Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/2/6)-(10/5/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(10/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(10/5/9/3)-(2/6/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (10/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/3)-(10/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/3)-(10/5/9/3)-(10/5/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/9/3)-(2/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/3)-(2/6/3/9)-(8/7/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/1/9)-(2/6/3/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/3/9)-(8/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/9)-(8/7/3/6)-(7/8/12/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-6   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/6)-(7/8/12/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/6)-(7/8/12/5)-(7/5/10/12) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-7   WIN (7/8/12/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/12/5)-(7/8/12/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/12/5)-(7/8/12/1/5)-(7/8/12/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/12/5)-(7/5/10/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-8   WIN (7/5/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/12)-(7/5/10/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/12)-(7/5/10/12)-(7/5/10/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE Apr23 Mar21 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
2  MISS SAIPAN Jun02 Apr14 Jun17     (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOBBIE SOX Jun02 May16 Apr20 Aug08 May27 (gonzalez e)RIQUELME J 123 3.50    
4  GATITA SUAVE May20 Mar28 Mar15 Feb08 Jan10 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.00 9% 10.70    
5  ICED MOCHA Nov03 Oct10       (werr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00    
6  CHANISA May16 May02 Feb16 Jan27 Oct19 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.20 60% 0.70    
 
CD-2   06/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRYSO ALOGO May30 May12 Apr27 Apr12 Sep22 (vasquez s)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PATRIARCHAL May30 Apr30 Apr17 Mar16 Feb13 (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT STORMY Jun02 May09 Apr27 Apr07 Mar08 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
4  BARNABY May12 Apr27 Feb09 Dec14 Nov18 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  QUENCIO May27 Apr25 Apr12 Mar08 Feb02 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 4.50    
6  STINGY May25 Apr14 Feb10 Dec29 Dec01 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
CD-3   06/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN NATTY PATTY May30 May04 Apr14 Oct14 Sep22 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
2  YZZY'S BOLT May26 Mar29       (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 5.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC May24 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00    
4  CRUSHED ICE May17 Mar27 Jan25 Dec22 Nov16 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00    
5  PLEASESTOPTALKING May30 May14 Apr17 Mar30   (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  MALAWNIA May23 Apr26 Mar13 Jul13 May12 (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-4   06/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNO MAS BOURBON May26 Apr24 Sep24 Aug05 Jul01 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
2  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT Dec08 Nov08 Sep10 Aug20 Feb01 (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
3  BERRETTINI May12 Aug04 Jun22 May28 Apr20 (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAROOM May12 Apr17 Feb25 Feb02 May21 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 124 4.00    
5  MR MCGREGOR Oct12 Sep10 Jul02 Jun02 Apr14 (mott willi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE Apr25 Feb28 Jan27 Apr27 Mar25 (hughes g)GRAHAM J 124 15.00    
7  DEGREE OF RISK May23 Mar23 Aug03 Feb05 Jan02 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO May12 Apr17 Feb28 Jan10 Dec08 (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
9  ZVEREV May11 Mar23 Jan21 Nov25 Oct12 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 8% 11.40    
10  WEST HOLLYWOOD May10         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB) May10 Apr10 Nov12 Oct07 Aug27 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY May27 Apr19 Feb08 Jan15 Nov10 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
 
CD-5   06/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MAMMA KIMBO by DISCREET CAT)
2  I GOT GAME May30         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 62% 0.60    
  (by GAME WINNER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
3  INNOVATOR         (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 5.00 7% 14.30    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of INSPIRED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  BOSS OF ALL BOSSES         (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TENSAS SALT by SALT LAKE)
5  MAYBE EYE'LL CALL         (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of YOU CAUGHT MY EYE by FAVORITE CARTEL)
6  BOB'S CARROT May16         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 11% 8.40    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  ART FAIR May24         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  GIOCOSO         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
9  OWEN ALMIGHTY         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TEMPERS RISING by BAYERN)
10  STATES' RIGHTS         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELLYB by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
CD-6   06/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLATINUM GHOST May26 Apr27 Mar10 Dec01 Nov23 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
2  EE YAH Feb11 Apr21 Mar23 Mar05 Jan20 (ocasio osvaldo)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
3  QUARRYMEN May17 May01 Mar20 Feb13 Jan06 (shorter aaron)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  SAWYER FOX Sep04 Aug06 Dec10     (catalano )TORRES A 123 4.00    
5  SHAKIN LOOSE Jun02 Mar23 Mar03 Jan13 Nov19 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00    
6  ARTWELL May11 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 Jan27 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ICEATUDE May30 May09 Apr12 Jun17 May18 (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00 10% 8.70    
8  RANSOMWARE May31 Apr21 Jun11 May21 Dec04 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
9  REGAL REY May08 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17   (antonuik jer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 15.00    
 
CD-7   06/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITE DIAMOND Jun02 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Sep02 (biancone pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 ★    
2  FLATTER ME SILLY May19 Apr21 Mar23 Feb22 Jul01 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
3  PAINT ME PERFECT May03 Mar21 Feb15 Dec21 Nov23 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
4  LADY EMILY KATHRYN Apr14 Feb24 Jan20 Dec17 Oct26 (joseph sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
5  CALLIE'S GRIT Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 Sep03 Jul29 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZAWISH May19 May04 Nov22 Nov03 Oct07 (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
7  PAPILIO (IRE) May03 Feb24 Oct14 Aug04 Jul08 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
8  GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) May19 Apr20       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY Mar09 Dec31 Nov10 Sep30 Aug18 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 12.00    
10  TITUBA Jun02 Apr27 Apr07 Feb28 Jan31 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  MAKE THE BOYS WINK May03 Nov24 Nov04 Oct11 Sep10 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 6.00    
12  QUEENS COMMAND (IRE) May03 Feb24 Jan07     (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  SABALENKA Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun03 (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  ZO LEE May29 May04 Mar30 Oct15 Sep13 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 15.00    
SCR  BUMBLE OF LOVE Oct18 Oct04 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 (michael b)BEALMEAR C 115 20.00    
SCR  BEST PERFORMER May19 Feb22 Jan15 Dec21 Nov15 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
 
CD-8   06/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A DOLLAR A DAY May08 Apr17 Mar07 Feb22 Jan25 (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of MILLION DOLLAR DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
2  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST Sep09 Jul29       (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  PRESTWICK         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of OUR KHRYSTY by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
4  BEAUTIFUL PHARAOH         (michael b)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of EASY LIVING by BIG BROWN)
5  YO LEVEN May16         (baker james)LANERIE J 118 8.00 30% 2.30    
  (by YOSHIDA out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
6  BABY AVERY May18 Apr28 Mar29 Mar08   (vance d)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
7  ISLANDER         (asmussen )TORRES A 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIP AT TAPIT by TAPIT)
SCR  ALICIT INTENTION May18 Apr20 Mar17 Feb17   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
  (by MITOLE out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  QUEEN CLANCY May25 Apr28 Mar22 Jan26 Dec29 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MISS DIXIE CUP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  BOLT'S BROAD May01 Apr05 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 (delima jose )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
SCR  VINO IN FLORENCE May30         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUIRKY by BERNARDINI)
12  COME AS YOU ARE May25         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FASCINATE by CURLIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.