Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/2)-(5/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/4/2)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/6/2)-(5/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/1/2)-(4/8/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/8/1)-(1/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1)-(1/5/2)-(7/2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/2/4/1)-(4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/8/1)-(7/2/4/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/1)-(4/5)-(1/3/6/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-10   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/3/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BAQ-11   WIN (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ FREEDOM         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
CYCLONE STATE         (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CHANEL'S LEGACY by DOMINUS)
PROTECTED         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 7% 13.10    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of EVER ALWAYS by MR. NUGGET)
JERRY'S OUT         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
SHOWCASE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BUY SELL HOLD by VIOLENCE)
SCR  WESTERN WOLF         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BELLA SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
BAQ-2   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Dwyer Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLAL Jun08 May05 Apr06 Feb03 Dec02 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
HADES Jun15 Apr13 Mar30 Feb03 Dec31 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of THE SHADY LADY by QUALITY ROAD)
DOMESTIC PRODUCT Jun15 May04 Mar09 Feb03 Dec02 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOODS AND SERVICES by PAYNTER)
SAVE THE TREES Jun09 Apr19       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CANOPY LANE by FORESTRY)
 
BAQ-3   07/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENBEI Jun07 Oct29 Aug24 Jul07 May29 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCRIPT Jun07 Feb04 Jan01 Nov02 Oct06 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
IKIGAI Jun23 May26 Jan12 Dec02 Sep22 (follett norman)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
FAUCI Oct21 Aug24 Jul28 Oct27 Sep02 (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
RUN CURTIS RUN Jun07 May10 Apr05 Feb04 Jan05 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
FORE HARP Apr20 Nov18 Oct24 Sep23 Aug21 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY Jun08 May10 Apr05 Aug13 Jun26 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  TOP GUNNER May05 Apr19 Mar03 Feb10 Dec29 (kantarmaci )RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  CEES GET DEGREES May09 Mar29 Feb09 Aug18 Jul14 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
SCR  LOST IN ROME Jun23 May19 Mar29 Feb19 Aug02 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE Jun23 Jun09 May04 Apr27 Mar30 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES May19 Apr18 Mar03 Dec17 Aug13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-4   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Jun07 May04 Apr05 Feb23 Jan20 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40    
YOU'RE FOREVER Apr18 Apr11 Mar08 Jan27 Nov12 (falcone rober)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRAMMY GIRL Jun08 May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb10 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
PROGENY May09 Apr06 Feb29 Feb18 Jan01 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
LOW SOCIETY Jun29 May26 May09 Mar28 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
FIVE TO TWO Jun30 May10 Apr21 Apr06 Feb24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIGITAL May18 Apr25 Apr06 Jan26 Dec09 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SIX PERCENT May18 May02 Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
WRITER'S REGRET Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar10 Feb04 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
GENTLEMAN JOE May26 May04 Apr28 Mar30 Mar16 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Apr18 Feb19 Feb10 Jun09 May06 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
AMUNDSON May05 Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 Jan18 (kantarmaci mer)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) Jun23 May19 Aug19     (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/06/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Belmont Derby Invitational Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGEND OF TIME (GB) May25 May04       (appleby cha)BUICK T 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of KISSABLE by KISSIN KRIS)
WHITE PALOMINO May25 Apr06 Jan20     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WOLF GOURMET by FLATTER)
ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) May25 Apr13 Mar02 Jan20   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of CROWN QUEEN by SMART STRIKE)
TRIKARI May31 May04 Mar23 Feb10 Dec28 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DYNAMIC HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ENDLESSLY May04 Mar23 Feb10 Nov03 Oct08 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 1.20 39% 1.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM FUHREVER by LANGFUHR)
 
BAQ-7   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NIGHT OUT Jun07 May12 Mar27 Jul21 Jun22 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAMM' DUKE Jun06 May12 Apr27 Dec04 Nov16 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK Jun28 May09 Apr11 Apr05 Feb16 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
VESPUCCI May11 Apr06 Mar09 Jun11   (reynolds p)RIVERA R 122 1.00 58% 0.70    
SIN NOMBRE Jun14 Apr11 Mar21 Feb24 Jan26 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
REFUAH Jun14 May09 Apr05 Feb29 Feb04 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
ANDY CANT Jun28 May18 Apr25 Mar28 Feb09 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
SAFALOW'S MISSION May27 Apr13 Feb29 Jan13 Aug05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
BAQ-8   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST John Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS May31 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug05 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EVER SO CLEVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Jun08 May11 Apr22 Nov25 Oct22 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
PREVALENCE (GB) May18 Apr06 Mar01 Feb04 May20 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ENRICHMENT by FISCAL)
COASTAL MISSION Jun15 May18 Apr13 Mar02 Dec02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
MULLIKIN Jun08 Apr26 Jul30 Jul02 May27 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TULIRA'S STAR by CONGRATS)
 
BAQ-9   07/06/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIN UP BETTY Jun01 May09 Apr13 Jan19 Dec27 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE) May03 Mar09 Feb03 Nov04   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of SHEMDA by DUTCH ART)
FUN WITH FLAGS (IRE)         (reynier jerom)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
  (by ZOFFANY out of MARIE CELESTE by UNFOLD)
BUCHU Jun01 May03 Apr06 Nov03 Oct06 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLOWERING PEACH by GALILEO (ARG))
SECRET SATIRE (GB)         (balding a)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SEGESTA May27 Apr21 Mar09 Jan21   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
SHE FEELS PRETTY May17 Nov03 Sep16 Jul16   (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SUMMER SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
CINDERELLA'S DREAM (GB)         (appleby cha)BUICK T 121 4.50    
  (by SHAMARDAL out of ESPADRILLE by MEADOWLAKE)
SY B May27 Apr05 Mar06 Feb07   (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OCEAN DRIVE by BELONG TO ME)
 
BAQ-10   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISSOLVED May12 Apr10 Feb17 Oct21 Aug26 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00    
SCR  TORIGO May18 Mar03 Dec23 Dec10 Oct28 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
GHOSTLYPRINCE Jun29 May18 Apr26 Mar09 Feb02 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) May18 Apr28 Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 71% 0.40    
COMPLETE AGENDA May26 May04 Mar30 Mar08 Feb29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
VICTORS VALIANT Jun07 May04 Apr14 Mar29 Feb18 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
CAPTURE THE FLAG Jun08 Oct28 Oct04 Aug05 Jul30 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.50    
MISSION NORTH Jun02 May17 Apr20 Dec17 Nov18 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER Jun21 May25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jun22 Apr18 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40    
 
BAQ-11   07/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDITWORTHY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MITOLE out of PADDY'S FLIGHT by PADDY O'PRADO)
1A  RESEARCH RESULTS May03         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MIA AND MOLLY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TAP TO MISCHIEF         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LESLEY MAY by TAPIT)
CUANDO Jun15 May19 Apr11 Mar09 Feb25 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
LIVEHAPPY Jun21 Apr27 Mar02 Feb11 Jan13 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TWO TONS OF FUN Apr06 Mar07       (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of O' MAGGI by PADDY O'PRADO)
SIDE EYE May03 Mar02 Feb17 Apr23 Mar19 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 5% 17.80    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
MASTER FREUD Jun14 May03 Mar07     (klesaris r)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
PROSPERO (IRE) Sep22         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
SCR  FROSTELLE May03         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY May16 Apr20 Mar08 Dec09 Oct15 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.