Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (8/5/1/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $12.60 $2.60 26%
CNL-3   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00  7 $3.40 $1.40 70%
CNL-4   EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $12.60 $0.60 5%
    DD (7)-(6/5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00  7-6 $4.90 $0.90 23%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:213 :44 :552     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE ME TENDER 1 3 3 2½   1½ 1 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 7% 14.00 5.30 W
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GREAT LOVE STORY by GREAT NOTION)
ZECA DIABO 7 5 7 6   3 2 (caramori edua)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00 3.30  
  (by DANZA out of BALA PERDIDA by BADGE OF SILVER)
MR CLAUSE 3 2 11 1½   2½ 3 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.40 S
  (by LAOBAN out of TRES CHARMANT by FREUD)
RIVER RIDGE 8 6 66 7   4 4 (campbell mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.80 42% 1.40 1.30  
  (by KANTHAROS out of VIOLENCIA by VIOLENCE)
ELVIS HIMSELF 5 7 8 8   510½ 514¼ (salazar marco)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00 25% 3.00 4.10  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MOSTLY ELVIS by PEACE RULES)
MAINTAIN 2 1 53 44   712½ 618½ (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 30.50  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RELAX by SMART STRIKE)
TOUCHED UP 6 9 911¼ 911¼   915½ 718½ (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of ENHANCED by MALIBU MOON)
TAP YOUR HEART 9 4 21 32   611½ 820 (chapman )GALLARDO A 124 8.00 17.50  
  (by TAPIT out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)
REBEL'S MEMORY 4 8 43 54   813½ 921 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 15.00 22.30  
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STACEY'S FLIGHT by ROMAN RULER)
 
CNL-2   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA CLEOPATRA 8 2 2nk 11   15 1 (munoz carlos)BOCACHICA O 119 6.00 2.90  
  (by VEKOMA out of BELLA ALICITA by BELLAMY ROAD)
BAYTOWN BOUJEE 3 7 811¼ 8   5 2 (mcentee paul)HO WESLEY 119 3.50 25% 3.10 11.10 P
  (by HONOR A. P. out of ELITISM by MACHO UNO)
WATERING 4 8 57 4   35 39 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 6% 15.20 2.00 S
  (by DIVINING ROD out of SET FOR SIX by EXCHANGE RATE)
SLANDEROUS 6 1 1nk 21   25 4 (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 9.70  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
OK BY ME 2 5 6 56   46 511 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00 53.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of I B OK by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
AURORA'S MUSIC 7 6 7 7   6 611½ (zook w)LEON A 119 8.00 11.40  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AURORA POINT by MALIBU MOON)
AMERICAN SELECT 5 4 4 66   710 714¼ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 10.00 10.20  
  (by FLATTER out of TANGO TIME by DANEHILL DANCER)
CAVALLA 1 3 34 3   811 819 (campbell)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.50  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROCKIN GIRL by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  PRINCESS OF OMAHA               (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
 
CNL-3   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:101 1:214   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVANI 1 3 3 3 1½ 1 13 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 118 3.00 44% 1.30 0.70 W
10  GOOD ACCELEBRATE 4 4 4 4 4¾ 42 23 (williams)GALLARDO A 123 15.00 6.80  
REBEL CONSORT 3 2 2 21 3½ 2 3 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 5.00 3.40 S
TIZ RACE DAY 2 1 1 11 2½ 3 4 (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 2.40  
SCR  HOT BOTTOM GIRL               (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 123 15.00    
SCR  LA TACHE               (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
SCR  MARIANO               (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 121 4.00    
SCR  FONDRE               (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
SCR  FIRE AT MIDNIGHT               (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
SCR  WILMA FLINTSHIRE               (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00    
SCR  ABSTRACT MOMENT               (payne beal)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00    
SCR  CAINUDOTHETWIST               (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 123 12.00    
 
CNL-4   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:212 :444 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. SUSAN 5 4 34 22   13 1 (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 61% 0.60 1.80 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
NO MORE KISSES 1 7 611½ 510½   34 2 (robb j)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TRUE KISS by IS IT TRUE)
10  FOREVER AGAIN 7 5 511 612½   68 3 (schuh tim)ALLEN D 119 30.00 26.50  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FOREVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GIN GIN'S APPROVAL 3 2 46 4   46 4 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 3.40  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHOCOLATE POP by CUVEE)
DOGWOODS JUNE 6 6 714½ 715½   711½ 515¼ (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 60.20  
  (by TOURIST out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
RAPID TULA 4 1 1 12   23 620½ (munoz carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 6% 16.20 1.80  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SWEET CHANTAL by SNOW RIDGE)
SMOKEY RAIN 2 3 2 3   58 725 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of GATOR GONE WILD by GATORS N BEARS)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF               (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 119 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  FROM SCRATCH               (forster )GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  NOTICE ME TOO               (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAR SUPER by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  WALK STREET               (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PASTIME by LONHRO (AUS))
 
