Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (8/10/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $28.40 $28.40 20.40
SAR-2   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.60  
SAR-3   Win (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
SAR-5   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
SAR-6   Win (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $27.40 $27.40 19.40
SAR-7   Win (4/5/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
SAR-8   Win (2/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $18.20 $18.20 10.20
SAR-9   Win (9/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.10  
SAR-10   Win (2/6/4/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $13.80  
SAR-11   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.50 $2.50  
SAR-12   Win (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $10.40  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WITHOUT CAUTION 1 3 33 41¾ 41½ 31½ 11¾ (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 W
5  HELICITY 3 4 43¼ 31½ 31 1½ 21¾ (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 4.60  
8  NUDGE 6 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 32 (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 46% 1.20 5.50 S
7  HANDS OF TIME 5 5 55¾ 63¼ 52½ 43 42 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 3.80  
10  ENGLISH LAW 7 6 66¼ 53¼ 62¾ 63½ 52¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
13  PAPIAMENTO 9 7 76¾ 97¾ 95¼ 73¾ 63½ (beckman wh)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 ★ 31.50  
11  ACADEMY 8 8 88¾ 76¼ 84¼ 94¾ 74½ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
6  PROFOUND 4 9 910¼ 86¾ 73¼ 84¾ 87 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 2.40  
4  LUCAS'S MISCHIEF 2 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 53 98¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 6.50  
SCR  CLEVER AGAIN               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.50    
SCR  INSUBORDINATION (IRE)               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
SCR  RUNNING AWAY               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 8.00    
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  SIMULATE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  WHAT ME WORRY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IT TAKES HEART 4 3 2½ 1nk   11 11¼ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 1.30  
1A  SELF ISOLATION 5 1 1½ 2nk   21 21¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.40 36% 1.80 1.70 P
3  MY FIRST LOVE 2 4 42 41½   44½ 36½ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 5.80  
6  EVERLYS GIRL 6 2 3½ 31   34½ 46½ (chatterpaul naipa)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 35% 1.90 10.00  
4  REIGNING CHICK 3 5 54½ 58½   512½ 512¼ (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 8.50  
2  CARBON 1 6 67½ 618½   6100 6100 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT               (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 120 1.40    
 
SAR-3   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NANO MAN 2 1 31 31½   1nk 11¾ (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.90 6.00 W
1  KING PUCK 1 5 43 42½   41¾ 21¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.00 40% 1.50 0.70 P
6  CLANCY FANCY 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 32 (englehart chris)LUZZI J 124 20.00 28.00  
4  HE HAS IT ALL 4 2 1½ 1nk   3.2 43¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 14% 6.10 3.05  
3  FRATELLINO 3 7 65 64½   53¼ 56½ (sanchez-pi)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 37.50  
8  OUTTAWATERBURY 7 4 75¼ 76   77¼ 611 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
7  MAZZEI 6 6 53 53   66¼ 713½ (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 10.00 13.70  
SCR  CALL BOB               (caramori e)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER SATIN 1 4 31½ 21   2½ 1½ (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 53% 0.90 2.20 W
4  ON THE HILL 4 2 21½ 31   1½ 2½ (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 14% 6.10 2.00 P
2  YO BANANA BOY 2 3 53 52½   32 31 (heath destin)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5.20  
8  BAD LARRY 5 5 42 41½   52½ 45¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 7.60  
3  BOSS TWEED 3 1 11½ 11   42½ 510 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 5% 19.00 2.55  
SCR  FAST BUCK FREDDY               (abreu jorge )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  FREEDSDALE               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOBBY THE TANK 7 1 11 1½   13 11½ (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.60 2.45 W
2  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS 1 7 66½ 57   33 21½ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 ★ 5.60 P
4  BONNE CHANCE 3 5 43 44½   23 33¾ (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
9  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE 8 4 21 2½   43½ 47¾ (serpe philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 8.90  
3  SAFALOW'S MISSION 2 8 815 715½   612 511 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 69% 0.50 1.45  
5  SOLO IN PARIS 4 2 55½ 67½   510½ 615¼ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 23.10  
6  VIN SANTO 5 6 712½ 815½   816 723½ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 15.80  
7  G MUNNING 6 3 31 34   715 824¼ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00 23.80  
SCR  INDEPENDENT PAUL               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  XCELLENT MEN               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:211 :441 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  UNION DOLLY 2 6 65½ 65¾   3½ 1¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.70 W
8  RILEY JEAN 8 5 53½ 53¾   61¼ 2¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 9.90  
4  GOLDEN ROCKET 4 7 88 86¼   71½ 3¾ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 11.10  
3  MASTEROF THE TUNES 3 8 77½ 75¾   82½ 42¼ (lee joseph)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.70  
7  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 7 1 42 41¾   51¼ 52½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 6% 16.40 3.25  
5  GIRLS WEEKEND 5 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 65¼ (beckman d )SANTANA JR 120 4.00 5.20  
6  PAROLA SICURA 6 2 31½ 31½   4¾ 75¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 54% 0.90 3.30  
1  RECONCILE 1 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 811¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 14% 6.00 4.20  
SCR  JACKSON'S DIXIE               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  LOW SOCIETY               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN               (giangiulio michelle)RIDER TBA 124 5.00    
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INCENTIVE PAY 4 8 65 41½   11 12½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 39% 1.60 2.60 W
3  DAPPER MOON 3 9 87¾ 66½   64½ 22½ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 9.30  
5  PERFECT FORCE 5 5 44 52   52 33 (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 26% 2.90 8.50 S
9  FILOSO 8 4 75¼ 77   76 43½ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
6  RANGER BATTALION 6 6 31½ 2½   31½ 54 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 14.70  
10  SOCIAL HOUR 9 3 21 3½   21 64¼ (pletcher tod)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 9% 10.40 3.90  
2  AUTHENTIC GALLOP 2 2 11 1½   41½ 78½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 3.35  
1  COOPER 1 1 54 811   811 88¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 ★ 12.30  
8  TRACK RANGER 7 7 98¾ 911½   912 910 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 10.80  
SCR  BE REAL               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FULL SCREEN 7 4 52½ 52½   2½ 1¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 18% 4.60 8.10 W
2  FEDERAL JUDGE 2 2 11 11   1½ 2¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 20% 4.10 1.65 P
4  COSTA TERRA 4 8 77½ 69½   45½ 31½ (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 11.20  
3  GUN IT 3 3 21 21   32 45¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 3.50  
5  DEER DISTRICT 5 1 42½ 42½   56 56 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 14% 6.10 8.10  
1  ALTERNATE REALITY 1 7 65½ 710   614 617 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 5% 19.00 44.75  
9  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 8 6 88 813½   818 719 (morley thoma)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 20.30  
7  ARRO SMASH 6 5 31½ 32   718 822¾ (bauer a)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 3.40  
SCR  PRINCIPE CARLO               ( )TBA null      
 
