Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
SAR-2   Win (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $28.80 $28.80 20.80
SAR-3   Win (2/9/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
SAR-4   Win (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
SAR-5   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.40  
SAR-6   Win (10/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
SAR-7   Win (9/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $9.30  
SAR-8   Win (8/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.00  
SAR-9   Win (9/11/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $36.80  
SAR-10   Win (3/8/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:124 1:373   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 2 1½ 1½ 11 15 16¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 44% 1.30 2.15 W
6  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 6 5 32 32½ 33½ 25 26¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 24% 3.20 2.30 P
4  SARATOGA KISSES 4 4 42 42½ 43½ 49½ 313¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 9.20  
1  RACING COLORS 1 3 53½ 64¾ 58½ 59½ 413¼ (follett norman)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50 6.20  
7  LAVON 7 1 2½ 2½ 21 39 517¼ (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
5  WAITWAITDONTTELLME 5 7 64 54½ 611 616 626¼ (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 20.00 22.20  
2  BERNIETAKESCHARGE 2 6 77 7100 7100 7100 7100 (schettino domi)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 8% 11.50 2.95  
 
SAR-2   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STOP GIGGLING 3 5 31 31½   2½ 11 (levine bru)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40 W
1  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 55% 0.80 0.65 P
2  ROMAN GODDESS 2 6 62½ 73¼   65¾ 35¾ (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 17% 4.80 5.40 S
1A  FIRST CLASS CAT 5 3 51½ 62¼   34½ 45¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 0.65  
8  SIX PACK SENORITA 8 7 72¾ 52   55½ 57¾ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
7  PRINCESS BECCA 7 2 2½ 2½   44½ 68¼ (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 120 4.50 6.90  
5  DOLCE SERA 4 8 85¼ 87¼   711¼ 717 (delauro edward)TORRES A 124 15.00 48.75  
6  WILL BE FAMOUS 6 4 41 41½   814¼ 833¾ (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 20.90  
SCR  OH MY MIA               (amoss m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
 
SAR-3   07/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:214 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TIPSY RUNNER 9 8 75 73¾   32 1½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 30% 2.30 3.10 W
6  BOSS OF ALL 6 2 2½ 2nk   11 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★ 3.50 P
2  SUPERS LUCKY LADY 2 3 31½ 31   21 32 (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 37% 1.70 2.35 S
5  CALL ME PENNY 5 9 98¼ 95¼   83¼ 43¼ (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 30.00 46.25  
1  BELLA VOCE 1 6 63 62¾   62¾ 53¼ (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 10.00 10% 9.30 9.40  
10  VALENTINE GIFT 10 4 41½ 41¼   42 63¼ (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
3  QUIESCENT 3 1 1½ 1nk   72¾ 75 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 124 5.00 7.60  
7  MY CARA MIA MINE 7 10 1010¼ 108¼   107¼ 87½ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 36.00  
8  SPIRITUAL LADY 8 5 52 51¼   52½ 97¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.30  
4  MIM 4 7 85¼ 84¾   95¾ 108¼ (ferraro ja)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 25.00  
 
SAR-4   07/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:103 1:223   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE BIG TORPEDO 5 4 11 11 12½ 14 14½ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.80 48% 1.10 0.50 W
2  COURTLY BANKER 2 1 32½ 32 22½ 24 24½ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 12% 7.10 8.40 P
4  FIDELIGHTCAYUT 4 3 43 42 45 48 37¾ (avila carl)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 19% 4.30 3.30 S
7  B D SAINTS 7 7 21 21 34 37½ 410 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 23.00  
6  CABLE READY 6 6 66 67½ 68½ 611 512 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
1  SIX FORTYFIVE 1 2 54 54 56 510½ 614¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 15.70  
3  SOLO EMPIRE 3 5 77 78 79½ 719 728½ (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 20.00 44.50  
 
SAR-5   07/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SQUINTS 3 3 41½ 51¼   33 1hd (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★ 4.70  
7  IRIDESCENT 6 4 1nk 2nk   11 2hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10 1.25 P
1  STINGY 1 6 62¾ 62¾   21 31¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
6  TOMMY TWO SOCKS 5 5 51¾ 41¼   53¼ 44¾ (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.90  
8  SWEET SODDY J 7 1 31 31   43 56¼ (caramori eduar)TORRES A 118 8.00 10.30  
2  CRUSADING 2 7 76¼ 75¼   65¼ 69½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 30.25  
5  SONOFASHIP 4 2 2nk 1nk   77¼ 722¼ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 63% 0.60 5.20  
SCR  COOL OPERATOR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
 
