Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-11   Win (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ FREEDOM         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
CYCLONE STATE         (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
PROTECTED         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 7% 13.10    
JERRY'S OUT         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00    
SHOWCASE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  WESTERN WOLF         (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Dwyer Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 1:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLAL Jun08 May05 Apr06 Feb03 Dec02 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60    
HADES Jun15 Apr13 Mar30 Feb03 Dec31 (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
DOMESTIC PRODUCT Jun15 May04 Mar09 Feb03 Dec02 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20    
SAVE THE TREES Jun09 Apr19       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
BAQ-3   07/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENBEI Jun07 Oct29 Aug24 Jul07 May29 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCRIPT Jun07 Feb04 Jan01 Nov02 Oct06 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
IKIGAI Jun23 May26 Jan12 Dec02 Sep22 (follett norman)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
FAUCI Oct21 Aug24 Jul28 Oct27 Sep02 (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
RUN CURTIS RUN Jun07 May10 Apr05 Feb04 Jan05 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
FORE HARP Apr20 Nov18 Oct24 Sep23 Aug21 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY Jun08 May10 Apr05 Aug13 Jun26 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  TOP GUNNER May05 Apr19 Mar03 Feb10 Dec29 (kantarmaci me)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  CEES GET DEGREES May09 Mar29 Feb09 Aug18 Jul14 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
SCR  LOST IN ROME Jun23 May19 Mar29 Feb19 Aug02 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE Jun23 Jun09 May04 Apr27 Mar30 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES May19 Apr18 Mar03 Dec17 Aug13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-4   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3 F PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Jun07 May04 Apr05 Feb23 Jan20 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 120 1.40    
YOU'RE FOREVER Apr18 Apr11 Mar08 Jan27 Nov12 (falcone robert )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRAMMY GIRL Jun08 May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb10 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
PROGENY May09 Apr06 Feb29 Feb18 Jan01 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
LOW SOCIETY Jun29 May26 May09 Mar28 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
FIVE TO TWO Jun30 May10 Apr21 Apr06 Feb24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIGITAL May18 Apr25 Apr06 Jan26 Dec09 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SIX PERCENT May18 May02 Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
WRITER'S REGRET Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar10 Feb04 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
GENTLEMAN JOE May26 May04 Apr28 Mar30 Mar16 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Apr18 Feb19 Feb10 Jun09 May06 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
AMUNDSON May05 Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 Jan18 (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) Jun23 May19 Aug19     (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/06/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Belmont Derby Invitational Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGEND OF TIME (GB) May25 May04       (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
WHITE PALOMINO May25 Apr06 Jan20     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) May25 Apr13 Mar02 Jan20   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
TRIKARI May31 May04 Mar23 Feb10 Dec28 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
ENDLESSLY May04 Mar23 Feb10 Nov03 Oct08 (mccarthy mich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 1.20 39% 1.50    
 
BAQ-7   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NIGHT OUT Jun07 May12 Mar27 Jul21 Jun22 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAMM' DUKE Jun06 May12 Apr27 Dec04 Nov16 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK Jun28 May09 Apr11 Apr05 Feb16 (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
VESPUCCI May11 Apr06 Mar09 Jun11   (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 122 1.00 58% 0.70    
SIN NOMBRE Jun14 Apr11 Mar21 Feb24 Jan26 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
REFUAH Jun14 May09 Apr05 Feb29 Feb04 (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
ANDY CANT Jun28 May18 Apr25 Mar28 Feb09 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
SAFALOW'S MISSION May27 Apr13 Feb29 Jan13 Aug05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
BAQ-8   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST John Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS May31 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug05 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Jun08 May11 Apr22 Nov25 Oct22 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
PREVALENCE (GB) May18 Apr06 Mar01 Feb04 May20 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
COASTAL MISSION Jun15 May18 Apr13 Mar02 Dec02 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50    
MULLIKIN Jun08 Apr26 Jul30 Jul02 May27 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   07/06/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Belmont Oaks Invi Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIN UP BETTY Jun01 May09 Apr13 Jan19 Dec27 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE) May03 Mar09 Feb03 Nov04   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
FUN WITH FLAGS (IRE)         (reynier jerome)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
BUCHU Jun01 May03 Apr06 Nov03 Oct06 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
SECRET SATIRE (GB)         (balding and)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
SEGESTA May27 Apr21 Mar09 Jan21   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
SHE FEELS PRETTY May17 Nov03 Sep16 Jul16   (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
CINDERELLA'S DREAM (GB)         (appleby charl)BUICK T 121 4.50    
SY B May27 Apr05 Mar06 Feb07   (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-10   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISSOLVED May12 Apr10 Feb17 Oct21 Aug26 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00    
SCR  TORIGO May18 Mar03 Dec23 Dec10 Oct28 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
GHOSTLYPRINCE Jun29 May18 Apr26 Mar09 Feb02 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) May18 Apr28 Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 71% 0.40    
COMPLETE AGENDA May26 May04 Mar30 Mar08 Feb29 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
VICTORS VALIANT Jun07 May04 Apr14 Mar29 Feb18 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
CAPTURE THE FLAG Jun08 Oct28 Oct04 Aug05 Jul30 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.50    
MISSION NORTH Jun02 May17 Apr20 Dec17 Nov18 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER Jun21 May25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jun22 Apr18 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40    
 
BAQ-11   07/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDITWORTHY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 48% 1.10    
1A  RESEARCH RESULTS May03         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00    
TAP TO MISCHIEF         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
CUANDO Jun15 May19 Apr11 Mar09 Feb25 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
LIVEHAPPY Jun21 Apr27 Mar02 Feb11 Jan13 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
TWO TONS OF FUN Apr06 Mar07       (summers ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SIDE EYE May03 Mar02 Feb17 Apr23 Mar19 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 5% 17.80    
MASTER FREUD Jun14 May03 Mar07     (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
PROSPERO (IRE) Sep22         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FROSTELLE May03         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY May16 Apr20 Mar08 Dec09 Oct15 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.