Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - July 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-5   EXA (7/8/10/5)-(7/8/10/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-5 $26.75 $10.75 67%
SAR-7   PK3 (7/8/10/5)-(6/3/2/4)-(5/6/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00  7-3-5 $74.00 $10.00 16%
SAR-8   DD (5/6/2/1)-(2/6/10/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-6 $21.30 $1.30 7%
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(5/6/2/1)-(2/6/10/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00  3-5-6 $127.50 $47.50 59%
SAR-10   EXA (4/6/11/7/2)-(4/6/11/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-7 $25.50 $5.50 28%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:122 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENZAN DAY 6 1 1½ 1 1 13 1 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 4.70  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 1 5 75 7 68 5 2 (toscano jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
AFTERNOON HEAT 3 3 5 4 2 23 3 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 10% 8.90 10.00 S
CLASSIC MARK 4 2 4 5 3 3 4 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 118 12.00 8.80  
KHAFRE 5 4 63 6 4 4 510¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 10% 8.60 1.95  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 2 6 85 8 8 710¾ 617 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 37.00  
BOURBON CALLING 8 8 31 3 5 610½ 720½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 49% 1.00 2.75  
MASON MANIA 7 7 2½ 2 7 813¾ 825¼ (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9.70  
 
SAR-2   07/26/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY FREE BIRD 4 1 4 41   1nk 1nk (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 3.80  
10  MAJULU 10 3 3.2 2nk   2nk 2nk (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 33% 2.10 4.20 P
SUPERSTARSUSAN 9 10 95 8   6 3 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 6.90  
INFLAMMABELLE 7 6 5 5   33 4 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00 31% 2.20 8.40  
REALTA 3 8 10 10   8 5 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00 13.10  
MAXING THE BANK 5 7 8 9   5 66 (parker)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 64.75  
PUREST PERFORMANCE 2 5 2nk 3½   7 7 (pregman jr)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 38.75  
GALATRONA 6 9 6 73   10 8 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 10.80  
STEPPIN' HAWK 8 2 7 6   9 9 (hosang oliver )LUZZI J 124 20.00 45.25  
GENEROUS LUVA 1 4 1nk 1nk   4 1010½ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 11% 8.40 1.85  
SCR  DELL ARTE               (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  GOOD MISSION               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
SCR  HARMONYVILLE               (giddings melanie)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  HAYES BAY               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  JUSTHEART               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Amsterdam Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:213 :443 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD RECORD 1 1 13 1   1 1 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 6.30  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MARWA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
JEFFERSON STREET 4 2 4 2   2 2 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60 30% 2.40 0.85 P
  (by STREET SENSE out of APIARY by BERNARDINI)
VALENTINE CANDY 5 3 56 5   410½ 314 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 4.70  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TASTE LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
DONEGAL MOMENTUM 2 4 23 3   3 414¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 7.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
PURE FORCE 3 5 34 47   511½ 520 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 30% 2.40 3.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MEXICAN GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-4   07/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:13 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH STREET 4 1 11 1 11 1 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.20  
OCCULT 1 3 32 33 42 2 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 18% 4.50 0.85 P
CHI TOWN LADY 5 5 4 43 32 4 3 (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 34% 1.90 2.60 S
STONEWALL STAR 3 4 21 2 21 34 4 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 3.45  
MOVIE MOXY 2 2 54 5 5 510½ 5 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:143 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL BROWNE 7 4 33 33 22 1½ 1 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 52% 0.90 2.55 W
CASH BAIL 5 1 1 1 12 2½ 2 (meadow p)DAVIS A 124 30.00 5% 19.00 11.40 P
SWEET TONE 9 7 6 7 8 6 3 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 12.00 20.10  
10  OUTTAWATERBURY 10 6 5 54 75 4 4 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 11% 7.90 7.30  
JUDGE RULES 8 8 7 6 4 3 5 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 16% 5.40 3.75  
FELINE TREASURE 3 2 4 43 5 5 6 (shivmanga)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 31.75  
DYNA POINT 2 10 1012 10 64 7 7 (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.40  
TONY O 6 5 87 9 10 107 88 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 7.50  
FLUORESCENT BAY 4 9 99 8 9 8 99 (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 20.90  
SEVENTH RACE SHAKE 1 3 2 2 32 9 1012½ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 11.60  
 
SAR-6   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCELERATING 2 2 1½ 1nk   1 1 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.85 W
  (by MITOLE out of TIZJET by TIZNOW)
OFF SCRIPT 5 7 68 412½   3 2 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80 P
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GOODBYE BROCKLEY by COSMONAUT)
MISS WELCH 8 3 2½ 2nk   2 3 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 2.25  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DOWNTOWN MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
