Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $3.70  
SAR-2   Win (3/9/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $25.60  
SAR-3   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
SAR-4   Win (12/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
SAR-5   Win (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
SAR-6   Win (4/1/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $8.90 $8.90  
SAR-8   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
SAR-9   Win (10/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
SAR-11   Win (3/5/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $15.80  
SAR-12   Win (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
SAR-13   Win (15/14/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 14 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 12.40

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:121 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REACH FOR THE ROSE 3 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 13 1 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 0.85  
INSUBORDINATION (IRE) 2 2 42 32 36 3 2 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 45% 1.20 5.00 P
DEW 1 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 23 37 (contessa ga)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
ASSERTIVENESS 4 4 3 42 416 422½ 443½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 1.40  
SCR  DAVY CROCKETT               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  CONCORD GREEN               (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  CLOCK TOWER               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
SCR  SAM'S ROCKET               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  ASBURY PARK (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
 
SAR-2   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:37
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILENSAYCHEESE 2 1 1½ 2½   11 1 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 11.80  
THE TONER 4 9 52 1½   21 2 (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 10% 8.90 1.75 P
CORVUS 7 3 8 9   7 310¾ (jimenez l)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 9% 9.70 19.00 S
KING'S LEAP 9 4 7 8   4 413½ (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 6.00 28% 2.50 10.90  
PROBABILITY 3 7 4 65   6 513½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.50 2.65  
TWELVE NELSON 1 6 107 10   911¾ 614¾ (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 28.50  
10  SPIRIT OF THE LAW 10 8 6 55   5 717¼ (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 7.50  
FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL 8 10 3½ 31   37 818¾ (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
KILLYBEGS KID 5 2 93 7   810¾ 928¾ (terranova jo)RIVERA R 119 12.00 40.75  
BUT NOW AM FOUND 6 5 2½ 43   1012 1032 (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 30.00  
 
SAR-3   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:09
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECK OF CARDS 1 1 11 12 11 13 1 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 36% 1.80 0.55 W
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 3 2 32 3 3 33 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 7% 13.50 5.70 P
MOVIE MOXY 5 5 21 22 21 23 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 3.45  
HALO CITY 6 6 66 65 54 48 47 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 19.10  
I'M BUZZY 4 4 4 43 6 5 5 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19% 4.40 8.20  
ANILEATE 2 3 55 55 44 613 623 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 20.00 35.25  
SCR  BATUCADA               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80    
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME               (lopez roberto)CAMILO D 120 20.00    
SCR  JUST A NYQUIST               (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 118 50.00    
 
SAR-4   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:114 1:252   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CALL HER BLUFF 7 4 54 55 57 4 12 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 54% 0.80 1.30 W
SILENT MELODY 2 5 4 43 35 3 22 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 8% 11.20 4.10 P
ELLIPTIC (IRE) 5 6 65 66 45 2 32 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 2.85  
SHE TAKES CASH 3 1 2½ 2½ 13 1 4 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.60  
BARONESS BOURBON 6 7 7 7 6 55 5 (begg ben)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
DUSK 1 2 1½ 1½ 23 6 613½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 10% 9.50 11.60  
MIM 4 3 3 3 7 710¼ 718½ (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 20.00 34.00  
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO               (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN DANTZ               (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  GRAM               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO               (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
SCR  RED BURGUNDY               (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
 
SAR-5   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAGED 3 1 42 4   4¾ 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
SEA VISTA 5 5 6 5   6 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 22% 3.60 3.35 P
CLASSICIST 4 6 5 7   5 32 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 16% 5.20 3.45 S
C K WONDER 1 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 4 (romans dale)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5.00  
I GOT GAME 6 7 7 6   7 5 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 41% 1.40 3.35  
CYCLONE STATE 7 3 31 3.2   1nk 65 (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 7.40  
SHOT IN THE DARK 2 4 2½ 1nk   3.2 7 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 13.50  
SCR  CODE OF JUSTICE               (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  TIGER TWENTY FOUR               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
 
