Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-5   WIN (11/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00  10 $6.20 $2.20 55%
    DD (8/3/5/6)-(11/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-10 $10.10 $2.10 26%
SAR-6   DD (11/10)-(12/9/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  10-2 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    PK3 (8/3/5/6)-(11/10)-(12/9/2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00  8-10-2 $35.25 $3.25 10%
SAR-7   WIN (10/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $20.80 $12.80 160%
    EXA (10/4/5/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $51.50 $35.50 222%
    DD (12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-5 $24.00 $8.00 50%
    PK3 (11/10)-(12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00  10-2-5 $72.50 $40.50 127%
SAR-8   DD (10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $20.60 $8.60 72%
    PK3 (12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  2-5-4 $73.75 $25.75 54%
SAR-9   PK3 (10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(15/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-4-15 $38.75 $2.75 8%
    PK4 (12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(15/1/2) 144 $0.50 $72.00  2-5-4-15 $105.25 $33.25 46%
    PK5 (11/10)-(12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(15/1/2) 288 $0.50 $144  10-2-5-4-15 $418.50 $274.50 191%
    PK6 (8/3/5/6)-(11/10)-(12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(15/1/2) 1152 $1.00 $1152  8-10-2-5-4-15 $2109.00 $957.00 83%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   07/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:122 1:38   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FADE TO GREY 1 1 11 1½ 11 13½ 12¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 3.45  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
2  SAVE TIME 2 2 32 31½ 31½ 23½ 22¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 56% 0.80 0.70 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
3  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL 3 3 21 2½ 21 313½ 319½ (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WEST COAST CHICK by MALIBU MOON)
5  REFUSE TO LOSE 4 4 42 42 44 418 423¾ (de h)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 2.95  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
SCR  CARARRA               (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SEACRETTINA by SEA OF SECRETS)
SCR  FAZOOLS               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-3   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BELLACOSE 7 2 11 11   13½ 110¾ (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by AUDIBLE out of LITTLE BULLET by GREEK ANSWER)
1  VEHEMENTE 1 1 32 21   23½ 210¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.55 P
  (by VEKOMA out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  BUBBE DEAREST 2 6 611 67   37½ 312¼ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.00 S
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PAMMI DEAREST by VERRAZANO)
4  TRAIL OF GOLD 4 8 711½ 78½   49 412½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 ★ 16.60  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
5  PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE 5 7 813½ 811½   711½ 515½ (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 7.60  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of REVELATION ROAD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  LIGHTNING MAMA 3 4 55 54   59 620¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00 12.30  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
6  PRACTICALLY SUMMER 6 5 44½ 43   69½ 722 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 22% 3.60 7.80  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLEAN ELEVEN by OFFICER)
8  AILANI 8 3 21 32   817½ 860½ (giddings)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 34.50  
  (by KILLYBEGS CAPTAIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-4   07/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MALU 7 3 41½ 21   1nk 15¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.00 30% 2.30 2.35 W
1  DASHING DELLA 1 5 11 11   2nk 25¼ (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 14.70  
5  SHARPER GAL 4 4 21 31½   35 37½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 20% 4.00 1.35 S
7  ACCELERINA 6 1 63½ 44   47 49¾ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 12.00  
2  TOOT YOUR HORN 2 7 73¾ 78½   511½ 511¼ (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 29.50  
6  PEBBLE LANE 5 2 31 66½   626½ 645¼ (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
3  PERMED 3 6 52 54½   731½ 773 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 29% 2.50 5.80  
SCR  JAY'S LOVE               (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VALUE AREA 3 4 42 31 31½ 21 1hd (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 10% 8.90 2.10 W
1  A PRIMERA VISTA 1 1 11 11 11½ 11 2hd (raven ker)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00 3.80  
11  ICHIBAN 4 3 32 41½ 21½ 35½ 310 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 38% 1.70 1.55 S
5  PROMISEHER AMERICA 2 2 21 21 42½ 46½ 411½ (de h)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 2.55  
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE)               (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
SCR  SABALENKA               (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
