Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-2   Win (3/9/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (12/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (4/1/3/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (10/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (6/1/7/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (3/5/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-12   Win (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-13   Win (15/14/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAM'S ROCKET Jul13         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
2  DEW Jul19 Jun23 Jun06     (contessa ga)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  INSUBORDINATION (IRE)         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 45% 1.20    
4  REACH FOR THE ROSE May11         (joseph a)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  CONCORD GREEN         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  CLOCK TOWER May24         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
SCR  DAVY CROCKETT         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
8  ASSERTIVENESS         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
SCR  ASBURY PARK (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
 
SAR-2   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVE NELSON         (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
2  SMILENSAYCHEESE         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
3  PROBABILITY         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  THE TONER Jul19 Jun14 Jun06 May09 Apr25 (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 10% 8.90    
5  KILLYBEGS KID         (terranova jo)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
6  BUT NOW AM FOUND         (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
7  CORVUS Jul12         (jimenez l)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 9% 9.70    
8  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL         (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  KING'S LEAP Jul12         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 6.00 28% 2.50    
10  SPIRIT OF THE LAW         (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
 
SAR-3   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECK OF CARDS Jul17 Jun21 Apr22 Feb15 Jan20 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME Jul02 Jun03 May07 Nov22 Oct31 (lopez roberto)CAMILO D 120 20.00    
SCR  BATUCADA Jul20 Jun22 May31 May03 Mar17 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80    
4  ANILEATE Jul19 Jun14 May09 Apr11 Mar14 (ferraro jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00    
5  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jul18 Jun20 May12 Apr18 Apr04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  JUST A NYQUIST Jul02 Feb19 Feb02 Jan01 Dec14 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 118 50.00    
7  I'M BUZZY Jul17 Jun16 May12 Apr25 Mar30 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19% 4.40    
8  MOVIE MOXY Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
9  HALO CITY Apr18 Mar01 Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
 
SAR-4   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAM Jun15 May18 Nov04 Aug20 Jul26 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
SCR  RED BURGUNDY Oct27 Oct12 Sep04 Aug09   (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
2  DUSK Jun15 May18 Oct29 Oct01 Aug27 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 10% 9.50    
3  SILENT MELODY Jul11 Jun14 May09 Apr06 Jul03 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 8% 11.20    
4  SHE TAKES CASH Jul06 May26 May02 Feb22 Jan28 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  MIM Jul18 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Mar16 (ferraro jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 20.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS Jul04 Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jun29 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
7  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Jun15 May16 Apr21 Mar28 Mar06 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
8  BARONESS BOURBON Jul17 Jun23 May16 Apr14 Mar14 (begg ben)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr20 Feb25 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Jun23 Feb18 Jan12 Sep01   (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN DANTZ Jul18 Jun20 May11 Apr26 Mar22 (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
12  CALL HER BLUFF Jul04 May16 Apr14 Mar07 Feb09 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 54% 0.80    
 
