Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
SAR-2   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $12.20  
SAR-3   Win (5/6/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
SAR-4   Win (7/4/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $18.60  
SAR-5   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
SAR-6   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
SAR-7   Win (8/6/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
SAR-8   Win (7/3/11/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 0.80
SAR-9   Win (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $22.80  
SAR-10   Win (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $30.40  
SAR-11   Win (12/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 12 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 12.80
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/21/2024 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
4:324         4:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZIGGLE POPS (GB) 4 43½ 43½ 63½ 62¾ 2nk 14¼ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 148 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40 W
6  PICKANUMBER (IRE) 6 11½ 11½ 11½ 11 1nk 24¼ (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.50 4.00  
2  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 2 65 66½ 53 52¼ 31 34¼ (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 10.00 9% 10.20 8.40 S
7  L'IMPERATOR (FR) 7 76½ 77 32 42 63¼ 49¼ (kingsley arch)GAINFORD JORDAN 154 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40  
3  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 3 32½ 32 21½ 21 42 510½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140 20.00 21.40 DH
5  ABAAN 5 54½ 54 42 31 52¼ 510½ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158 1.80 31% 2.20 1.70 DH
1  WEST NEWTON (GB) 1 21½ 21½ 74½ 78¾ 723¼ 760¾ (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 144 15.00 35.00  
 
SAR-2   07/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:142 1:402   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BROUGHTY FERRY 4 3 53 53½ 53 34 1½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.10  
3  JUST MUSIC 3 1 31½ 32 42 21½ 2½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 27% 2.70 6.00 P
1  ENIGMATIC 1 2 11½ 11 11½ 11½ 35¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 34% 1.90 1.05 S
2  LA VITA SOFIA 2 7 63¼ 64 74½ 58½ 412¼ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 11.70  
6  YO PUEDO 6 6 21½ 21 21½ 48½ 516¼ (medina rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 6.30  
5  THORNY 5 5 42½ 42½ 31½ 69½ 617¾ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
7  GRACEFUL ROSE 7 4 76¾ 75 63½ 713½ 726¼ (gorham michael )ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 7% 12.40 6.20  
 
SAR-3   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:214 :442 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JAVA BUZZ 4 2 1½ 11   13 14¾ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 71% 0.40 2.45 W
2  KREESA 2 3 75¼ 76½   76 24¾ (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 20.20  
8  OKALOOSA 7 4 42 32½   33 34¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 10.70  
6  MUSICAL MAESTRO 5 6 54 54½   54½ 45¾ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.10  
3  ROYAL KING 3 5 65 65   65½ 56¾ (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 ★ 7.10  
1  BUCKORTWO 1 1 97¾ 99½   97¼ 67¾ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 40.50  
12  SANDRONE 10 10 2½ 21   23 77¾ (bond kevin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
11  KORRONGO 9 7 32 43   44 88¼ (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 ★ 6.60  
7  PALLINO 6 8 108¼ 1010   108¾ 910½ (montoya marya)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 21.40  
9  BETTER LUCK 8 9 86¼ 87   87 1011½ (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 11.60  
SCR  AARAJ               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  DEVIL IN DISGUISE               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
SCR  XCELLENT MEN               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2024 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:143 1:403 2:052 2:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUN KISSED SOIREE 2 79½ 75¾ 62¼ 44 1nk 1¾ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8.30  
4  JITTERBUG 4 57½ 53½ 52¼ 65½ 31 2¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 16% 5.10 2.15 P
7  PAST TENSE 7 22½ 21½ 1nk 12½ 2nk 34¼ (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 43% 1.30 3.40 S
8  AUTUMN'S TURN 8 810½ 96¾ 95½ 88 66 47¾ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 17.10  
3  MISSION OF HOPE 3 44 32½ 41¼ 33 43½ 58½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 3.65  
6  SICILIAN PRINCESS 6 34 42½ 31 22½ 54 69½ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
5  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 5 911 86¾ 85¼ 77½ 89 717¼ (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 124 50.00 34.50  
9  MS SEDONA 9 68½ 63¾ 72¾ 54 78 820¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.10 6.00  
1  SUMMER FESTIVAL 1 12½ 11½ 2nk 918 934 959¼ (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 50.25  
 
SAR-5   07/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Shuvee Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:13 1:381   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAGING SEA 3 2 32 42 32 11 12½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 55% 0.80 1.65 W
1  SHOTGUN HOTTIE 1 3 42½ 32 42½ 33 22½ (devaux cherie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.50 16% 5.10 1.40 P
4  MISTY VEIL 4 4 11½ 11½ 11½ 21 35 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
5  JUST KATHERINE 5 1 21½ 21½ 21½ 43½ 48 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 4.60  
2  VENTI VALENTINE 2 5 56½ 53½ 57 58½ 517¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 12.00 8.20  
 
SAR-6   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 1 3 1½ 11   14 13½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.40 W
7  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 6 1 2½ 21   24 23½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
8  ANTHRACITE 7 2 31½ 32½   46 34 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 21% 3.70 9.60 S
3  WARRIOR RICHARD 2 7 72¾ 53½   57 46 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★ 3.70  
4  MIDNIGHT WORKER 3 4 41½ 42½   36 56¾ (legall r)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00 25.50  
6  STOP THE SPREAD 5 5 62¼ 64   68½ 68¾ (caramori e)DAVIS A 122 15.00 35.00  
5  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 4 6 52 74½   713½ 716¾ (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 2.05  
SCR  FIGHTING BACK               ( )TBA null      
 