SAR-6   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEROCIOUS (BRZ) 1 8 3 2   1½ 1 (delgado gustav)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.45 W
EL PRESTIGIO 5 3 1 1   2½ 2 (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
PRAETOR 4 9 9 65   32 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 29% 2.50 3.90 S
CONTRABANDIST 2 7 54 55   46 416½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 3.95  
ANTIETAM 8 5 7 88   57 516½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 3.85  
RIPPED 6 4 4 4   7 618 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 13.50  
DISCREET DANCER 7 1 8 911   9 719¾ (sano antonio)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 34.75  
10  MATH TUTOR 9 6 6 7   67 822 (antonucci m)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
LOUGH CURRANE 3 2 2 33   8 928 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  FLAT TO DA MAT               (bernardini g)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00    
 
SAR-8   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Test Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:09     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYS AND MEANS 4 1 2½ 2nk   12 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.40 44% 1.30 0.70 W
EMERY 1 3 1½ 1nk   22 2 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.70 4.00 P
MY MANE SQUEEZE 5 2 3 32   32 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.60 S
DENIM AND PEARLS 2 4 43 43   44 45 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 3.85  
BELLE'S BLUE BELL 3 5 5 5   512 523¾ (david a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 31.25  
SCR  BRIGHTWORK               (ortiz alex)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Fasig-Tipton Lure Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FILM STAR 4 3 2½ 2½ 1 1 14 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.60 W
PIONEERING SPIRIT 3 1 410½ 4 3 2 24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00 3.75 P
SWIFTSURE 1 2 1½ 1½ 2 36 310¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 3.30  
JOHNY'S FIREBALL 2 4 3 33 48 426 460 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 6.80  
SCR  MORE THAN LOOKS               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00    
SCR  KUBRICK (IRE)               (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
SCR  IRISH ACES               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  FOREVER SOUPER               (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' T               (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  BIG EVEREST (GB)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
 
SAR-11   08/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Whitney Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:101 1:351   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ARTHUR'S RIDE 9 2 11 1 11 15 1 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 6.90  
CRUPI 6 8 1010¾ 912¼ 812 5 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 11.30  
POST TIME 1 7 65 7 5 35 3 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 20.00 5% 19.00 25.00 S
DISARM 2 9 9 810¼ 7 6 4 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 12.50  
10  SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 8 1 21 2 21 25 5 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 8% 12.10 10.70  
NATIONAL TREASURE 3 4 4 33 32 4 610 (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 38% 1.60 0.95  
FIRST MISSION 5 3 32 43 4 7 710½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 25% 3.00 9.30  
BRIGHT FUTURE 7 5 8 1012¼ 913 917½ 822¼ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 6.80  
WARRIOR JOHNY 4 10 7 6 6 816½ 926¼ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 25.75  
12  CHARGE IT 10 6 5 54 1016½ 1032½ 1043¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00 42.25  
SCR  IL MIRACOLO               (sano antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  TUMBARUMBA               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-12   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. BENEDICTS PREP 7 3 3 32   2nk 11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 11% 8.20 3.20 W
ZADORSKY 4 4 42 42   4 21 (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.85  
STRIKER HAS DIAL 2 1 11 11   1nk 3 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 51% 0.90 1.85 S
MISS ENCHANTED 6 2 5 5   5 4 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 12.60  
AUDACIOUS 5 5 21 21   31 55 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 12% 7.60 5.40  
BON ADIEU 1 7 7 7   6 614 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
NIKITIS 8 6 6 6   7 718¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8.70  
SHE PROSPERS 3 8 87 810½   815¼ 834¾ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 30.00 43.75  
SCR  MYSTIFYING               (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
 
SAR-13   08/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:10 1:361   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  PHILEAS FOGG 5 1 11 11 1 15 1 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 31% 2.20 8.20 W
CAPTURE THE FLAG 1 5 32 3 2 25 2 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
CYBER NINJA 2 4 5 5 57 310 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 4.40  
12  MAGICAL WAYS 4 3 21 21 34 417 417¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 15.30  
BLACK POWDER 3 6 65 6 612½ 621 519¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 19.50  
15  DRAKE'S PASSAGE 6 2 4 43 45 517½ 619¾ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 41% 1.40 0.40  
SCR  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE)               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  MONDEGO (GB)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  KALIK               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  INEXORABLE               (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 124 15.00    
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL               (terranova p)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  DAUNT               (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SCR  RECKONING FORCE               (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
SCR  BEUYS (IRE)               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA FROLIC               (avila carlos)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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