Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (8/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (11/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (12/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (10/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (15/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/17/2024 12540ft TURF RC14 Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGLE POPS (GB) Jun20         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 148 6.00 5% 19.00    
ABAAN Mar30 Sep08 Aug11 Apr01 Jan28 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158 1.80 31% 2.20    
WEST NEWTON (GB) Jun20 Aug23 Jul19 Mar25 Nov07 (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 144 20.00    
FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Jun20 Jul19 Sep01 Jul27 Apr30 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 10.00 11% 8.30    
L'IMPERATOR (FR) Jun20 Mar30 Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 (kingsley arch)GAINFORD JORDAN 154 3.00    
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Oct22 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May14 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140 20.00    
PICKANUMBER (IRE)         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.00 27% 2.60    
 
SAR-2   07/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FADE TO GREY Jun16         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SAVE TIME Jun21 May09 Apr07 Feb11   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 56% 0.80    
GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL Jun16 Aug20       (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARARRA Jun22 Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 Sep21 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
REFUSE TO LOSE Jun06 May17       (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 4.00    
SCR  FAZOOLS Jun21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
 
SAR-3   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEHEMENTE         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
BUBBE DEAREST         (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHTNING MAMA         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00    
TRAIL OF GOLD         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE         (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
PRACTICALLY SUMMER         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
BELLACOSE         (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
AILANI         (giddings m)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
 
SAR-4   07/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASHING DELLA Jun27 Jan19 Jan12 Dec15 Nov26 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
TOOT YOUR HORN Jun27 Jun01 Oct14 Sep22 Aug27 (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
PERMED Jun02 Mar17 Aug10 Jul07 Jun02 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  JAY'S LOVE May24 May03 Apr14 Mar02 Feb03 (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SHARPER GAL Jun08 May10 Mar30 Feb21 Dec29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
PEBBLE LANE Jun20 Mar12 Feb02 Dec04 Oct23 (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ACCELERINA Jun15 Apr27 Apr04 Mar02 Feb16 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
MALU Jun12 May23 Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-5   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A PRIMERA VISTA Jun08 May04 Apr07 Mar09 Jan03 (raven kerri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Jun07 Mar03 Dec26 Nov04 Oct14 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE) Jun23 Oct25 Mar17 Feb04   (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
SCR  SABALENKA Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun03 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
PROMISEHER AMERICA Jun09 Aug22 Jul29 May05 Apr08 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) May19 Jun24 May12     (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH Jun20 May17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
SCR  BREATH AWAY (GB) Jun20 May17 Dec23 Nov05 Jun24 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE) May27 Apr20       (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
10  VALUE AREA May17 Mar28 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 3.00 10% 8.90    
11  ICHIBAN Jul04 Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 38% 1.70    
 
SAR-6   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY REIGNS         (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
HUE Jun26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
BELLIQUEUX Jun16 May02       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  PRECISELY Jun11         (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 2.50    
BOBBY JEAN Aug10         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  PARADE RING (IRE) Jun28 May02 Mar15 Feb11 Jul20 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
PARK AVENUE BETTY Jun06         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Nov10 Oct26 Sep03 Jul01 May14 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
STREET VIEW Jun16 May05 Apr14 Mar10 Jan21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SASSY ALLIE May27         (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
11  ALTHENA Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan17 (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
12  BARSTOOL BABE Jun29 Jun05 May03 Mar29 Mar08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
13  SWAN Jun27 May11       (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   07/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY Jun16 May12 Apr25 Mar30 Feb29 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FONTANAFREDDA Jul07 Jun22 Jan14 Jan04 Dec08 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
KILLY START Jun19 Jun08 Mar30 Jan11 Dec23 (contessa c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SHE'S AWESOME Jun16 May16 Apr14 Jan26 Jan04 (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
DECK OF CARDS Jun21 Apr22 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
JACKIE THE JOKER Jun22 May09 Apr19 Mar30 Mar15 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
OBRIGADA Jun06 May09 Apr18 Feb24 Oct07 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
ICY REPLY May09 Apr25 Mar30 Mar15 Feb29 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Oct22 Aug25 Jul29 Jul20 Jun01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
10  THERESASILVERLININ Jun27 Apr27 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-8   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR JETE Jun09 Dec16 Nov10     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SOHANA Jun14 May10 Apr14 Mar03 Feb09 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  SOLOSHOT Jun14 May24 Apr27 Mar17 Mar03 (shivmangal loli)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
MY SHEA D LADY Jun14 Apr14 Dec16 Nov18 Sep24 (david a)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  CAP FERRAT (ARG) May16         (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
BARONESS BOURBON Jun23 May16 Apr14 Mar14 Feb18 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Jun28 Jun06 May11 Apr06 Mar02 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
AMY'S LIGHT Jul07 Jun20 May09 Mar29 Feb11 (pringle edm)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  BEING BETTY Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 Sep15 Jul26 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS Jul04 Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jun29 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER Jul07 May19 Oct29     (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01   (contessa gar)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
 
SAR-9   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  THEDREAMCONTINUES         (weaver george)RIDER TBA 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  TRUE MYTH Jun23 Oct20 Oct05     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
LUNA LOVE May19 May05 Apr07 Feb14 Jan21 (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO Jun23         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
THE TACO LADY May18 May04 Mar10 Feb11   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
LOOKING FOR GINNY Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 Mar14 Feb13 (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) May27         (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL Jun16 May27 Apr14     (tagg bar)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
COQUITO May04 Apr06 Dec27     (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  FANTASY PERFORMER Oct20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
11  BLIND SPEED Jun12         (zito p)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  PURRFECT GIRL Jun23 Mar31       (dutrow w)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Jun16         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  SUMMER FESTIVAL Jun23         (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
15  MATURITY DATE Jun27 Jun21 Apr21 Mar10 Dec30 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 57% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.