Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (5/6/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (7/4/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (8/6/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (7/3/11/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (12/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/21/2024 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST NEWTON (GB) Jun20 Aug23 Jul19 Mar25 Nov07 (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 144 15.00    
2  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Jun20 Jul19 Sep01 Jul27 Apr30 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 146 10.00 9% 10.20    
3  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Oct22 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May14 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140 20.00    
4  ZIGGLE POPS (GB) Jun20         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 148 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ABAAN Mar30 Sep08 Aug11 Apr01 Jan28 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158 1.80 31% 2.20    
6  PICKANUMBER (IRE)         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.50    
7  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Jun20 Mar30 Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 (kingsley arch)GAINFORD JORDAN 154 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
SAR-2   07/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENIGMATIC Jun27 Apr06 Feb24 Dec31 Nov11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 34% 1.90    
2  LA VITA SOFIA Jun14 May16 Jul22 Jun23 May13 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00    
3  JUST MUSIC Jul11 Jul04 May24 May09 Apr05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  BROUGHTY FERRY Jun12 Apr30 Mar29 Feb01 Dec21 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
5  THORNY Jun22 May30 Apr26 Mar29 Mar02 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  YO PUEDO Jun15 May11 Aug05 Jun16 Apr27 (medina rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
7  GRACEFUL ROSE Jul04 May09 Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 (gorham michael )ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 7% 12.40    
 
SAR-3   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKORTWO Jun29 May25 Nov16 Oct05 Aug16 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
2  KREESA Jun22 May25 Apr21 Nov11 Oct20 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
3  ROYAL KING Apr12 Mar21 Jul24 May26 May08 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  XCELLENT MEN May19 Apr11 Mar24 Mar09 Feb09 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00    
5  JAVA BUZZ Mar18 Feb24 Jan25 Nov20 Oct22 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 71% 0.40    
6  MUSICAL MAESTRO Jun23 Jun07 Apr14 Mar16 Feb19 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  PALLINO Jul03 May18 Nov28 Oct25 Sep18 (montoya marya)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
8  OKALOOSA Jun23 Oct12 Sep04 Aug19   (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
9  BETTER LUCK May26 Mar29 Feb08 Jan26 Dec21 (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  DEVIL IN DISGUISE May19 Mar31       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
11  KORRONGO Jun28 May31 Apr26 Apr07   (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 ★    
12  SANDRONE Apr21 Nov23 Jul20 May13 Apr15 (bond kevin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AARAJ Feb09 Jul08 Apr02 Feb04 Dec17 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2024 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER FESTIVAL Jun23         (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUN KISSED SOIREE         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
3  MISSION OF HOPE May05 Apr07       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
4  JITTERBUG Jun20 May24 Feb03     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
5  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) May16 Apr04 Jan11 Nov25 Oct26 (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 124 50.00    
6  SICILIAN PRINCESS Jun26 Jun06 May09 Apr07 Mar02 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAST TENSE Jun20 May24 May04 Mar31 Mar10 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
8  AUTUMN'S TURN Jul12 Jun21 Jun02 May18 Apr07 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
9  MS SEDONA Jun20 Apr05 Dec14     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
SAR-5   07/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Shuvee Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTGUN HOTTIE Jun29 May17 Apr13 Mar09 Feb02 (devaux cherie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.50 16% 5.10    
2  VENTI VALENTINE Jun09 May12 Mar24 Feb17 Dec28 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 12.00    
3  RAGING SEA Jun08 Apr19 Nov25 Oct20 Sep04 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 55% 0.80    
4  MISTY VEIL Jun22 Apr13 Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUST KATHERINE Jun15 Feb02 Dec28 Nov25 Sep23 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
 
SAR-6   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRITERDAYZAHEAD May27 Nov26 Sep20 Jul16 Jun23 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  WARRIOR RICHARD Jun22 May11 Apr20 Oct07 Sep16 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★    
4  MIDNIGHT WORKER May26 Apr12 Mar15 Mar07 Feb18 (legall r)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00    
5  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jun16 May18 Apr05 Feb17 Feb10 (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
6  STOP THE SPREAD Jul14 Jun06 Apr12 Mar21 Mar08 (caramori e)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
7  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Dec10 Nov16 Oct20 Aug03 Jul07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANTHRACITE Apr13 Mar21 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  FIGHTING BACK Jun28 May09 Apr13 Sep24 Jul09 ( )TBA null      
 
