Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-3-1 $8.80 $5.80 193%
BAQ-5   TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-4-2 $8.65 $5.65 188%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :462 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWCASE 5 3 21 2nk   15 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 41% 1.40 0.70 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of BUY SELL HOLD by VIOLENCE)
PROTECTED 3 2 11 1nk   25 2 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 7% 13.10 13.80 P
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
TIZ FREEDOM 1 4 32 4   4 3 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 18% 4.40 5.40 S
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
CYCLONE STATE 2 5 42 3½   35 4 (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.05  
  (by MCKINZIE out of CHANEL'S LEGACY by DOMINUS)
JERRY'S OUT 4 1 5 57   527½ 523¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00 16.50  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  WESTERN WOLF               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BELLA SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
BAQ-2   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Dwyer Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:093 1:212   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMESTIC PRODUCT 3 3 31 21 2½ 14 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 0.70  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOODS AND SERVICES by PAYNTER)
HADES 2 2 2½ 31 3 3 2 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 11% 8.10 5.00 P
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of THE SHADY LADY by QUALITY ROAD)
BILLAL 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 24 312½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60 3.10  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
SAVE THE TREES 4 4 4 4 4 49 416½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 40% 1.50 3.85  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CANOPY LANE by FORESTRY)
 
BAQ-3   07/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:211 :432 :551     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENBEI 1 5 45 4   21 1 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 2.35  
SCRIPT 2 6 5 56   4 2 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 21% 3.80 5.40 P
FORE HARP 6 2 2nk 12   11 3 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 S
RUN CURTIS RUN 5 3 34 33   32 46 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 32% 2.10 1.20  
FAUCI 4 4 612 6   6 5 (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 10.60  
IKIGAI 3 1 1nk 22   5 612½ (follett norman)LUZZI J 122 30.00 64.00  
SCR  CEES GET DEGREES               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  LOST IN ROME               (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (noda orlando)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SCR  TOP GUNNER               (kantarmaci )RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3 F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW SOCIETY 5 2 21 2½   1nk 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.25 W
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 1 1 11 1½   2nk 2½ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 2.05  
FIVE TO TWO 6 4 32 42   3 3 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 4.10  
PROGENY 4 5 5 3   4 4 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 25% 3.00 12.00  
GRAMMY GIRL 3 6 6 6   5 510½ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 6.90  
YOU'RE FOREVER 2 3 42 54   6 619¼ (falcone rober)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 35.75  
 
BAQ-5   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:092     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUNDSON 4 2 2½ 2nk   1 1 (kantarmaci mer)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 26% 2.80 1.80 W
GENTLEMAN JOE 3 5 32 31   2 2 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 50% 1.00 0.75 P
SIX PERCENT 1 4 4 4   36 35 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
WRITER'S REGRET 2 3 1½ 1nk   4 4 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5.90  
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 5 1 5 5   514½ 521¼ (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00 19.20  
SCR  DIGITAL               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  KNEEDEEPINSNOW               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   07/06/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Belmont Derby Invitational Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:143 1:374   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIKARI 4 1 21 21 21 1nk 1nk (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 5.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DYNAMIC HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WHITE PALOMINO 2 3 11 11 11 2nk 2nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WOLF GOURMET by FLATTER)
LEGEND OF TIME (GB) 1 5 32 32 3 4 3 (appleby cha)BUICK T 122 2.50 30% 2.40 1.50 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of KISSABLE by KISSIN KRIS)
ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 7.80  
  (by FRANKEL out of CROWN QUEEN by SMART STRIKE)
ENDLESSLY 5 2 53 5 54 5 5 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 1.20 39% 1.50 1.75  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM FUHREVER by LANGFUHR)
 
BAQ-7   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIN NOMBRE 4 4 2 21   11 11 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 20.00 33.00  
REFUAH 5 1 44 43   3 21 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 8.30  
SAFALOW'S MISSION 7 2 5 5   4 34 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 19% 4.20 9.50 S
CAMM' DUKE 2 3 1 11   21 45 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 6.20  
BIG NIGHT OUT 1 6 3 3   5 5 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
VESPUCCI 3 7 6 6   65 6 (reynolds p)RIVERA R 122 1.00 58% 0.70 1.05  
ANDY CANT 6 5 7 7   76 7 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 4.00  
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK               (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST John Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:081     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULLIKIN 5 3 2½ 2½   1½ 1 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of TULIRA'S STAR by CONGRATS)
COASTAL MISSION 4 5 42 31   2½ 2 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 5.00  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE 2 4 5 53   32 3 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20 S
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 1 1 3 4   55 4 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.90 1.80  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EVER SO CLEVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
PREVALENCE (GB) 3 2 1½ 1½   44 513 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 5.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ENRICHMENT by FISCAL)
 
BAQ-9   07/06/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:131 1:362   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINDERELLA'S DREAM (GB) 8 8 85 86 85 4 1¾ (appleby cha)BUICK T 121 4.50 3.65  
  (by SHAMARDAL out of ESPADRILLE by MEADOWLAKE)
SEGESTA 6 3 11 11 1½ 1nk 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 7.10  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
SHE FEELS PRETTY 7 5 31 21 2½ 2nk 3¾ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.00 48% 1.10 0.95 S
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SUMMER SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
PIN UP BETTY 1 1 21 32 3 33 4 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
SECRET SATIRE (GB) 5 7 42 54 5 5 5 (balding a)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00 16.40  
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BUCHU 4 6 74 7 7 6 64 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 11% 8.00 14.70  
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLOWERING PEACH by GALILEO (ARG))
DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE) 2 4 6 6 6 7 75 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 17% 4.80 6.60  
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of SHEMDA by DUTCH ART)
SY B 9 9 96 9 97 9 8 (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00 36.00  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OCEAN DRIVE by BELONG TO ME)
FUN WITH FLAGS (IRE) 3 2 5 43 42 8 910 (reynier jerom)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 27.50  
  (by ZOFFANY out of MARIE CELESTE by UNFOLD)
 
BAQ-10   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE THE FLAG 5 3 32 34 4 4 11 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.50 1.80  
VICTORS VALIANT 4 2 44 5 3 3 21 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 3.80 P
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 2 1 11 1 1½ 1½ 3 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 71% 0.40 1.40 S
MISSION NORTH 6 4 21 2 2½ 2½ 4 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 7.90  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 1 5 6 67 5 5 5 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 19.10  
COMPLETE AGENDA 3 6 54 4 6 610½ 610½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40    
SCR  DISSOLVED               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  TORIGO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
 
BAQ-11   07/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:212 :432 :551     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP TO MISCHIEF 1 8 22 2   1nk 1½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13.80  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LESLEY MAY by TAPIT)
CREDITWORTHY 4 5 9 68   4 2½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 48% 1.10 0.80  
  (by MITOLE out of PADDY'S FLIGHT by PADDY O'PRADO)
CUANDO 2 9 55 46   5 3 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 27% 2.70 6.50 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
PROSPERO (IRE) 9 2 66 7   7 4 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
MASTER FREUD 8 1 12 1   2nk 5 (klesaris r)RIVERA R 119 12.00 24.00  
  (by FREUD out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
1A  RESEARCH RESULTS 7 3 7 5   6 6 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 0.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MIA AND MOLLY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SIDE EYE 6 4 32 3   3 7 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 5% 17.80 6.10  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
TWO TONS OF FUN 5 6 89 813½   812¼ 8 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 47.00  
  (by NYQUIST out of O' MAGGI by PADDY O'PRADO)
LIVEHAPPY 3 7 4 9100   9100 9100 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 13.00  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  FROSTELLE               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.