SAR-7   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:15 1:383   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VIRGIN COLADA 1 7 87¾ 96½ 96 84¾ 1½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 7% 12.70 4.60 W
5  RUNNING AWAY 5 1 12½ 12 1½ 12 2½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 10.40  
9  RARE ART 9 8 77¼ 85½ 75 33 31 (dutrow w)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 12.10  
6  SHARP SMILE 6 9 44 53½ 65 63¾ 42½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 20% 4.10 6.70  
7  PANACHE 7 4 22½ 22 2½ 22 54½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.20  
1  YESTERDAY (IRE) 2 2 32½ 32½ 32 43 66 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 2.35  
4  THUNDER PRINCESS 4 6 65¼ 64 54 74¾ 76¼ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 38.00  
8  WILD AND FREE 8 3 54¼ 43½ 42½ 53½ 86¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 33% 2.00 5.10  
3  ARISTELLA 3 10 109¼ 107 107 98¼ 98¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 ★ 16.50  
10  READY TO BATTLE 10 5 98¼ 75 85½ 1013¼ 1017½ (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
SCR  BOSSY DISH               (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  MAGENTA               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
SCR  NANANANABOOBOO               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
SCR  POINTSETMATCH               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
SCR  RAVENITE               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  REINING FLOWERS               (ortiz alexan)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:131 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME CZECH 3 2 32 42 31½ 21 1½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 17% 4.80 4.40 W
4  LAKESIDE GETAWAY 4 3 11 11 11 11 2½ (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 10.50  
2  BOXED WINE 2 4 85½ 73½ 62½ 32 31½ (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 11.70  
7  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER 7 5 106½ 105½ 83¼ 63 41¾ (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 27% 2.70 1.45  
10  STARTS NOW 10 9 21 21 21 42 52 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 55.00  
8  BUSY MORNING 8 6 53 52½ 52 52½ 62½ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 9% 10.00 9.00  
1  ROAGNA 1 1 64½ 63 42 73¼ 74 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 6.30  
5  DOWNTOWN CHANNEL 5 7 119 117 114¾ 86¼ 85¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 10.30  
11  BUNNY HONEY 11 10 75 84 93¼ 97¼ 97½ (englehart c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00 16% 5.40 21.90  
9  ARTEMIS GIRL 9 11 1210 127 127¼ 108¼ 109 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 74.00  
6  LET'S CONNECT 6 8 96½ 94½ 103¾ 1113¼ 1115½ (mann m)LUZZI J 118 50.00 45.75  
12  POSEIDON'S MIST 12 12 42½ 31½ 72¾ 1216¼ 1225¼ (david a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 52.25  
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
SCR  LADY OF THOROTON               (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO               (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  STARRY MIDNIGHT               (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IMMERSIVE 7 6 32 2½   1nk 12 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 10.40  
6  SALTED 6 8 810½ 56   44½ 22 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 21% 3.80 3.60 P
8  SPUN CANDY 8 2 1½ 1½   2nk 32½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 S
1  KISS ME SLOW 1 3 79 68   65¾ 43¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 28% 2.60 3.30  
3  BLACK DOG 3 4 44 43½   34 54¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.25  
5  TRADING SECRETS 5 7 68½ 810   88¾ 68 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 24.50  
4  DOUBLE CAPPUCCINO 4 5 57½ 710   78¾ 78¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5.80  
2  LAUGHING LADY 2 1 2½ 32   55½ 810½ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10.40  
SCR  IL SUO ORO               (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:123 1:384   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOORE'S LAW 2 5 65½ 65½ 64 1nk 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00 14.20  
6  ROCKETEER 5 4 32 31 2½ 2nk 21 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.40 P
7  D DAY SKY 6 6 53½ 52 33 33½ 36¼ (giangiulio)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 21.00  
4  SEEKING UNITY 3 1 11½ 11 1½ 44½ 413¼ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
1  GRANDPA'S KID 1 7 79½ 712½ 712 511 516½ (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 8.80  
8  BLACK RAIN 7 3 42 41½ 53½ 618 631½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 48% 1.10 1.10  
5  BRIGADE COMMANDER 4 2 21½ 21 43 723 739¼ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 ★ 6.10  
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
 
SAR-11   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:103 1:341   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  HUSH OF A STORM 12 11 1110½ 117¼ 95¼ 1½ 12½ (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 63% 0.60 7.40 W
7  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 7 5 44½ 43 32 3½ 22½ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 ★ 3.50 P
8  LOCKE AND KEY 8 10 98½ 75 73¾ 71 33¼ (ryerson jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00 9% 10.20 8.40 S
3  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 3 7 77½ 85 84¾ 81 43¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00 5.10  
11  ROUGH DRAFT 11 2 55 53½ 52¼ 2½ 54½ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 43.25  
1  NEURAL NETWORK 1 12 1212½ 1210¼ 126¾ 102½ 65 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 ★ 5.20  
9  LIAR'S POKER 9 3 65½ 64 63¼ 91½ 75½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 ★ 6.00  
10  BORN DANCER 10 1 33½ 32½ 42 4¾ 85¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9.00  
2  SELL SOMETHING 2 9 1010 107 106¼ 113 97 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 30.00 44.00  
4  UNION TRAIL 4 6 11½ 1½ 1½ 61 108¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00 16.80  
5  BAR FOURTEEN 5 4 21½ 2½ 2½ 5¾ 1110¾ (reynolds j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 13.50  
6  DREAMPOINT 6 8 88 96 116¼ 124½ 1211¼ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 122 50.00 64.50  
SCR  BARESE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00    
SCR  SHADOW DRAGON               (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.