SAR-7   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YESTERDAY (IRE)         (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  RAVENITE Jun15         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
2  VIRGIN COLADA         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 7% 12.70    
3  ARISTELLA         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 ★    
4  THUNDER PRINCESS Jun23         (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
5  RUNNING AWAY         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
6  SHARP SMILE         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
7  PANACHE Jun21         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
8  WILD AND FREE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
9  RARE ART         (dutrow w)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
10  READY TO BATTLE         (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSSY DISH Jun14         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  REINING FLOWERS Jun24 May22       (ortiz alexan)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  NANANANABOOBOO Jun14         (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
SCR  MAGENTA Jun16         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
SCR  POINTSETMATCH         (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAGNA May25 Apr27 Nov17     (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
2  BOXED WINE Jun23 May25 May04 Nov02 Sep15 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
3  AWESOME CZECH Jun22 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 Aug24 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  LAKESIDE GETAWAY May25 Nov17 Oct19 Sep09 Jul23 (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00    
5  DOWNTOWN CHANNEL Jun08 Aug16       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
6  LET'S CONNECT May25 Apr05 Mar15 Feb02 Jan05 (mann m)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
7  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Jun23 May25 Apr27 Mar09 Feb18 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
8  BUSY MORNING Jun23 Apr18 Feb28 Feb02 Jan17 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
9  ARTEMIS GIRL May25 Apr27 Dec16 Nov17 Nov02 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
10  STARTS NOW Jun28 Jun09 Nov17 Nov05 Oct05 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
11  BUNNY HONEY Jun14 May19 Apr20     (englehart c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
12  POSEIDON'S MIST Jun15 May17 Apr07 Mar15 Feb09 (david a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Jun23 Feb18 Jan12 Sep01   (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  LADY OF THOROTON Jun23 May25 Apr20 Nov19 Jul15 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT Jun20 May24 Apr18 Mar28 Mar02 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
SCR  STARRY MIDNIGHT Jul11 Jun13 Apr28 Apr04 Mar28 (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME SLOW         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  LAUGHING LADY Jun21         (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
3  BLACK DOG Jun28         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  DOUBLE CAPPUCCINO Jun14         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
5  TRADING SECRETS Jun28         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
6  SALTED May31         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
7  IMMERSIVE         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
8  SPUN CANDY Jun14         (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IL SUO ORO Jun14         (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDPA'S KID Jun22 May26 May19 May04 Mar29 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
2  MOORE'S LAW May04 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Mar25 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
4  SEEKING UNITY Jun22 May19 Apr27 Mar29 Feb24 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRIGADE COMMANDER May27 Apr19 Mar07 Jan27 Jan15 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 ★    
6  ROCKETEER Jun09 Apr10 Oct26     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  D DAY SKY May18 Apr05 Jan13 Nov25 Oct26 (giangiulio)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
8  BLACK RAIN Jun08 Sep14 Aug20     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
SAR-11   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEURAL NETWORK Apr22 Feb25 Jan07 Nov13   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
2  SELL SOMETHING Jun21 May24 Nov16 Oct04 Aug05 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 30.00    
3  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Jun20 Apr27 Nov19 Oct27 May11 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
4  UNION TRAIL Jun09 May03 Mar16 Aug09 Jul04 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00    
5  BAR FOURTEEN Jun21 May24 Apr26 Mar07 Jan04 (reynolds j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
6  DREAMPOINT Jun16 Jun08 May18 Dec07 Nov11 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 122 50.00    
7  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Jun21 May24 Nov10 Oct15 Sep15 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 ★    
8  LOCKE AND KEY Jun21 May17 Apr26 Mar29 Mar09 (ryerson jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00 9% 10.20    
9  LIAR'S POKER Jun30 May09 Nov26 Oct16   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 ★    
10  BORN DANCER Jun21 May24 Nov10 Aug27 Jun23 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
11  ROUGH DRAFT Jun21 Apr21 Mar21 Mar07 Jan25 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
12  HUSH OF A STORM Jun17 Mar02 Jan05 Dec16 Nov30 (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Dec29 Nov17 Oct06 Sep28 Aug19 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00    
SCR  SHADOW DRAGON Jun27 May26 Dec07 Oct15 Oct04 (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM May09 Mar21 Dec29 Oct29 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
SCR  BARESE May09 Dec29 Dec03 Oct29 Sep04 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.