Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-9   Win (5/3/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AS CATCH CAN         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
HOME WRECKER         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  GATA BRAZIL         (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
SCR  HONESTLY         (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
ITALIAN SOIREE         (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
YELLOW         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
LUCKFORYOU Jun14 May16       (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-2   07/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONED UP Jun21 Apr18 Mar28 Feb11 Dec28 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET MYSTERY May11 Apr14 Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 10% 9.00    
MIZ SENSE Jun06 Sep03 Jul30     (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50    
ICHIBAN Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Aug27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar28 Feb24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
SEDONA May03 Mar03       (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 67% 0.50    
 
BAQ-3   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Perfect Sting Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUFFY May03 Mar03 Feb03 Dec09 Oct14 (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
MOONAGE DAYDREAM May24 Jun25 May29 Apr28 Mar04 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
DAMASO Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (o'connell kathle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
LADY BETH May19 Oct19 Sep15 May27 Feb05 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) Apr21 Nov04       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 Dec01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jun09 Mar30 Mar24 Mar14 Feb19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80    
SCR  ROYAL POPPY May18 Apr18 Feb19 Jan11 Nov24 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
 
BAQ-4   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TRICKS May11         (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEWILDERED May27 May02       (levine bruce)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
GREATEST GIFT Dec30         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SILVOLOGY Jun06         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 21% 3.70    
PATTY BROWN EYES May17         (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
HEADLINE NUMBERS         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
TIRUPATI Jun14 May15 Apr26     (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
BAQ-5   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MUSIC May24 May09 Apr05 Feb24 Feb18 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
TIL THERE WAS YOU May16         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENIGMATIC Jun27 Apr06 Feb24 Dec31 Nov11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
COVER THE SPREAD May10 Apr13 Jul01 May14 Mar10 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jun14 Jun09 May10 Apr07 Mar17 (chichakly amir)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
CALL HER BLUFF May16 Apr14 Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
GRACEFUL ROSE May09 Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 Dec31 (gorham michael )ORTIZ JR 126 2.50    
AMITY ISLAND Jun20 May12 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVEN STREET May27 Apr20 Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
1A  HIGH FRONT Sep22 Aug23 Jun21 May19 Apr21 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00    
1X  BIG INVASION Jun08 May04 Mar09 Nov04 Oct08 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
THIN WHITE DUKE Jun08 May04 Nov18 Oct29 Oct07 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
2B  YES AND YES Jun16 May04 Oct07 Sep09 Aug13 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
SON OF A BIRCH May26 Mar24 Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
OUTLAW KID Jun28 Apr20 Sep16 Aug05 Jul26 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  CHARGING Jun16 Apr20 Mar16 Jan01 Dec07 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
BOURBON MUSIC Jun08 May13 Apr17 Mar18 Feb19 (moore michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
BOAT'S A ROCKIN Jun07 May18 Nov18 Oct12 Aug22 (kulp l)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
CLOUDY May17 Dec31 Oct15 Sep03 Oct23 (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  SPUN AND WON May09 Apr04 Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  GUN IT Jun08 May26 Nov17 Oct14 Jul29 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20    
 
BAQ-7   07/04/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING CONCERN (GB) Apr26 Feb14       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  MOORE'S LAW May04 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Mar25 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80    
BE LIKE CLINT May27 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb18 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
INDIANQUEST Jun07 May02 Mar14     (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
SCAT TU TAP May25 Apr13 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
HOLD THE SALSA May27 Apr26 Dec30 Dec17 Nov18 (lugovich lis)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CATCH A WAVE May27 Apr26 Mar10     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 13% 7.00    
BREES Apr25 Mar10 Jan04 Nov16 Sep10 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
 
BAQ-8   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Victory Ride Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC LAKE May17 Apr27 Mar24 Mar02 Jan13 (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
EMERY Jun09 Apr19 Oct07 Aug30   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
HALINA'S FORTE May31 May03 Apr05 Feb17 Dec23 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
AUTUMN EVENING May04 Mar09 Dec20     (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-9   07/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY JEANS Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jun29   (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 7% 12.80    
SENDERA Jun09 May18 May11 Apr14 Mar28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE SPLENDID ONE Jun09 May11 Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
TROUBLED LUCK May25 May16 Apr26 Apr14 Mar22 (delauro edward)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
TONGUE TWISTER Apr25 Oct29       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jun09 May11 Mar28 Dec31 Dec02 (giddings melanie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DUBAWI WOWIE May04 Apr06       (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
DEVILS ARROW May16         (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Jun20 Feb24       (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
10  SAVING MEMORIES May04 Dec09 Nov16 Oct29   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO Jun08 May04 Apr20 Feb25 Oct01 (hills timothy )CASTELLANO J 118 3.50    
SCR  PRACTICAL ROYALTY Jun08 Nov16 Oct12     (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01   (contessa gar)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
SCR  DANCING LIANA May18 Mar28 Mar03     (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK Feb17 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (parker jos)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.