Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-2   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 10.20
SAR-3   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
SAR-4   Win (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.10  
SAR-5   Win (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $72.50  
SAR-6   Win (3/6/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $30.80 $30.80 22.80
SAR-7   Win (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
SAR-8   Win (7/2/4/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $29.40  
SAR-9   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
SAR-10   Win (8/7/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:123     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RELIABLE SOURCE 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 12½ (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 60% 0.70 1.05 W
3  BURIANA 3 3 32½ 36   33 22½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 11.90  
7  MARGOT'S ANGEL 5 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 33½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5% 17.90 3.20 S
2  MY SHOT 2 5 43½ 46¼   47 415 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 1.95  
1  MARITAL TRUST 1 2 53¾ 513¼   515 523 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 18.50 18.90  
SCR  BOSSY DISH               (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  DONOR ADVISED               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80    
 
SAR-2   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GHOSTLY GIRL 3 3 2½ 2nk   13 11¼ (toscano john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10 W
6  SUN AND WIND 5 6 64 53¼   33½ 21¼ (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 10.90  
7  FULIGNI 6 4 42 32   23 31¾ (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 6.20  
1  TRY IT AGAIN 1 2 31½ 42¼   58 47½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 3.40  
2  GEORGE'S VICE 2 1 1½ 1nk   44 511½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.30  
5  GOLDEN DAGGER 4 5 53 611¼   618 622 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 55% 0.80 2.15  
SCR  BERN ROSEY BERN               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHESALITTLE EDGY 5 4 11½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.25 W
1  KILLY START 1 6 31½ 31½   41 2¾ (contessa c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 2.50  
7  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 6 5 21½ 2nk   3½ 31¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 10.00 16.90  
4  GOLDCREST 3 1 52¼ 41¾   2½ 42 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.20 6.60  
5  FONTANAFREDDA 4 2 42 63¼   53 54¾ (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 3.90  
2  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 2 3 62¾ 51¾   66 610 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
SCR  TIMED OUT               (noda orlando)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :454 :57     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FANCYPANTS JULIANA 6 7 73¾ 63   32 1nk (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 3.55  
2  LINARITE 2 8 85¾ 85½   63¾ 2nk (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 6.30  
5  A THOUSAND PLANS 5 3 11½ 1½   12 3½ (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10% 9.30 4.10 S
3  PUNCH THE CLOCK 3 5 52¾ 53   52¾ 41½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 11.50  
8  FABULOUS FOX 8 1 21½ 2½   22 51¾ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 34% 2.00 3.45  
4  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE 4 4 31½ 42   42½ 62¾ (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 3.75  
1  LADY JASMINE 1 6 63¾ 74½   75¼ 74¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
7  ENFUEGA 7 2 42½ 31½   86¼ 85½ (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 27% 2.70 9.10  
SCR  BUSSIA               (bond ryan)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14 1:393   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMERICA'S VOW 6 4 22 21½ 21 12 13 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 35.25  
5  CENTRAL AVENUE 5 5 33½ 33½ 43 33 23 (stidham michae)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 4.00  
7  SEDONA 7 3 55½ 67½ 68 67½ 35½ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 53% 0.90 1.60 S
1  CRUSHED ICE 1 2 12 11½ 11 22 46¼ (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 8.10  
4  REGULATORY RISK 4 1 44 43½ 32 43½ 57¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 17% 4.70 1.45 DQ↓6
2  SWEET MYSTERY 2 6 66½ 55½ 53½ 56½ 617 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
3  STANDOUTSENSATION 3 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:234 :501 1:151 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REINING FLOWERS 10 10 97½ 98 96½ 53½ 11 (ortiz alex)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 24% 3.10 14.40 W
6  GOOD LONG CRY 6 3 1½ 11 1½ 12 21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.70 P
1  AS CATCH CAN 1 2 76 87 63½ 63¾ 31 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 16.70  
3  OPULENT RESTRAINT (IRE) 3 6 65 65 42½ 22 41¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.70  
8  TWO TURNTABLES 8 4 2½ 21 2½ 32½ 54¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 26.75  
9  CORAL SEA 9 9 86 76½ 85 87¼ 65 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★ 7.80  
5  OLIVIA'S POTION 5 1 31½ 32 31½ 43½ 75¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.40  
4  NANANANABOOBOO 4 5 53½ 54½ 53 76¾ 85¾ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 34.50  
2  MCKINZIE'S GLORY 2 8 108 109 109 914¼ 913¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 40.00  
7  RAVENITE 7 7 42½ 42½ 74 1015¼ 1016½ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
SCR  QUICKICK               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
 
