Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(6/2/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/5/3)-(5/4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/4/7/1)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/1)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/1)-(4/6/2)-(1/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(1/2/6/5)-(3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/5)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/5)-(3/5)-(5/3/1/6/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/3/1/6/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (5/3/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AS CATCH CAN         (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
2  HOME WRECKER         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHOPPERS RETURN by PUT IT BACK)
SCR  GATA BRAZIL         (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN STORY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  HONESTLY         (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NO MORE EXCUSES by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  ITALIAN SOIREE         (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
6  YELLOW         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  LUCKFORYOU Jun14 May16       (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
 
BAQ-2   07/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONED UP Jun21 Apr18 Mar28 Feb11 Dec28 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWEET MYSTERY May11 Apr14 Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 10% 9.00    
3  MIZ SENSE Jun06 Sep03 Jul30     (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50    
4  ICHIBAN Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Aug27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
5  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar28 Feb24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
6  SEDONA May03 Mar03       (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 67% 0.50    
 
BAQ-3   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Perfect Sting Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUFFY May03 Mar03 Feb03 Dec09 Oct14 (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
2  MOONAGE DAYDREAM May24 Jun25 May29 Apr28 Mar04 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ELATHA by MALIBU MOON)
3  DAMASO Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (o'connell kath)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
4  LADY BETH May19 Oct19 Sep15 May27 Feb05 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
5  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) Apr21 Nov04       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 Dec01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jun09 Mar30 Mar24 Mar14 Feb19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ROYAL POPPY May18 Apr18 Feb19 Jan11 Nov24 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of M'DEAREST by MACHO UNO)
 
BAQ-4   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TRICKS May11         (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DANCE TO BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  BEWILDERED May27 May02       (levine bru)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GOLDRUSH GIRL by GOLD TRIBUTE)
3  GREATEST GIFT Dec30         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
4  SILVOLOGY Jun06         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 21% 3.70    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
5  PATTY BROWN EYES May17         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
6  HEADLINE NUMBERS         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
7  TIRUPATI Jun14 May15 Apr26     (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MITOLE out of NORA'S JOY by STREET SENSE)
 
BAQ-5   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MUSIC May24 May09 Apr05 Feb24 Feb18 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
2  TIL THERE WAS YOU May16         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENIGMATIC Jun27 Apr06 Feb24 Dec31 Nov11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
4  COVER THE SPREAD May10 Apr13 Jul01 May14 Mar10 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jun14 Jun09 May10 Apr07 Mar17 (chichakly am)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
6  CALL HER BLUFF May16 Apr14 Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  GRACEFUL ROSE May09 Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 Dec31 (gorham michae)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50    
8  AMITY ISLAND Jun20 May12 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVEN STREET May27 Apr20 Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
1A  HIGH FRONT Sep22 Aug23 Jun21 May19 Apr21 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00    
1X  BIG INVASION Jun08 May04 Mar09 Nov04 Oct08 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  THIN WHITE DUKE Jun08 May04 Nov18 Oct29 Oct07 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
2B  YES AND YES Jun16 May04 Oct07 Sep09 Aug13 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
3  SON OF A BIRCH May26 Mar24 Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUTLAW KID Jun28 Apr20 Sep16 Aug05 Jul26 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  CHARGING Jun16 Apr20 Mar16 Jan01 Dec07 (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
6  BOURBON MUSIC Jun08 May13 Apr17 Mar18 Feb19 (moore micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
7  BOAT'S A ROCKIN Jun07 May18 Nov18 Oct12 Aug22 (kulp l)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  CLOUDY May17 Dec31 Oct15 Sep03 Oct23 (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  SPUN AND WON May09 Apr04 Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  GUN IT Jun08 May26 Nov17 Oct14 Jul29 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20    
 
BAQ-7   07/04/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING CONCERN (GB) Apr26 Feb14       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  MOORE'S LAW May04 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Mar25 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80    
2  BE LIKE CLINT May27 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb18 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  INDIANQUEST Jun07 May02 Mar14     (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
4  SCAT TU TAP May25 Apr13 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
5  HOLD THE SALSA May27 Apr26 Dec30 Dec17 Nov18 (lugovich l)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CATCH A WAVE May27 Apr26 Mar10     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 13% 7.00    
7  BREES Apr25 Mar10 Jan04 Nov16 Sep10 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
 
BAQ-8   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Victory Ride Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC LAKE May17 Apr27 Mar24 Mar02 Jan13 (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of SALTY SOUL by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  EMERY Jun09 Apr19 Oct07 Aug30   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
4  HALINA'S FORTE May31 May03 Apr05 Feb17 Dec23 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  AUTUMN EVENING May04 Mar09 Dec20     (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
BAQ-9   07/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY JEANS Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jun29   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 7% 12.80    
2  SENDERA Jun09 May18 May11 Apr14 Mar28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE SPLENDID ONE Jun09 May11 Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  TROUBLED LUCK May25 May16 Apr26 Apr14 Mar22 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
5  TONGUE TWISTER Apr25 Oct29       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
6  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jun09 May11 Mar28 Dec31 Dec02 (giddings melan)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DUBAWI WOWIE May04 Apr06       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
8  DEVILS ARROW May16         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
9  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Jun20 Feb24       (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
10  SAVING MEMORIES May04 Dec09 Nov16 Oct29   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO Jun08 May04 Apr20 Feb25 Oct01 (hills timoth)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50    
SCR  PRACTICAL ROYALTY Jun08 Nov16 Oct12     (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01   (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
SCR  DANCING LIANA May18 Mar28 Mar03     (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK Feb17 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (parker j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.