SCR  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE)               (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  BREATH AWAY (GB)               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HUE 2 1 41½ 31½   22½ 13¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 15% 5.90 1.95 W
9  STREET VIEW 6 4 3½ 2nk   12½ 23¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00 5.80 P
5  BOBBY JEAN 4 5 52 54   47 38¼ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 17.80  
3  BELLIQUEUX 3 7 810¾ 69½   510½ 410½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 24.75  
12  BARSTOOL BABE 8 8 610 810½   714 514 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 38% 1.60 3.70  
7  PARK AVENUE BETTY 5 2 1nk 1nk   34½ 614¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 4.90  
11  ALTHENA 7 9 911¾ 911½   815½ 716 (paragallo jenn)LUZZI J 119 50.00 35.25  
13  SWAN 9 3 2nk 43   613½ 819 (potts wayne)TAPARA LUIS 119 15.00 ★ 22.70  
1  LADY REIGNS 1 6 710½ 710   916½ 924½ (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
SCR  PARADE RING (IRE)               (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  PRECISELY               (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 2.50    
SCR  SASSY ALLIE               (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DECK OF CARDS 4 1 12½ 12   15 16¾ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 10% 9.10 9.40 W
1  I'M BUZZY 1 8 99 89½   47½ 26¾ (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
3  KILLY START 2 7 33 22   25 38¾ (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 18.90  
10  THERESASILVERLININ 9 5 43½ 32½   35 413 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 52% 0.90 0.70  
9  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 8 6 87½ 913   914½ 518¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★ 12.20  
7  OBRIGADA 6 2 22½ 42½   58½ 619¼ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.00  
4  SHE'S AWESOME 3 3 54 54   610 723¼ (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.10 13.60  
8  ICY REPLY 7 4 65 67   713 826 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 12.00 30.75  
6  JACKIE THE JOKER 5 9 76½ 78   813½ 926 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 15.00 22.80  
SCR  FONTANAFREDDA               (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:114 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MY SHEA D LADY 3 2 22½ 24½ 22½ 11½ 11¾ (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 18.60 2.20 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
2  SOHANA 2 1 12½ 14½ 12½ 21½ 21¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 38% 1.60 0.65 P
  (by SOLOMINI out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  BARONESS BOURBON 4 5 56 36 36 37 38¾ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 6.80  
  (by LAOBAN out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
1  TOUR JETE 1 3 34 46½ 47½ 49 49¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 8.20  
  (by WAR DANCER out of DANCING BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
8  AMY'S LIGHT 5 4 45½ 59 510½ 515½ 525¼ (pringle e)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 23.90  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DAWN LIGHTNING by THE FACTOR)
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENOFZEENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  SPIRIT OF ESTHER               (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SPIRIT OF ROSE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  SOLOSHOT               (shivmangal lo)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  CAP FERRAT (ARG)               (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by DESTIN out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX               (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BEING BETTY               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADY JOAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
 
SAR-9   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:123 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  MATURITY DATE 7 7 79¼ 410 21½ 12½ 13¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 57% 0.80 0.80 W
4  THE TACO LADY 2 1 2nk 11 11½ 22½ 23¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 4.40  
5  LOOKING FOR GINNY 3 8 814¾ 817 69 36 34¼ (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 ★ 7.60 S
9  COQUITO 5 3 48 612 58 57½ 45½ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 14.00  
2  LUNA LOVE 1 2 34 36 34 47½ 517¼ (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
11  BLIND SPEED 6 5 68¾ 511 711 612½ 618¼ (zito p)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 23.70  
1A  THEDREAMCONTINUES 8 4 1nk 21 47 714 735 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 22% 3.50 7.30  
7  DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) 4 6 58½ 712 819 824 844½ (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 34.25  
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL               (tagg b)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  FANTASY PERFORMER               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  PAY THE BILLS (FR)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  PURRFECT GIRL               (dutrow anthony)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER FESTIVAL               (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  TRUE MYTH               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.