OPEN FLAME 7 1 79 513   412½ 4 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 9.00  
  (by VOLATILE out of IGNITE by JUMP START)
SOMEONE 3 4 36 312   515½ 520 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GLAMOUR AND STYLE by DYNAFORMER)
SPEED AND BEAUTY 6 8 8 718   620 624½ (giddings m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 27.75  
  (by ACCELERATE out of TIMELESS BEAUTY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
HORSEPLAY 4 5 58 821   825 730¾ (hills timot)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 22.20  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of HOT LIAISON by LIAISON)
SELECTIVELY SWEET 1 6 47 616   721 833¾ (chichakly)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 20% 4.10 23.00  
  (by VEKOMA out of WHITE SLIPPERS by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  VALTELLINA               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TAKE CHARGE SUE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
SAR-7   07/26/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:133 1:381 2:02 2:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BET 5 8 8 8 8 6 1½ (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 37% 1.70 2.30 W
L'ANTHARIS (FR) 7 4 53 5 5 2 2½ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 7.70  
BE LIKE CLINT 6 7 6 7 63 3 3¾ (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 30% 2.30 4.90 S
VESTING (IRE) 2 1 1½ 11 11 1 42 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 11% 7.80 3.45  
HARRY HOOD 3 53 7 6 7 7 5 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00 4.20  
HAMILTON'S WAY 1 2 42 42 4 4 6 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
ANTHEM KING 8 64 3½ 32 31 5 7 (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 13.40  
AU PARADIS 4 3 2½ 21 21 8 813½ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 19.20  
SCR  DREAMLIKE               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 0.50    
SCR  FROMANOTHAMUTHA               (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/26/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:213 :441 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURVEILLANCE 5 7 7 7   3 1½ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 126 6.00 18% 4.50 3.75 W
RUNNINGWSCISSORS 8 6 6 6   4 2½ (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 13% 6.50 6.20 DQ↓8
FORE HARP 2 2 1½ 11   11 31 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 5.00  
RUN CURTIS RUN 1 5 5 52   21 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 30% 2.40 2.55 S
MARKET STREET 7 3 3½ 42   5 510½ (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00 30.25  
THRILL OF IT 6 9 8 9   7 611 (terranova )RIVERA R 126 15.00 17.50  
FAUCI 3 8 9 87   8 716¼ (antonacci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SILARDI 4 1 2½ 3   6 818 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 12.80  
10  LET IT RIDE 9 4 4¾ 21   9100 9100 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 16% 5.30 4.70  
SCR  CELESTIAL GLAZE               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR               (walden william)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE               (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SCOTLAND 9 2 3 21   1 13 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 4.00  
ACCRETIVE 1 5 43 42   2 23 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 17% 5.00 3.75 P
CASTLE CHAOS 5 8 8 9   54 35 (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 28% 2.60 4.00 S
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 3 7 77 6   3 4 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 5% 19.00 44.75  
THREE TECHNIQUE 6 9 99 8   7 5 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 9.20  
ZOZOS 7 3 53 7   8 610 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.90 3.50  
FACTUALLY CORRECT 4 1 1½ 11   4 711 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 14% 6.30 8.50  
GENERAL JIM 2 6 64 5   6 812 (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 7.80  
10  MAJOR BLUE 8 4 2½ 31   9 916¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 41.00  
SCR  DISARMED               (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  STRAVA               (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:132 1:243   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  RHETORICAL 10 10 3 3 2½ 1½ 15 (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.20 2.25 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SEBASTIANTHE FIRST 5 2 2 2 1½ 2½ 25 (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 10% 9.00 7.50 P
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
HARD PAR 8 8 6 7 7 54 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 3.75  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
FILM ACADEMY 3 5 5 53 6 3 4 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.50  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TARRIP by GREEN DESERT)
WIND DANCER 4 7 8 8 9 6 5 (donk david)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 24% 3.20 4.10  
  (by WAR DANCER out of LADY CAMILLE by DESERT PARTY)
ISOMARSHALL 6 4 44 4 4 4 611¾ (keithan )DAVIS A 118 30.00 45.50  
  (by FROSTED out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
ALPHA CAT 2 3 7 64 52 8 711¾ (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 118 50.00 43.25  
  (by UNION JACKSON out of ALPHA KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
FERRIS MULER 1 1 1011½ 9 84 9 814 (hosang oliver )LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
  (by ARMY MULE out of CURIOUS LUCK by TRUST N LUCK)
10  THE MANTICORE 9 6 1 1 3½ 7 915½ (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00 65.00  
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of MALIBU CRUZ by MALIBU MOON)
VISIONS TO REALITY 7 9 9 10 1012½ 1015¾ 1034½ (barrow pau)RIVERA R 118 15.00 35.00  
  (by YOSHIDA out of ARCH'S SMILE by ARCH)
SCR  MISSION HILL               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of INDY SUMMER by A.P. INDY)
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING               (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of STORMY'S SMILE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.