Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (8/2/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (4/5/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (2/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (9/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (2/6/4/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-12   Win (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INSUBORDINATION (IRE)         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
2  WITHOUT CAUTION         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLEVER AGAIN Apr21         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.50    
4  LUCAS'S MISCHIEF         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
5  HELICITY Jun07         (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
6  PROFOUND         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
7  HANDS OF TIME         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
8  NUDGE Jun15         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  WHAT ME WORRY         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
10  ENGLISH LAW         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  ACADEMY         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUNNING AWAY         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 8.00    
13  PAPIAMENTO         (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 ★    
SCR  SIMULATE Jun23         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)         (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SELF ISOLATION May25 Feb25 Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Jul14 May12 Apr14 Mar17 Mar09 (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 120 1.40    
2  CARBON Feb19 Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov25 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY FIRST LOVE Jun21 May05 Apr18 Apr04 Mar15 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
4  REIGNING CHICK Apr25 Mar28 Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
5  IT TAKES HEART May09 Apr14 Feb29 Jul27 Jun17 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
6  EVERLYS GIRL May16 Apr28 Mar15 Jan19 Dec03 (chatterpaul naipa)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 35% 1.90    
 
SAR-3   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING PUCK Jun22         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.00 40% 1.50    
2  NANO MAN Jun29 May26 Nov18 Oct04 Sep03 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  FRATELLINO Jul04 Jun13 May17 Feb03 Jan18 (sanchez-pi)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
4  HE HAS IT ALL Jun14 May18 Apr13 Mar09 Feb03 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  CALL BOB Jul11 Jun07 Mar21 Jan18 Dec23 (caramori e)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
6  CLANCY FANCY Jun14 May10 Apr12 Nov16 Oct28 (englehart chris)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
7  MAZZEI May26 Apr26       (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 10.00    
8  OUTTAWATERBURY Jun22 May03 Feb11 Jan13 Dec10 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER SATIN Jun06 Apr20 Mar24 Feb17   (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
2  YO BANANA BOY Jun14 Apr26 Mar24 Nov19 Oct16 (heath destin)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
3  BOSS TWEED Jun23 May17 Apr20 Apr04   (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  ON THE HILL Jun28 May12 Jul15 Dec11 Nov13 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  FAST BUCK FREDDY Nov10 Sep04 Aug02 Jun09   (abreu jorge )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep04   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  FREEDSDALE Jun16 Apr14 Apr04     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
8  BAD LARRY Jun29 Jun09 May25 May05 Apr28 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INDEPENDENT PAUL Jul14 May18 May12 Apr20 Apr05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  XCELLENT MEN May19 Apr11 Mar24 Mar09 Feb09 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
2  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Jun29 May27 May05 Apr12 Mar08 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 ★    
3  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jul06 May27 Apr13 Feb29 Jan13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 69% 0.50    
4  BONNE CHANCE Jun22 Jan05 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOLO IN PARIS Jul12 May18 Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
6  VIN SANTO Jun14 May27 May10 Apr13 Mar24 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
7  G MUNNING Jun07 May18 Apr28 Apr18 Mar29 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
8  BOBBY THE TANK Jun28 May09 Apr11 Apr05 Feb16 (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7% 12.60    
9  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Jun08 May05 Mar22 Feb28 Feb17 (serpe philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECONCILE Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Dec17   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  UNION DOLLY Dec21 Nov12 Jun01 May26 Apr21 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MASTEROF THE TUNES Jun29 May19 Apr27 Nov09 Oct13 (lee joseph)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
4  GOLDEN ROCKET Feb17 Feb02 Dec31 Dec07 Nov09 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
5  GIRLS WEEKEND May20 Jun16 May11     (beckman d )SANTANA JR 120 4.00    
6  PAROLA SICURA Jun16 May16 Apr20 Mar13 Feb29 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
7  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Jun29 Sep10 Aug12 May12 Aug25 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 6% 16.40    
8  RILEY JEAN Jun17 May20 Apr18 Mar06 Feb10 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON'S DIXIE Jun15 May27 May05 Mar30 Mar17 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  LOW SOCIETY Jul06 Jun29 May26 May09 Mar28 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jun30 May24 May03 Apr13 Feb28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN Jun23 May26 Apr18 Feb17 Jan04 (giangiulio michelle)RIDER TBA 124 5.00    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOPER         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 ★    
2  AUTHENTIC GALLOP         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
3  DAPPER MOON         (stewart da)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
4  INCENTIVE PAY         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  PERFECT FORCE Jun23         (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 26% 2.90    
6  RANGER BATTALION         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
SCR  BE REAL         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
8  TRACK RANGER         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
9  FILOSO         (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOCIAL HOUR         (pletcher tod)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTERNATE REALITY Jul12 Jul05 May19 Mar30 Mar16 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  FEDERAL JUDGE Jun10 May06 Apr01     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  GUN IT Jun08 May26 Nov17 Oct14 Jul29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
4  COSTA TERRA Jun07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct13 Oct01 (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
5  DEER DISTRICT Jun19 Feb08 Jan20 Jul28 May28 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
7  ARRO SMASH May16 Nov26 Nov02 Sep24 Aug26 (bauer a)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00    
8  FULL SCREEN Jun08 Apr20 Mar16 Dec15 Nov24 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
9  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE May26 Apr04 Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 (morley thoma)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
SCR  PRINCIPE CARLO Jun14 May24 May12 Mar14 Feb18 ( )TBA null      
 
