Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (2/9/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (10/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (9/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (8/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (9/11/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (3/8/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACING COLORS Jun20 May12 Apr12 Mar15 Feb11 (follett norman)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50    
2  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Jun09 May05 Mar17 Feb18 Jan14 (schettino domi)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 8% 11.50    
3  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Jun20 May25 Apr11 Mar16 Feb23 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  SARATOGA KISSES May12 Mar28 Jan07 Dec14 Nov19 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
5  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jun18 Nov08 Oct23 Oct04 Aug21 (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 20.00    
6  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jun20 May12 Apr18 Apr04 Feb24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
7  LAVON Apr25 Apr07 Mar03 Jan12 Dec15 (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Jun30 Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 Dec06 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
1A  FIRST CLASS CAT Jun30 Jun20 May24 Apr25 Mar15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60    
2  ROMAN GODDESS Jun22 May24 May03 Mar07 Feb23 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  OH MY MIA Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 Mar16 Feb13 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
4  STOP GIGGLING Mar07 Jan26 Jan04 Dec15   (levine bru)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOLCE SERA Jun27 Jun04 May17 Apr19 Apr07 (delauro edward)TORRES A 124 15.00    
6  WILL BE FAMOUS Jun22 May12 Apr07 Mar24 Feb17 (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
7  PRINCESS BECCA Jun20 Oct20       (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
8  SIX PACK SENORITA Jun22 May03 Apr11 Jan07 Nov23 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   07/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA VOCE Jun25 May28       (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 10.00 10% 9.30    
2  SUPERS LUCKY LADY Jun15 Dec15 Nov19 Sep14   (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  QUIESCENT Jun20 May27 Apr21 Feb23 Jan26 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 124 5.00    
4  MIM Jun15 May25 Apr27 Mar16 Feb17 (ferraro ja)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
5  CALL ME PENNY May25 Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 Feb16 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 30.00    
6  BOSS OF ALL Jun22 May13 Jun16 May08   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
7  MY CARA MIA MINE May19 Jul23 Jun23 May18 Apr08 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
8  SPIRITUAL LADY Jun22 May09 Apr10 Mar02 Jan26 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
9  TIPSY RUNNER Jun15 May11 Mar20 Feb23 Jan21 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
10  VALENTINE GIFT Jun15 Dec14 Oct29 Oct01   (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   07/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX FORTYFIVE Jun30 Nov18 Oct05     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
2  COURTLY BANKER Jun16 Apr27 Mar31     (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
3  SOLO EMPIRE Jun28 May25 May17 Mar07 Feb11 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
4  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Jun16 Jun01 Apr17 Feb02 Dec27 (avila carl)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  THE BIG TORPEDO Jun16 Apr27 Mar24 Feb25 Jan13 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.80 48% 1.10    
6  CABLE READY Jun21 May25 May03 Apr14 Nov07 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  B D SAINTS Jun06 Dec16 Oct29 Oct04 Sep17 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STINGY Jun20 May25 Apr14 Feb10 Dec29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRUSADING Jan01 Dec15 Nov12 Oct01 Sep03 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
3  SQUINTS Jun28 Jun07 May19 Apr28 Mar24 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  COOL OPERATOR Jun22 May27 Apr12 Mar09 Jan27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
5  SONOFASHIP Jun01 Mar23 Mar09 Feb08 Jan20 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 63% 0.60    
6  TOMMY TWO SOCKS Jun08 Apr28 Mar31 Feb10   (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
7  IRIDESCENT May12 May05 Apr20 Feb25 Jan27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
8  SWEET SODDY J Jun28 Jun17 May18 Apr28 Apr06 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIRTING WITH TIME         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★    
2  ABIENTOT Jun21         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  GATHERED         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  PARAIBA BLUE         (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
5  WILL REIGN         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
6  TWO SCOOPS Jun17         (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 20.00 6% 16.20    
7  GOOD CONDUCT         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
8  NEVER REALLY KNOW (IRE)         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
9  MOON GATE Jun21         (clement christo)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
10  BRINDI (IRE)         (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 27% 2.60    
11  ANNIE GOODBODY         (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  LAUGHING LADY Jun21         (dutrow w)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
 