SAR-9   07/20/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:351   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAJOR DUDE 1 5 32 32 42 3½ 12 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 2.05  
4  HARLAN ESTATE 3 3 65 66 63¾ 51½ 22 (beckman whi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 21.30  
6  CASH EQUITY (FR) 5 7 76 76½ 75¼ 73 32 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
5  ATONE 4 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 42¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 19% 4.40 8.40  
1  PIONEERING SPIRIT 6 8 88½ 88 85¾ 84½ 53 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 8.70  
8  ANDTHEWINNERIS 7 6 53½ 54½ 53½ 62 63 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 8.90  
3  BELOUNI (FR) 2 4 42½ 42½ 32 41 73¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 5% 17.30 6.60  
9  STEADY ON 8 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 85 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 49% 1.10 5.00  
SCR  COOKE CREEK               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 1.60    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  SIGNATOR               (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Lake George Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  POUNCE 8 8 65 63¾ 51¾ 4¾ 1¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5.90  
2  OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) 2 2 54½ 53½ 82¾ 51¼ 2¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 19% 4.10 2.00 P
4  VIVE VEUVE 4 7 86½ 95¼ 72¾ 72¼ 31 (sisterson jack)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 17% 4.90 13.10 S
1  GAVEA (GER) 1 1 11 11½ 1½ 1½ 41¼ (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 15.70  
6  SWEET REBECCA 6 4 32 42½ 3½ 2½ 52¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 17% 4.70 4.30  
7  DE REGRESO 7 3 43 32½ 41½ 3½ 63¼ (sano antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 11.80  
3  MANAMA GOLD 3 6 21 21½ 2½ 61¼ 73½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 14% 6.20 3.70  
5  GALA BRAND 5 5 97 84¾ 62¼ 83¼ 84¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 18.60  
9  LEMON MUFFIN 9 10 109½ 106¾ 95¼ 97¼ 95¾ (lukas wa)SANTANA JR 124 15.00 32.00  
10  MAGIC CROSS 10 9 76½ 74¾ 107¼ 1013¼ 1019¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 33.25  
SCR  GOA (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  IN OUR TIME               (sisterso)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
 
SAR-11   07/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Coaching Club American Oaks Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:114 1:372   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THORPEDO ANNA 2 4 2½ 21½ 21½ 13½ 14½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.50 44% 1.30 0.25 W
1  CANDIED 1 3 32½ 34 34½ 23½ 24½ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 3.95  
5  INTRICATE 4 2 45 48 48 47 38½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90 S
4  LESLIE'S ROSE 3 1 1½ 11½ 11½ 36½ 415½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 7.50  
SCR  BARBRATINA               (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
 
SAR-12   07/20/2024 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:151 1:402 2:052 2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EL REZEEN 4 55 53 31½ 42 12 1½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★ 4.20  
6  VINTAGE VINO 5 98½ 86 75 74¼ 33 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 10.40  
10  DE LA CRUZ 10 66 64 63 63¼ 53½ 32½ (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 9.20  
1  FACTOR ANALYSIS 8 43 42 52½ 32 22 42½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 50% 1.00 2.25  
8  THE JACKAL 7 77 75 86 84¾ 43 54 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 12% 7.20 5.40  
3  ARTEMPUS 2 32½ 31½ 41½ 53 69½ 612½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9% 9.90 3.85  
4  CAESAR'S GHOST 3 11 2nk 1½ 1½ 710½ 715¾ (caramori e)DAVIS A 124 50.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
7  BOURBON OUTLAW 6 88 97 98½ 98¾ 914¾ 817½ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 30.50  
2  THIELEN 1 1010 108 108¾ 109¼ 1016¼ 920 (russell brit)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 24.50  
9  FOUR TOP 9 21 1nk 2½ 2½ 814½ 1024¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 19.70  
SCR  GLINT               (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00    
SCR  IL SICILIANO               (sano antonio)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  TAKE YOUR SEATS (IRE)               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.