SAR-7   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:214 :434 :551     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOUPER QUEST 2 1 1½ 1nk   11½ 1hd (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 26% 2.80 3.00 W
3  OUR SHOT 1 5 57 55½   63¾ 2hd (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 14% 6.20 7.00 P
2  MID DAY IMAGE 8 2 44 43   42½ 3¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 32.50  
1  NOBALS 7 4 31½ 3½   21½ 4¾ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 0.80 28% 2.60 1.60  
8  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 4 6 68½ 65¾   53½ 51 (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 3.60  
7  BOAT'S A ROCKIN 3 3 2½ 2nk   32½ 61¾ (kulp l)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
9  THIN WHITE DUKE 5 7 79 76¼   75¼ 72½ (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 13.80  
10  STEP FORWARD 6 8 818 814¼   87¾ 82¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 15.40  
SCR  CHARGING               (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  DURANTE               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 20.00    
SCR  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE               (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
SCR  ONE TIMER               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 0.80    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SCARAMANGA (IRE) 7 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 11 (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 124 15.00 13.70  
4  FOR SOME REASON 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 21 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 9% 10.60 2.85 P
10  SOUTH STREET 8 7 68½ 64½   55¼ 33¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 6.70  
2  DEVIL'S CAY 2 3 52½ 41½   43¼ 44¼ (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 13% 6.60 1.55  
5  QUICK HAMMER 4 4 42 3½   33 54½ (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 5% 17.70 5.00  
7  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 6 8 817½ 814   714¼ 611 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 40% 1.50 6.70  
1  SINFUL DANCER 1 5 32 54   610¼ 712¼ (figueroa j)LUZZI J 122 30.00 32.25  
6  MUDVILLE NINE 5 6 79½ 712½   818¼ 820¼ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
SCR  AGILITY               (potts wayne)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00    
SCR  PINEAPPLE MAN               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2024 7260ft TURF RC13 FIRM Bowling Green Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:362 1:592 2:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILVER KNOTT (GB) 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 12½ (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.80 47% 1.10 0.40 W
5  SOLDIER RISING (GB) 4 56 47½ 32 42 32 22½ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 16% 5.30 3.60 P
7  STRONG TIDE 5 32 34½ 42½ 31 22 32¾ (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 15.20  
1  OHANA HONOR 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 2½ 46 46¼ (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 4.50  
4  ENGLISH CONQUEROR 3 45 57½ 54½ 54 56¼ 57 (banach d)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
SCR  STRONG QUALITY               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
SCR  SUGOI               (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
 
SAR-10   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:121 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LAUREL VALLEY 2 1 11 11 12 12½ 1¾ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.80 15% 5.80 2.35 W
7  SLAPINTHEFACE 7 5 45½ 63½ 54 33 2¾ (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 15% 5.60 4.20 P
3  MIRACLE MIKE 3 3 55½ 31½ 32½ 22½ 31½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 9% 10.30 4.00 S
1  TWO'S A CROWD 1 7 78 84¾ 75½ 44½ 43 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.00  
8  SONIC SPEED 8 8 88½ 74½ 85½ 58½ 56¼ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 41% 1.40 3.90  
5  DOLLY'S BANK 5 2 21 21 22 69½ 69¾ (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00 36.25  
9  KINGDOM ON PAWS 9 6 66 53 43 710 710½ (davis edmu)DAVIS A 123 30.00 34.75  
6  SHPILKES 6 4 34½ 43 64½ 820 828½ (preciado guadalupe)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
4  MANNY PENNY 4 9 916½ 914¾ 920½ 932 946½ (coffey marialice)USKE S 118 50.00 48.25  
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.