SAR-7   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFUAH Jul06 Jun14 May09 Apr05 Feb29 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PARKWAY Jul11 Jun30 May19 Apr13 Dec10 (jacobson david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00    
2  PRINCIPE D'ORO Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar09 Jan13 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 ★    
3  FURIOUS ANGER Jun23 May30 Mar16 Jan14 Nov17 (romans dale)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00    
4  PROVEN HOPE Jun07 Apr27 Mar15 Feb24 Feb11 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
5  PURSUIT OF POWER Jun12 May11 Feb25 Jun13 May14 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00    
6  OWN THE FIELD Jun07 Apr21 Apr07 Mar10 Nov10 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 7% 13.60    
7  RESERVE CURRENCY Jun16 Apr27 Mar08 Feb10 Jan14 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 ★    
8  NIGHT EFFECT May27 May18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 (samsundar roshan)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
9  LUCENCY Jun07 May04 Apr25 Apr06 Feb10 (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 63% 0.60    
10  TWO FOR CHARGING Jun14 Nov10 Oct01 Aug05 May29 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
SCR  STORMING CHROME Jun22 May18 Apr28 Mar30 Mar08 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
SCR  SPECIAL DISPATCH Jun23 May17 Apr24 Mar20 Mar01 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
 
SAR-8   07/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSUKE Aug16 Jul15 May29 Apr15   (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  SWEET DUTCHESS May19 Apr20 Mar23 Feb07 Oct12 (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 ★    
3  CATSKILL HUMOR Apr27 Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEN TEN Jun27 Jun15 May18 Apr18   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
5  SOCA Mar13 Jul13       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
6  MISCREANT May05 Mar21 Jan17 Dec21 Oct28 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY Jun23 May25 Apr25 Mar02 Jan26 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
8  MISS PRETENDER Jun04 Apr28       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
9  SURPRENANT COCCA Jun12 May05 Nov17 Oct20 Sep10 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
10  BROOKLYN DANTZ Jun20 May11 Apr26 Mar22 Feb09 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 50.00    
SCR  WHISPERING SEA Jun12 Jan12 Nov17 Aug31 Aug05 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  THUNDARA Oct28 Aug16 Jul13     (antonacci p)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00    
13  BERTRILLE Jun23 May25 May05 Nov02 Sep15 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  RAININGATTHEBEACH Jun09 May11 Feb24     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA Jun14 May16 Jul22 Jun23 May13 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50    
 
SAR-9   07/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROCTOR STREET May27         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
2  CENTURIA (IRE) Jun28 Apr18 Mar24     (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
3  DESTINY STAR May04 Mar30 Mar09 Feb10 Jan17 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EXPATRIATE May17 Feb14       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
5  GRAYOSH May27 Apr20 Mar03 Jan21   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
6  DANCING DEAN Jun16 Nov18 Sep03     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
7  WRIGLEYVILLE Jun01 Apr20       (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SUGAR HI Jun07 Oct08 Sep03 Jul13   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
9  MIXOLOGIST Jun09         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 27% 2.60    
10  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Jun25 Jun06 Apr07 Sep25 Aug30 (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  CAMERA Jun08 May04 Apr07 Mar09 Jul23 (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  REGULATORY RISK Jun07 May03 Apr06 Mar02 Dec30 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
SCR  SHE PROSPERS Jun08 May05 Mar31     (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION Jun01 May03 Apr05 Feb17 Jan20 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  AMERICA'S VOW Jun01 May03 Mar30 Feb10 Dec02 (hamm timothy)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE Jun09 May18 Oct13 Aug12 Jul16 (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  HOTTAKEJAKE May17         (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
3  HEY TOBY Jun14 Apr20 Mar28 Aug20   (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  ALBEDO Nov03 Oct14 Sep14 Aug23 Jul16 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SENEGAL Jul27         (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
6  SAKA SHOCKA Jun15 Apr27 Mar21     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
7  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS         (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
8  VERY STORMY Jun27         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 20% 4.10    
9  IN MY SHADOW Jul05 Jun22 May25 Aug06 Jul03 (martin c)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00    
10  BRACA Jun27 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11   (giglio gina)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.