SAR-9   07/20/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEERING SPIRIT Jun06 May17 May04 Apr20 Nov12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Jun29 Jun09 May02 Nov26 Oct29 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
2  MAJOR DUDE Jun23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul07 Jun02 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00    
3  BELOUNI (FR) Jun15 May11 Apr19 Mar02 Jul07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 5% 17.30    
4  HARLAN ESTATE May02 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 Nov11 (beckman whi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
5  ATONE Jun23 May18 Mar23 Mar02 Jan27 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
6  CASH EQUITY (FR) Jun28 Jun06 Jan27 Nov02 Oct01 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIGNATOR Jul11 Jun08 May09 Jan27 Dec31 (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
8  ANDTHEWINNERIS May06 Apr07 Mar04 Jan28 Dec26 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
9  STEADY ON Jun23 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 Dec26 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  COOKE CREEK Jun29 May27 Feb17 Dec22 Nov11 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 1.60    
 
SAR-10   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Lake George Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAVEA (GER) Jun01 May27 Apr21 Mar17 Jan12 (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
2  OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) Jun22 May05 Feb10     (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 19% 4.10    
3  MANAMA GOLD Jun06         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
4  VIVE VEUVE May27 Mar30 Feb11 Nov19   (sisterson jack)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
5  GALA BRAND Jun22 Nov03 Oct04 Aug31 Aug03 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
6  SWEET REBECCA May27 Apr28 Mar10     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
7  DE REGRESO Jun08 May04 Apr06 Mar09 Feb11 (sano antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
8  POUNCE May31 Apr06 Mar02 Feb11 Dec13 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
9  LEMON MUFFIN Jun29 May17 May03 Mar30 Feb24 (lukas wa)SANTANA JR 124 15.00    
10  MAGIC CROSS Aug30 Aug06 Jul08     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  GOA (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  IN OUR TIME Jul12 May19 Mar24     (sisterso)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
 
SAR-11   07/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Coaching Club American Oaks Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDIED Jun08 Apr05 Nov03 Oct06 Aug20 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  BARBRATINA Jun01 Apr06 Mar01 Jan05 Oct29 (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
3  THORPEDO ANNA Jun07 May03 Mar30 Nov25 Nov10 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.50 44% 1.30    
4  LESLIE'S ROSE Jun07 May03 Apr05 Mar02 Jan11 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
5  INTRICATE Jun15 Mar23 Feb17 Nov25 Oct13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-12   07/20/2024 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTOR ANALYSIS Jun22 May26 Apr14 Feb17   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 50% 1.00    
SCR  TAKE YOUR SEATS (IRE) May26 Mar10 Jan21     (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.40    
2  THIELEN Jun02 Mar22       (russell brit)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
3  ARTEMPUS May10 Apr06 Mar02 Jan20   (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9% 9.90    
4  CAESAR'S GHOST Jul11 Sep03 Jul22 May06 Feb17 (caramori e)DAVIS A 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
5  EL REZEEN May26 Apr06 Mar02 Dec28   (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★    
6  VINTAGE VINO Jun22 May19       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
7  BOURBON OUTLAW Jun15 Mar30 Feb24 Jan20 Nov09 (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
8  THE JACKAL Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08   (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
9  FOUR TOP Jun30 May19 Mar10 Jan06 Nov11 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
10  DE LA CRUZ Jun22 Jun02 Apr13 Mar02   (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  IL SICILIANO Jun23 May18 Apr28 Apr13 Mar09 (sano antonio)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  GLINT Apr21 Mar24 Mar09     (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.