Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $16.20 $10.20 170%
    DD (4/7/1)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-3 $13.80 $4.80 53%
SAR-3   DD (5/2/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-6 $19.60 $10.60 118%
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(5/2/3)-(6/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-3-6 $32.00 $5.00 19%
SAR-6   WIN (3/6/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $30.80 $22.80 285%
    EXA (3/6/10/7)-(3/6/10/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-6 $95.75 $79.75 498%
SAR-7   EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $19.20 $7.20 60%
    DD (3/6/10/7)-(1/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-4 $85.50 $69.50 434%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:123     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELIABLE SOURCE 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 60% 0.70 1.05 W
  (by VOLATILE out of REPETA by BROKEN VOW)
BURIANA 3 3 3 36   33 2 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 11.90  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SUPER SAKS by SKY MESA)
MARGOT'S ANGEL 5 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5% 17.90 3.20 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
MY SHOT 2 5 4 4   47 415 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 1.95  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COVENANT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MARITAL TRUST 1 2 5 513¼   515 523 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 18.50 18.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PHILANTHROPIC by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  BOSSY DISH               (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KATANA by VOLKSRAAD)
SCR  DONOR ADVISED               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
SAR-2   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY GIRL 3 3 2½ 2nk   13 1 (toscano jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10 W
SUN AND WIND 5 6 64 5   3 2 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 10.90  
FULIGNI 6 4 42 32   23 3 (bond ja)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 6.20  
TRY IT AGAIN 1 2 3 4   58 4 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 3.40  
GEORGE'S VICE 2 1 1½ 1nk   44 511½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.30  
GOLDEN DAGGER 4 5 53 611¼   618 622 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 55% 0.80 2.15  
SCR  BERN ROSEY BERN               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESALITTLE EDGY 5 4 1 1nk   1½ 1¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.25 W
KILLY START 1 6 3 3   41 2¾ (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 2.50  
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 6 5 2 2nk   3½ 3 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 10.00 16.90  
GOLDCREST 3 1 5 4   2½ 42 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.20 6.60  
FONTANAFREDDA 4 2 42 6   53 5 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 3.90  
RIBOT'S VALENTINE 2 3 6 5   66 610 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
SCR  TIMED OUT               (noda orlan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :454 :57     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCYPANTS JULIANA 6 7 7 63   32 1nk (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 3.55  
LINARITE 2 8 8 8   6 2nk (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 6.30  
A THOUSAND PLANS 5 3 1 1½   12 3½ (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10% 9.30 4.10 S
PUNCH THE CLOCK 3 5 5 53   5 4 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 11.50  
FABULOUS FOX 8 1 2 2½   22 5 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 34% 2.00 3.45  
DELIGHTFUL DIXIE 4 4 3 42   4 6 (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 3.75  
LADY JASMINE 1 6 6 7   7 7 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
ENFUEGA 7 2 4 3   8 8 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 27% 2.70 9.10  
SCR  BUSSIA               (bond ryan)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14 1:393   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICA'S VOW 6 4 22 2 21 12 13 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 35.25  
CENTRAL AVENUE 5 5 3 3 43 33 23 (stidham mich)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 4.00  
SEDONA 7 3 5 6 68 6 3 (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 53% 0.90 1.60 S
CRUSHED ICE 1 2 12 1 11 22 4 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 8.10  
REGULATORY RISK 4 1 44 4 32 4 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 17% 4.70 1.45 DQ↓6
SWEET MYSTERY 2 6 6 5 5 5 617 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
STANDOUTSENSATION 3 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:234 :501 1:151 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REINING FLOWERS 10 10 9 98 9 5 11 (ortiz al)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 24% 3.10 14.40 W
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of MI FIORI by CONGRATS)
GOOD LONG CRY 6 3 1½ 11 1½ 12 21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.70 P
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
AS CATCH CAN 1 2 76 87 6 6 31 (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 16.70  
  (by MO TOWN out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
OPULENT RESTRAINT (IRE) 3 6 65 65 4 22 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.70  
  (by DUBAWI out of SIGNIFICANT FORM by CREATIVE CAUSE)
TWO TURNTABLES 8 4 2½ 21 2½ 3 5 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 26.75  