SAR-5   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C K WONDER         (romans dale)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
2  SHOT IN THE DARK         (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
SCR  TIGER TWENTY FOUR         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  CODE OF JUSTICE         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
5  UNCAGED         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLASSICIST         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
7  SEA VISTA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  I GOT GAME Jun20 May30       (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
9  CYCLONE STATE Jul06         (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEROCIOUS (BRZ)         (delgado gustav)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  CONTRABANDIST         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
3  LOUGH CURRANE         (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRAETOR         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  EL PRESTIGIO Jun23         (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIPPED         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  FLAT TO DA MAT         (bernardini g)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00    
8  DISCREET DANCER         (sano antonio)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
9  ANTIETAM         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
10  MATH TUTOR         (antonucci m)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-7   08/03/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 GOOD Saratoga Derby Invitational Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZZY D'ORO Jun23 Apr26 Mar23 Feb10 Dec09 (kelly blake)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00    
SCR  CUGINO Jun01 May04 Apr05 Mar02 Jan13 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
3  LEGEND OF TIME (GB) Jul06 May25 May04     (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  DIEGO VELAZQUEZ         (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
5  DETERMINISTIC Jun29 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Aug12 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 6% 16.30    
6  CARSON'S RUN Jun23 Apr27 Nov03 Sep16 Aug31 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
7  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Jul06 May25 Apr13 Mar02 Jan20 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
8  WHITE PALOMINO Jul06 May25 Apr06 Jan20   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Test Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERY Jul04 Jun09 Apr19 Oct07 Aug30 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  DENIM AND PEARLS May03 Apr07 Feb03 Dec31 Nov25 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
3  BELLE'S BLUE BELL Jun29 May17 Apr14 Mar13 Feb22 (david a)BRAVO J 118 20.00    
4  WAYS AND MEANS Jun06 May03 Mar30 Sep03 Aug06 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.40 44% 1.30    
5  MY MANE SQUEEZE Jun07 May03 Mar30 Feb18 Jan14 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRIGHTWORK Nov03 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 (ortiz alex)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Fasig-Tipton Lure Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KUBRICK (IRE) Jun08 Apr12 Mar01     (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
SCR  FOREVER SOUPER Jul14 May25 Apr20 Mar24 Jan21 (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
3  SWIFTSURE Apr13 Mar07 Jan12 Nov26 Oct28 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  IRISH ACES Jul13 Jun01 Mar23 Feb03 Dec23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  BIG EVEREST (GB) Jun23 May17 Mar30 Nov12 Aug13 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
6  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar23 Feb17 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
7  PIONEERING SPIRIT Jul20 Jun06 May17 May04 Apr20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' T Jun01 May02 Mar30 Mar02 Nov11 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MORE THAN LOOKS Nov04 Sep30 Aug11 Jul07 Jun17 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00    
10  FILM STAR Jul11 Dec28 Nov24 Oct28 Oct01 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
SAR-10   08/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 GOOD Troy Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF MAGIC (IRE) Jun08 May04 Apr06 Nov04   (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  OUTLAW KID Jul04 Jun28 Apr20 Sep16 Aug05 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SCR  DANCING BUCK Jun08 May04 Mar09 Dec30 Nov18 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  XY SPEED May25 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 Jan28 (lerman michael)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 12.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Jun07 Apr28 Aug11 Jun17   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 30.00    
6  COGBURN Jun08 May04 Sep09 Aug05 Jun24 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 39% 1.60    
7  BIG INVASION Jul04 Jun08 May04 Mar09 Nov04 (clement chr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00 13% 6.60    
8  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jun16 May18 Aug13 Jun18 May28 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SOSUA SUMMER Jun08 Apr06 Jan20 Dec23 Sep22 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 30.00    
SCR  WITTY Jun29 May18 Apr20 Dec16 Nov18 (merryman eli)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
11  THIN WHITE DUKE Jul28 Jul04 Jun08 May04 Nov18 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
12  DISARMED Jun09 May17 Apr04 Mar03 Jan28 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-11   08/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Whitney Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POST TIME Jun08 May03 Apr06 Feb17 Jan28 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DISARM Jun29 May18 Aug26 Jul29 Jun11 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
3  NATIONAL TREASURE Jun08 Jan27 Nov04 Sep30 Aug26 (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul11 Jun12 May11 Apr25 Nov04 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
5  FIRST MISSION Jun29 May03 Mar23 Jan27 Nov24 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  IL MIRACOLO May03 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Nov24 (sano antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
7  CRUPI Jul05 Jun08 Jan27 Dec31 Nov03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  TUMBARUMBA Jun30 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Dec09 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRIGHT FUTURE Jun15 Nov04 Sep02 Jul21 Jun10 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 124 5.00    
10  SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Jun29 Apr20 Mar09 Jan27 Nov04 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
11  ARTHUR'S RIDE Jun07 May03 Mar16 Feb11 Sep03 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
12  CHARGE IT Jun30 May03 Nov04 Oct01 Aug05 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00 ★    
 
SAR-12   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BON ADIEU Jun09 May11 Mar28 Feb19 Jan07 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  STRIKER HAS DIAL Jul12 Jun06 May04     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
3  SHE PROSPERS Jun08 May05 Mar31     (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 30.00    
4  ZADORSKY Jun28 May25 Nov25 Oct29 Sep14 (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  AUDACIOUS Jun06         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
6  MISS ENCHANTED Jul06 Jun06 Feb18 Jan04 Nov18 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
7  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jun30 May24 May03 Apr13 Feb28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
8  NIKITIS Jun30 Apr07 Feb03 Dec01 Sep28 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE Jun01 May03 Sep03 Aug13   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  MYSTIFYING Mar15 Jan14       (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
 
SAR-13   08/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL Nov18 Sep21 Jul15 Jun03 Apr07 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  CALIFORNIA FROLIC Jun15 May25 Mar31 Jan27 Jan01 (avila carlos)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
3  CAPTURE THE FLAG Jul06 Jun08 Oct28 Oct04 Aug05 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEUYS (IRE) Jul13 Jun16 May31 May02 Apr14 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
5  CYBER NINJA May24 Apr25 Mar10 Jan31 Nov18 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
SCR  DAUNT Jul14 Jun16 May02 Nov11 Oct19 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
7  BLACK POWDER Jun19 May24 Apr21 Jul08 May29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
SCR  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Jul14 Jul07 May25 May05 Apr20 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Jul13 Sep01 Aug13 Jul08 Jun03 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  RECKONING FORCE Jun19 May18 May02 Mar02 Apr21 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
SCR  MONDEGO (GB) Jul14 May02 Nov04 Sep09 Aug05 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
12  MAGICAL WAYS Jul13 Jun15 May11 Mar30 Mar22 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
SCR  KALIK Jun23 May17 Aug20 Jul08 Jun03 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
14  PHILEAS FOGG Jul13 Jun06 Apr30 Mar15 Jan25 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
15  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Jul05 Jun09 May04 Dec17 Oct29 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  INEXORABLE Jun19 May05 Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.