Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.86 $2.86 48%
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $32.40 $20.40 170%
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-6-4 $20.88 $17.88 596%
CD-4   WIN (10/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.24 $4.24 53%
    EXA (10/5/9/3)-(10/5/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-10 $32.22 $8.22 34%
CD-5   EXA (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/1/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-6 $57.46 $25.46 80%
    DD (10/5/9/3)-(2/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-9 $18.33 $2.33 15%
CD-8   WIN (7/5/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (7/5/10/12)-(7/5/10/12) 12 $2.00 $24.00  12-10 $82.10 $58.10 242%
    TRI (7/5/10/12)-(7/5/10/12)-(7/5/10/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00  12-10-7 $60.52 $48.52 404%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBIE SOX 2 2 11 1½   12 1 (gonzalez e)RIQUELME J 123 3.50 3.33  
CHANISA 5 4 32 2½   22 2 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.20 60% 0.70 0.59 P
ICED MOCHA 4 1 21 3   34 3 (werr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 10.72  
MISS SAIPAN 1 5 53 54   47 410¼ (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.24  
GATITA SUAVE 3 3 42 44   58 518¾ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.00 9% 10.70 5.75  
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE               (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
 
CD-2   06/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRYSO ALOGO 1 4 1½ 1½   12 1 (vasquez s)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.43 W
STINGY 5 2 2½ 2½   22 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.40 2.43 P
BARNABY 3 3 43 4   3 3 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 56% 0.80 1.46 S
QUENCIO 4 1 3 3   47 410 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 4.50 10.52  
PATRIARCHAL 2 5 54 55   59 510¾ (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 3.94  
SCR  MIDNIGHT STORMY               (minnock g)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
 
CD-3   06/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:121 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSHED ICE 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 1 1 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 8.51  
PLEASESTOPTALKING 4 3 42 4 31 2 2 (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 48% 1.10 1.34 P
YZZY'S BOLT 2 5 53 5 5 44 35 (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 5.00 12% 7.00 3.02 S
SEVEN NATTY PATTY 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 3 49 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 1.98  
MALAWNIA 5 4 31 31 4 510 523½ (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.35  
SCR  MISS HARMONIC               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00    
 
CD-4   06/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:13 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZVEREV 7 2 31 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 8% 11.40 5.12 W
10  WEST HOLLYWOOD 8 3 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.95 P
DEGREE OF RISK 6 8 7 86 5 3 3 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 6.04  
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 2 4 65 65 74 5 4 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 34.56  
CAROOM 4 7 87 76 8 76 58 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 124 4.00 12.33  
MR MCGREGOR 5 1 21 3 3 4 6 (mott willi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 34% 2.00 6.95  
UNO MAS BOURBON 1 5 4 5 4 6 7 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 9.31  
BERRETTINI 3 6 53 42 63 824 862½ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB)               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE               (hughes g)GRAHAM J 124 15.00    
 
CD-5   06/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:221 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OWEN ALMIGHTY 9 8 31 2½   1½ 1 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 1.40 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TEMPERS RISING by BAYERN)
BOB'S CARROT 6 1 11 1½   2½ 2 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 11% 8.40 14.12 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
ART FAIR 7 7 21 3   3 310¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 15.26  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
I GOT GAME 2 5 94 9   46 412 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 62% 0.60 3.86  
  (by GAME WINNER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
GIOCOSO 8 10 10 7   5 513¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 43.08  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
10  STATES' RIGHTS 10 9 7 53   6 613¾ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.51  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELLYB by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
INNOVATOR 3 6 83 65   8 714¼ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 5.00 7% 14.30 5.48  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of INSPIRED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BOSS OF ALL BOSSES 4 4 6 10   9 815½ (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 31.31  
  (by STREET BOSS out of TENSAS SALT by SALT LAKE)
DREAM ON 1 2 4 42   77 919¾ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.19  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MAMMA KIMBO by DISCREET CAT)
MAYBE EYE'LL CALL 5 3 5 8   1010½ 1022 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 19.97  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of YOU CAUGHT MY EYE by FAVORITE CARTEL)
 
CD-6   06/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:212 :443 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKIN LOOSE 3 6 53 5   22 1¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 113 12.00 6.77  
REGAL REY 7 1 2nk 2nk   12 2¾ (antonuik jer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 15.00 8.89  
QUARRYMEN 2 7 7 7   4 3 (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8% 12.20 6.57 S
ARTWELL 4 4 31 4   3 44 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.51  
ICEATUDE 5 3 64 6   6 54 (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00 10% 8.70 5.79  
RANSOMWARE 6 2 4 3   7 6 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 54% 0.80 2.03  
EE YAH 1 5 1nk 1nk   54 716¼ (ocasio osvaldo)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5.55  
SCR  PLATINUM GHOST               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
SCR  SAWYER FOX               (catalano )TORRES A 123 4.00    
 
CD-7   06/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:13 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPILIO (IRE) 7 5 54 53 52 1½ 1 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 41% 1.50 0.77 W
GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) 8 6 6 6 6 4 2 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 28% 2.60 7.06 P
PAINT ME PERFECT 3 7 8 8 8 6 3 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 37.97  
ZAWISH 6 3 2½ 1nk 1½ 2½ 4 (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 14.77  
CALLIE'S GRIT 5 2 3 3 3½ 3 5 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.21  
LADY EMILY KATHRYN 4 9 76 7 7 54 6 (joseph sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 21.75  
12  QUEENS COMMAND (IRE) 10 8 9 9 9 8 78 (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 17.30 9.83  
10  TITUBA 9 4 42 42 41 75 811 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 13.42  
INFINITE DIAMOND 1 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 9 913¾ (biancone pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 6.10  
FLATTER ME SILLY 2 10 1011 1011 1010¼ 1011 1024¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 12.00 50.32  
SCR  BEST PERFORMER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  BUMBLE OF LOVE               (michael b)BEALMEAR C 115 20.00    
SCR  MAKE THE BOYS WINK               (medina ro)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 12.00    
SCR  SABALENKA               (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  ZO LEE               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 15.00    
 
CD-8   06/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  COME AS YOU ARE 8 2 21 2½   11 1 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FASCINATE by CURLIN)
10  BOLT'S BROAD 7 4 6 54   4 2 (delima jose )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 18% 4.60 8.02 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
ISLANDER 6 3 43 4   21 3 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 3.50 31% 2.30 2.38 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIP AT TAPIT by TAPIT)
VICTORIOUS NYQUIST 2 6 32 3   3 4 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 11.66  
  (by NYQUIST out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
A DOLLAR A DAY 1 7 55 64   53 5 (butcher jame)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 12.00 5.27  
  (by BLAME out of MILLION DOLLAR DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
BEAUTIFUL PHARAOH 3 5 7 8   8 6 (michael b)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00 24.15  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of EASY LIVING by BIG BROWN)
YO LEVEN 4 8 8 76   76 7 (baker james)LANERIE J 118 8.00 30% 2.30 2.13  
  (by YOSHIDA out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
BABY AVERY 5 1 11 1½   6 812¼ (vance d)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 24.42  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  ALICIT INTENTION               (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
  (by MITOLE out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  PRESTWICK               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of OUR KHRYSTY by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
SCR  QUEEN CLANCY               (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MISS DIXIE CUP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  VINO IN FLORENCE               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUIRKY by BERNARDINI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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