Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/1)-(2/3)-(1/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/6/2)-(8/3/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(8/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(8/3/5/6)-(11/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-4   WIN (8/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/6)-(11/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/6)-(11/10)-(12/9/2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SAR-5   WIN (11/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/10)-(11/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (11/10)-(12/9/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (11/10)-(12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SAR-6   WIN (12/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/9/2/1)-(12/9/2/1/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/9/2/1)-(12/9/2/1/13)-(12/9/2/1/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/9/2/1)-(10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-7   WIN (10/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/1)-(10/4/5/9/1)-(10/4/5/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(15/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(15/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SAR-9   WIN (15/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (15/1/2)-(15/1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (15/1/2)-(15/1/2/5)-(15/1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/17/2024 12540ft TURF RC14 Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIGGLE POPS (GB) Jun20         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 148 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOCH MA NAIRE by GALILEO (ARG))
2  ABAAN Mar30 Sep08 Aug11 Apr01 Jan28 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ANCHORAGE by TAPIT)
3  WEST NEWTON (GB) Jun20 Aug23 Jul19 Mar25 Nov07 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 144 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Jun20 Jul19 Sep01 Jul27 Apr30 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 10.00 11% 8.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
5  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Jun20 Mar30 Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 (kingsley ar)GAINFORD JORDAN 154 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
6  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Oct22 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May14 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
7  PICKANUMBER (IRE)         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.00 27% 2.60    
  (by SHANTOU out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-2   07/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FADE TO GREY Jun16         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
2  SAVE TIME Jun21 May09 Apr07 Feb11   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 56% 0.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
3  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL Jun16 Aug20       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WEST COAST CHICK by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CARARRA Jun22 Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 Sep21 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SEACRETTINA by SEA OF SECRETS)
5  REFUSE TO LOSE Jun06 May17       (de h)SANTANA JR 124 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
SCR  FAZOOLS Jun21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-3   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEHEMENTE         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by VEKOMA out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  BUBBE DEAREST         (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PAMMI DEAREST by VERRAZANO)
3  LIGHTNING MAMA         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
4  TRAIL OF GOLD         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 ★    
  (by SOLOMINI out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
5  PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE         (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of REVELATION ROAD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  PRACTICALLY SUMMER         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLEAN ELEVEN by OFFICER)
7  BELLACOSE         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LITTLE BULLET by GREEK ANSWER)
8  AILANI         (giddings)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by KILLYBEGS CAPTAIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-4   07/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING DELLA Jun27 Jan19 Jan12 Dec15 Nov26 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
2  TOOT YOUR HORN Jun27 Jun01 Oct14 Sep22 Aug27 (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
3  PERMED Jun02 Mar17 Aug10 Jul07 Jun02 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  JAY'S LOVE May24 May03 Apr14 Mar02 Feb03 (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
5  SHARPER GAL Jun08 May10 Mar30 Feb21 Dec29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  PEBBLE LANE Jun20 Mar12 Feb02 Dec04 Oct23 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACCELERINA Jun15 Apr27 Apr04 Mar02 Feb16 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
8  MALU Jun12 May23 Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-5   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A PRIMERA VISTA Jun08 May04 Apr07 Mar09 Jan03 (raven ker)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Jun07 Mar03 Dec26 Nov04 Oct14 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE) Jun23 Oct25 Mar17 Feb04   (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
SCR  SABALENKA Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun03 (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
5  PROMISEHER AMERICA Jun09 Aug22 Jul29 May05 Apr08 (de h)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) May19 Jun24 May12     (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH Jun20 May17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov12 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
SCR  BREATH AWAY (GB) Jun20 May17 Dec23 Nov05 Jun24 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE) May27 Apr20       (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
10  VALUE AREA May17 Mar28 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 3.00 10% 8.90    
11  ICHIBAN Jul04 Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 38% 1.70    
 
SAR-6   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY REIGNS         (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HUE Jun26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
3  BELLIQUEUX Jun16 May02       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  PRECISELY Jun11         (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 2.50    
5  BOBBY JEAN Aug10         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  PARADE RING (IRE) Jun28 May02 Mar15 Feb11 Jul20 (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
7  PARK AVENUE BETTY Jun06         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Nov10 Oct26 Sep03 Jul01 May14 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
9  STREET VIEW Jun16 May05 Apr14 Mar10 Jan21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SASSY ALLIE May27         (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
11  ALTHENA Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan17 (paragallo jenn)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
12  BARSTOOL BABE Jun29 Jun05 May03 Mar29 Mar08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
13  SWAN Jun27 May11       (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 119 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M BUZZY Jun16 May12 Apr25 Mar30 Feb29 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FONTANAFREDDA Jul07 Jun22 Jan14 Jan04 Dec08 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
3  KILLY START Jun19 Jun08 Mar30 Jan11 Dec23 (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
4  SHE'S AWESOME Jun16 May16 Apr14 Jan26 Jan04 (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  DECK OF CARDS Jun21 Apr22 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
6  JACKIE THE JOKER Jun22 May09 Apr19 Mar30 Mar15 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
7  OBRIGADA Jun06 May09 Apr18 Feb24 Oct07 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
8  ICY REPLY May09 Apr25 Mar30 Mar15 Feb29 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
9  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Oct22 Aug25 Jul29 Jul20 Jun01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★    
10  THERESASILVERLININ Jun27 Apr27 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-8   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUR JETE Jun09 Dec16 Nov10     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of DANCING BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
2  SOHANA Jun14 May10 Apr14 Mar03 Feb09 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SOLOMINI out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  SOLOSHOT Jun14 May24 Apr27 Mar17 Mar03 (shivmangal lo)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  MY SHEA D LADY Jun14 Apr14 Dec16 Nov18 Sep24 (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 18.60    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
SCR  CAP FERRAT (ARG) May16         (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by DESTIN out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
6  BARONESS BOURBON Jun23 May16 Apr14 Mar14 Feb18 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Jun28 Jun06 May11 Apr06 Mar02 (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SPIRIT OF ROSE by CITY ZIP)
8  AMY'S LIGHT Jul07 Jun20 May09 Mar29 Feb11 (pringle e)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DAWN LIGHTNING by THE FACTOR)
SCR  BEING BETTY Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 Sep15 Jul26 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADY JOAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  BOSSY JEANS Jul04 Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jun29 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER Jul07 May19 Oct29     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENOFZEENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01   (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
SAR-9   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  THEDREAMCONTINUES         (weaver george)RIDER TBA 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  TRUE MYTH Jun23 Oct20 Oct05     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
2  LUNA LOVE May19 May05 Apr07 Feb14 Jan21 (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO Jun23         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
4  THE TACO LADY May18 May04 Mar10 Feb11   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
5  LOOKING FOR GINNY Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 Mar14 Feb13 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
7  DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) May27         (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL Jun16 May27 Apr14     (tagg b)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
9  COQUITO May04 Apr06 Dec27     (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  FANTASY PERFORMER Oct20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
11  BLIND SPEED Jun12         (zito p)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  PURRFECT GIRL Jun23 Mar31       (dutrow anthony)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Jun16         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  SUMMER FESTIVAL Jun23         (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
15  MATURITY DATE Jun27 Jun21 Apr21 Mar10 Dec30 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 57% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.