  (by STREET BOSS out of BETWIXT by EMPIRE MAKER)
CORAL SEA 9 9 86 7 85 8 65 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 7.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAKE ISLAND by WAR FRONT)
OLIVIA'S POTION 5 1 3 32 3 4 7 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.40  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ROTE by TIZNOW)
NANANANABOOBOO 4 5 5 5 53 7 8 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 34.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TOURMALINE by BELIEVE THE QUEEN)
MCKINZIE'S GLORY 2 8 108 109 109 914¼ 913¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 40.00  
  (by MCKINZIE out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
RAVENITE 7 7 4 4 74 1015¼ 1016½ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of STICK TO YOUR GUNS by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  QUICKICK               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of GRAEME SIX by GRAEME HALL)
 
SAR-7   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:214 :434 :551     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER QUEST 2 1 1½ 1nk   1 1hd (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 26% 2.80 3.00 W
OUR SHOT 1 5 57 5   6 2hd (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 14% 6.20 7.00 P
MID DAY IMAGE 8 2 44 43   4 3¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 32.50  
NOBALS 7 4 3 3½   2 4¾ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 0.80 28% 2.60 1.60  
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 4 6 6 6   5 51 (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 3.60  
BOAT'S A ROCKIN 3 3 2½ 2nk   3 6 (kulp l)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
THIN WHITE DUKE 5 7 79 7   7 7 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 13.80  
10  STEP FORWARD 6 8 818 814¼   8 8 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 15.40  
SCR  CHARGING               (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  DURANTE               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 20.00    
SCR  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE               (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
SCR  ONE TIMER               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 0.80    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARAMANGA (IRE) 7 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 11 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 124 15.00 13.70  
FOR SOME REASON 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 21 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 9% 10.60 2.85 P
10  SOUTH STREET 8 7 6 6   5 3 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 6.70  
DEVIL'S CAY 2 3 5 4   4 4 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 13% 6.60 1.55  
QUICK HAMMER 4 4 42 3½   33 5 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 5% 17.70 5.00  
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 6 8 817½ 814   714¼ 611 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 40% 1.50 6.70  
SINFUL DANCER 1 5 32 54   610¼ 712¼ (figueroa david)LUZZI J 122 30.00 32.25  
MUDVILLE NINE 5 6 7 712½   818¼ 820¼ (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
SCR  AGILITY               (potts way)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00    
SCR  PINEAPPLE MAN               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2024 7260ft TURF RC13 FIRM Bowling Green Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:362 1:592 2:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER KNOTT (GB) 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 1 (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.80 47% 1.10 0.40 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of GOD GIVEN by DOUBLE ZEUS)
SOLDIER RISING (GB) 4 56 4 32 42 32 2 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 16% 5.30 3.60 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
STRONG TIDE 5 32 3 4 31 22 3 (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 15.20  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
OHANA HONOR 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 2½ 46 4 (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 4.50  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
ENGLISH CONQUEROR 3 45 5 5 54 5 57 (banach darwin )LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of REGAL CONQUEROR by SKY CONQUEROR)
SCR  STRONG QUALITY               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TIZ SO SWEET by TIZNOW)
SCR  SUGOI               (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of TIMELESS SPIRIT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
SAR-10   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:121 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUREL VALLEY 2 1 11 11 12 1 1¾ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.80 15% 5.80 2.35 W
SLAPINTHEFACE 7 5 4 6 54 33 2¾ (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 15% 5.60 4.20 P
MIRACLE MIKE 3 3 5 3 3 2 3 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 9% 10.30 4.00 S
TWO'S A CROWD 1 7 78 8 7 4 43 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.00  
SONIC SPEED 8 8 8 7 8 5 5 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 41% 1.40 3.90  
DOLLY'S BANK 5 2 21 21 22 6 6 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00 36.25  
KINGDOM ON PAWS 9 6 66 53 43 710 710½ (davis ed)DAVIS A 123 30.00 34.75  
SHPILKES 6 4 3 43 6 820 828½ (preciado guadalup)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
MANNY PENNY 4 9 916½ 914¾ 920½ 932 946½ (coffey marialice)USKE S 118 50.00 48.25  
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.