½   1½ 5 (kulp l)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 24% 3.20 3.85  
THIN WHITE DUKE 3 10 10 10   7 6 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 9.50  
1A  HIGH FRONT 5 3 2½ 2½   3 7 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 0.85  
CLOUDY 9 9 96 9   86 8 (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 13.00  
HEAVEN STREET 1 2 4 5   107 9 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 0.85  
2B  YES AND YES 10 5 31 3   97 10 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 9.50  
SCR  CHARGING               (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  GUN IT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20    
SCR  SPUN AND WON               (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   07/04/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:232 :493 1:162 1:401 2:043 2:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH A WAVE 6 6 31 31 3 2nk 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 13% 7.00 1.85 W
BREES 7 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1nk 2¼ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 17.40  
BE LIKE CLINT 1 3 5 5 53 33 3 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 27% 2.70 4.80 S
HOLD THE SALSA 4 7 7 7 7 4 4 (lugovich l)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
GOING CONCERN (GB) 5 53 4 4 4 56 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 36% 1.80 2.10  
SCAT TU TAP 3 4 6 6 6 611 611½ (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 11.80  
INDIANQUEST 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 711½ 715½ (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 10.30  
SCR  MOORE'S LAW               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
 
BAQ-8   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Victory Ride Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:084     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERY 2 3 32 32   22 1¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 58% 0.70 0.60 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
MYSTIC LAKE 1 2 1½ 1½   12 2¾ (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 3.95  
  (by MO TOWN out of SALTY SOUL by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
HALINA'S FORTE 3 1 2½ 2½   3 3 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 2.90  
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
AUTUMN EVENING 4 4 4 4   4 48 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BAQ-9   07/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY JEANS 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 14 1 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 7% 12.80 2.60 W
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS 6 9 9 9 10 6 2 (giddings melan)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
DUBAWI WOWIE 7 10 10 10 7 4 3 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 10.80  
SENDERA 2 2 2½ 2½ 21 24 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
TONGUE TWISTER 5 4 4 3 3 3 56 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 40% 1.50 3.80  
MALIBU'S DYNAMITE 9 7 7 5 63 7 67 (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 118 20.00 28.00  
10  SAVING MEMORIES 10 6 52 63 53 8 7 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 27.25  
THE SPLENDID ONE 3 3 3 4 4 5 8 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 24% 3.20 6.70  
TROUBLED LUCK 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 12.40  
DEVILS ARROW 8 8 8 84 96 10 109 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 4.30  
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO               (hills timoth)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50    
SCR  DANCING LIANA               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK               (parker j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL ROYALTY               (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX               (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.