CNL-5   07/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:082 1:331   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVE YOU HEARD 3 3 4 4 31 2½ 1 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00 5.20  
FEELING WOOZY 4 4 32 32 4 3½ 2 (smith a)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00 3.80  
COINAGE 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 3 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 123 10.00 20% 4.00 5.20 S
10  TOPS THE CHART 5 5 55 5 5 42 4 (allen fer)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 4.80  
DUDE N COLORADO (GB) 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 5 5 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 36% 1.70 0.90  
SCR  BODE'S MAKER               (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  DRIPPING GOLD               (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
SCR  MISSION READY               (zook w)LEON A 118 30.00    
SCR  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE)               (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 2.50    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00    
 
CNL-6   07/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 SOFT Boston Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:122 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULMINEO 5 7 6 53 5 3 1½ (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 2.00 1.10  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STARR OF QUALITY by FIRST DUDE)
CRYSTAL QUEST 3 5 4 3 31 2½ 2½ (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 120 5.00 2.80 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of GIANT CRYSTAL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
WINE COLLECTOR 4 2 32 43 42 52 3 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 120 30.00 38.40  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
IN A JAM 7 3 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 4 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 55% 0.80 2.10  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
OISHI 6 4 5 6 64 6 5 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
  (by DIVISIDERO out of IMAGINARY SAINT by SAINT LIAM)
CLASS PHOTO 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 4 6 (delacour )VARGAS A 120 8.00 14% 6.00 10.80  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SURPRISE AGAIN by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
CATALEYA STRIKE 1 6 74 76 78 7 7 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 46.70  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EIFFEL TOWER by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  AZTECA'S GOLD               (lacroix gene)KARAMANOS A 120 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of WANTA GO by APTITUDE)
 
CNL-7   07/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 SOFT Beverly Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NADETTE (FR) 1 5 55 57 5 13 1 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 2.00 0.50  
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
CANISY 4 3 1½ 2 21 23 2 (delacour )VARGAS A 123 4.50 20% 3.90 3.50 P
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
BLISSFUL 2 1 32 3 3 34 37 (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 39% 1.60 4.00 S
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BELLESKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
THIRTY THOU KELVIN 5 4 2½ 1 11 45 411¾ (o'connell k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WEALTHY SHIPMAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
BOW DRAW 3 2 4 4 4 5 514¼ (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 121 20.00 29.30  
  (by OXBOW out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
SCR  FIVE TOWNS (GB)               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
  (by LORD KANALOA out of GUILTY TWELVE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB)               (motion graha)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of SHARP SUSAN by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  THISNAMEISOKAY               (hernandez)CARRASCO R 121 30.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of LOK VIRSA by SAINT ANDDAN)
 
CNL-8   07/13/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 SOFT Million Preview Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:114 1:361   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTEGRATION 2 3 3 3 2½ 1 1 (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 62% 0.60 0.05 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HARMONIZE by SCAT DADDY)
NINEELEVENTURBO 1 1 2 2½ 3½ 2 2 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 15.00 5% 19.00 4.00 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES 3 2 1 1½ 1½ 37 312½ (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 20.00 7.90  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
SCR  FOREVER SOUPER               (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MIGHTY SOUPER by WAR FRONT)
SCR  HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE)               (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of PINK SYMPHONY by MONTJEU (IRE))
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of PEINTURE RARE by SADLER'S WELLS)
 
CNL-9   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:213 :441 :553     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOANAS POWER 7 1 12 11   1 15 (munoz carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 17% 5.00 2.00 W
CHIEF LADY 1 5 5 21   2 25 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 120 15.00 7.20  
APROPOS 2 4 4 42   3 3 (toner james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 28% 2.60 1.40 S
IMPLOSION 4 6 6 53   5 47 (giddings melan)ASHTON GAVIN 123 8.00 13.60  
CHARLOTTES ROAD 6 2 22 31   4 511¾ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 22% 3.50 4.30  
THE AMAZING MIZZEN 3 3 32 68   6 612¾ (cooney susan )KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
MANITOULIN ISLAND 5 8 811¼ 817½   820¼ 724¾ (garrido raul)LEON A 123 30.00 85.60  
10  ICE CUBE BABY 8 7 7 711½   717¾ 830¼ (garrido raul)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 42.20  
SCR  AIR ONE               (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 123 20.00    
SCR  MARIAN CROSS (GB)               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 3.00    
SCR  SHARE THE BLESSING               (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.