SAR-6   07/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:214 :451 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ABIENTOT 2 5 64 54   31 1½ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 22% 3.50 5.60 W
5  WILL REIGN 4 9 76½ 75½   51½ 2½ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.80  
10  BRINDI (IRE) 9 7 42 32½   2½ 32¼ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 27% 2.60 2.75 S
9  MOON GATE 8 1 21 2½   1½ 43½ (clement christo)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 24% 3.10 3.55  
7  GOOD CONDUCT 6 10 1011 912   86 53½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 7.00  
8  NEVER REALLY KNOW (IRE) 7 4 32 43   41 63¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 29.25  
3  GATHERED 3 2 53 64   73 75 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6.40  
11  ANNIE GOODBODY 10 8 99 811   96½ 86¾ (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 43.00  
6  TWO SCOOPS 5 6 88 1012¼   1010 911 (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 20.00 6% 16.20 28.25  
1  FLIRTING WITH TIME 1 3 11 1½   62 1012½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★ 15.20  
SCR  LAUGHING LADY               (dutrow w)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
SCR  PARAIBA BLUE               (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
 
SAR-7   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:242 :471 1:114 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RESERVE CURRENCY 6 3 52½ 62¾ 41¼ 1½ 13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 ★ 3.65  
5  PURSUIT OF POWER 4 4 73¾ 73¼ 31 2½ 23 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 14.60  
6  OWN THE FIELD 5 2 32 42 51¾ 31 33 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 7% 13.60 2.25 S
8  NIGHT EFFECT 7 1 11 1½ 1nk 42 46¾ (samsundar roshan)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 7.30  
9  LUCENCY 8 5 21 2½ 2nk 52 59 (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 63% 0.60 11.50  
2  PRINCIPE D'ORO 1 7 84¼ 84¼ 76¼ 65½ 615¾ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 ★ 5.00  
4  PROVEN HOPE 3 8 96¼ 96¼ 98¼ 87½ 716 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00 29.00  
3  FURIOUS ANGER 2 10 108¾ 108¾ 108½ 107¾ 816½ (romans dale)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00 13.60  
1  REFUAH 9 9 63½ 52¼ 64¾ 76 918¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
10  TWO FOR CHARGING 10 6 42 32 86¼ 97¾ 1026¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 9.00  
SCR  PARKWAY               (jacobson david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00    
SCR  SPECIAL DISPATCH               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  STORMING CHROME               (de horacio)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:13 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET DUTCHESS 2 2 32 32 31½ 2nk 1½ (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 ★ 5.50  
1  KOSUKE 1 1 11 11½ 11 1nk 2½ (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 20% 4.00 3.55 P
9  SURPRENANT COCCA 8 10 108½ 109½ 98½ 45½ 34 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 3.60  
8  MISS PRETENDER 7 6 63½ 64½ 53½ 35 46½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 45% 1.20 7.40  
13  BERTRILLE 10 8 74½ 76 64½ 56½ 58½ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 44.25  
6  MISCREANT 6 9 97 97½ 76 67½ 68¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 9% 10.70 10.20  
10  BROOKLYN DANTZ 9 7 85 87 109 88¾ 710 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 50.00 45.00  
4  TEN TEN 4 5 42½ 54 86½ 78½ 810 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 32.25  
3  CATSKILL HUMOR 3 4 21 21½ 21 912¾ 922 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
5  SOCA 5 3 52½ 43 43 1014¾ 1025¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6.60  
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY               (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50    
SCR  RAININGATTHEBEACH               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  THUNDARA               (antonacci p)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00    
SCR  WHISPERING SEA               (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
 
SAR-9   07/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:123 1:362   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROCTOR STREET 1 6 88½ 106 105½ 5¾ 1hd (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 17.40  
5  GRAYOSH 5 5 78 95 94½ 1nk 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 3.25  
3  DESTINY STAR 3 3 44½ 53¼ 52½ 61¼ 32¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 32.25 S
6  DANCING DEAN 6 9 1011½ 84¾ 74¼ 71½ 42½ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 6.90  
4  EXPATRIATE 4 4 67 64¼ 84¼ 105 53½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 10.50  
7  WRIGLEYVILLE 7 8 56½ 43 31½ 2nk 63½ (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 21% 3.80 8.60  
11  CAMERA 10 1 2½ 21 1½ 4¾ 75¾ (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 22% 3.50 4.30  
9  MIXOLOGIST 8 10 33 31 2½ 3½ 86 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 27% 2.60 2.65  
2  CENTURIA (IRE) 2 7 910 74¾ 62¾ 93 96¾ (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 13.00  
10  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 9 2 1½ 11 41½ 82½ 107¼ (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
SCR  AMERICA'S VOW               (hamm timothy)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
SCR  REGULATORY RISK               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
SCR  SHE PROSPERS               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  SUGAR HI               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
 
SAR-10   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HEY TOBY 1 7 1½ 1½   1nk 11 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 26% 2.80 1.50 W
8  VERY STORMY 6 3 41 2½   2nk 21 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 20% 4.10 6.40 P
10  BRACA 8 1 63 64   35 36 (giglio gina)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 16% 5.10 5.80 S
7  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS 5 8 78 75½   67¾ 47¼ (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 9.40  
5  SENEGAL 3 6 2½ 33   55¾ 58¾ (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 10.70  
4  ALBEDO 2 4 52½ 43½   45¼ 69¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
9  IN MY SHADOW 7 2 811½ 89   810¼ 711¼ (martin c)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 51.00  
6  SAKA SHOCKA 4 5 3½ 53½   77¾ 812¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 5.00  
SCR  HOTTAKEJAKE               (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE               (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.